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EURUSD

  • #300,641
  • Oct 5, 2010 12:45am Oct 5, 2010 12:45am
Quoting The Fool
Hey Carlitos,

doin good here, enjoying the rad PA. Hope you're in the pips!
well I'm in safe heaven but not in the pips untill 3740 or 3777 wish is my target for now I wish it goes to the fibo's but i don't know if we will get there today, don't think so tho, but you never know in this game do you? how is work?
The Chonchy
  • #300,642
  • Oct 5, 2010 12:50am Oct 5, 2010 12:50am
Looks like my earlier dirty trendline is in fact a valid one:

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  • #300,643
  • Oct 5, 2010 12:51am Oct 5, 2010 12:51am
Morning all . price below 3647 should virtually confirm first hand down & end 5th wave up , next confirmation intermediate may be 3505 , 3439 & 3332 break final .so now for first leg down abc correction to unfold bigger correction or wave 3 very big.

for this b1 correction may expect up 3750-83 or around before down.
lets see what happen , may take any complex though & ignore my simple counts .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #300,644
  • Oct 5, 2010 12:53am Oct 5, 2010 12:53am
Quoting gatorinla
commodity index gave a short signal.. so i took it
in eur/usd?
  • #300,645
  • Oct 5, 2010 12:56am Oct 5, 2010 12:56am
this is the congruence of fibo's that i'm talking about at the 4000 level, top of the BB's also, but i don't know if we are going to get there this week, so I'm bailing out in any faliure of reaching new highs, like gator saids we are going down any moment without stop or remorse, so that is what I'm waiting for, this pair to tank, I have being buying short's from 3800 this is just a small risk I'm taking here but like I said I'm in safe heaven, good luck to you and all out there

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Chonchy
  • #300,646
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:00am Oct 5, 2010 1:00am
Quoting chonchy
well I'm in safe heaven but not in the pips untill 3740 or 3777 wish is my target for now I wish it goes to the fibo's but i don't know if we will get there today, don't think so tho, but you never know in this game do you? how is work?
I expect more upside today but it might be rangey until the end of the asian session - if the various ACB's are lending $ support as they have been lately. I expect week will end higher than we began with a poor NFP number, possibly in the .39xx. But hey I'm a scalper Ima hit whatever moves. Buena suerte amigo.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #300,647
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:11am Oct 5, 2010 1:11am
Quoting The Fool
I expect more upside today but it might be rangey until the end of the asian session - if the various ACB's are lending $ support as they have been lately. I expect week will end higher than we began with a poor NFP number, possibly in the .39xx. But hey I'm a scalper Ima hit whatever moves. Buena suerte amigo.
Oh no I scalp too, but i take some longer term trades that I'm obligated some times, I call them f$#k ups
Is very volatil, it miss the PP for 7 pips and now miss the M2 as well, so carefull out there
The Chonchy
  • #300,648
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:18am Oct 5, 2010 1:18am
Quoting chonchy
this is the congruence of fibo's that i'm talking about at the 4000 level, top of the BB's also, but i don't know if we are going to get there this week, so I'm bailing out in any faliure of reaching new highs, like gator saids we are going down any moment without stop or remorse, so that is what I'm waiting for, this pair to tank, I have being buying short's from 3800 this is just a small risk I'm taking here but like I said I'm in safe heaven, good luck to you and all out there

Attachment
I presume all of you have seen the CFTC report for last week (yes, a bit always late), but intermediaries and dealers have increased they EUR/USD shorts by 50%, which I take as they are hedging their positions with customers, who by this logic are all long. So are the leveraged funds, if I recall correctly.

How do you reconcile the view that EUR/USD is about to tank, yet everyone is long (ie they are expecting EUR/USD go to up)?

