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  • #297,881
  • Sep 29, 2010 2:52am Sep 29, 2010 2:52am
almost everyone short and medium term traders closed almost all their lots on this new high. We need a great retracement so medium term traders can load their longs again. If we close below 1.3612 im loading on 1.3570, if it closes below 1.36, then ill load on 1.3525, daily pivot. Of course, it all depends on the PA. I was going to hedge but i think we'll have retracements all week. we are not going to pass this 1.3638 this week. First time bears fight a level this week like it should.
  • #297,882
  • Sep 29, 2010 2:52am Sep 29, 2010 2:52am
Quoting Larseg
hehe, I can feel the fibo guys buying
Well, if we get another thrust upward in the immediate term, it should be around here. Otherwise.....
  • #297,883
  • Sep 29, 2010 2:53am Sep 29, 2010 2:53am
Quoting T@rantula
This PA is expected...Be careful however. I advise monitoring your trades as EU needs correction soon. 3650-3672 is a target for today, but I advise caution.
A little pullback seems likely before going higher. Espacialy