PS. I am not questioning your conclusions, just asking how does it fit.
  • #300,649
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:19am Oct 5, 2010 1:19am
good morning.
  • #300,650
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:22am Oct 5, 2010 1:22am
Quoting chonchy
this is the congruence of fibo's that i'm talking about at the 4000 level, top of the BB's also, but i don't know if we are going to get there this week, so I'm bailing out in any faliure of reaching new highs, like gator saids we are going down any moment without stop or remorse, so that is what I'm waiting for, this pair to tank, I have being buying short's from 3800 this is just a small risk I'm taking here but like I said I'm in safe heaven, good luck to you and all out there

Attachment
so you also take small position in pairs that have huge moves.

what about usd/chf are you going long on the pair for a longer time frame period ?
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #300,651
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:27am Oct 5, 2010 1:27am
Hello!

How high the EUR will go today? Any idea?
  • #300,652
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:29am Oct 5, 2010 1:29am
Paradoxically, EUR appears to be the safest, since Eurobankers decided to tie their hands when the writing was on the wall that the EUR was going worthless.

Now when the opposite is becoming a reality, it seems the same tied hands are still tied even when Eurobankers could mint EUR like no tomorrow to satisfy demand.

Meanwhile, BOJ, Feds and a few others are doing or contemplating money printing. Interesting times.....
  • #300,653
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:29am Oct 5, 2010 1:29am
Quoting Munal
More or Less EU should get good support at that market area 1.3635 to 1.3650 Area.........
After 18 hours................
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  • #300,654
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:29am Oct 5, 2010 1:29am
  •  mrmat
  • | Joined Sep 2010 | Status: One day I shall leave the temple | 131 Posts
It's interesting that the JPY news has had this effect on the EUR... its certainly going to be a volatile week.

ECB and the Fed are both going to make big moves, and until Japan made it's announcement, the EUR was looking like it was beginning a reversal.

I think long term the EUR should head down, and I am short, but I am worried this news may ruin the developing downtrend.
  • #300,655
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:30am Oct 5, 2010 1:30am
my 30 min chart:

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I will be looking to short if this upper trendline works, and then to break below my 3h trendline (check my previous chart).
  • #300,656
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:31am Oct 5, 2010 1:31am
Quoting EuroTrader
Hello!

How high the EUR will go today? Any idea?
1.5100
  • #300,657
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:35am Oct 5, 2010 1:35am
Quoting zaphy
I presume all of you have seen the CFTC report for last week (yes, a bit always late), but intermediaries and dealers have increased they EUR/USD shorts by 50%, which I take as they are hedging their positions with customers, who by this logic are all long. So are the leveraged funds, if I recall correctly.

How do you reconcile the view that EUR/USD is about to tank, yet everyone is long (ie they are expecting EUR/USD go to up)?

PS. I am not questioning your conclusions, just asking how does it fit.
well my resoning is just funnymental, but I'm a scalper I don't see the yurow falling technicaly but I don't go long too long, I'm just afraid, spain ireland, greek or one of the other 16 countries declares insolvent in the next 2 seconds and it all come troumbleling down like in the last two falls, the first fall was from 60xx level and the second from the 51xx level so I imagine the trird will be no higher than the 40xx, but is all my back head telling me this so don't pay to much attention to me, look at your charts and always use stop loss, wish I wish I use them but they are very good, if you ask me we are hiting the sichlevel4000@ and going down after some news report some new catastrofy in the yurow, my 2 cents
The Chonchy
  • #300,658
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:36am Oct 5, 2010 1:36am
...and when everybody feels good about longs... guess what is gonna happen ? ... yes that is right it will go down a good 200 pips
  • #300,659
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:37am Oct 5, 2010 1:37am
.. of course with about 100 stop loss
  • #300,660
  • Oct 5, 2010 1:39am Oct 5, 2010 1:39am
Quoting Tkb
Paradoxically, EUR appears to be the safest, since Eurobankers decided to tie their hands when the writing was on the wall that the EUR was going worthless.

Now when the opposite is becoming a reality, it seems the same tied hands are still tied even when Eurobankers could mint EUR like no tomorrow to satisfy demand.

Meanwhile, BOJ, Feds and a few others are doing or contemplating money printing. Interesting times.....

By Jove I think you've got it! The perception of euro strength is settling in for a long winter's nap.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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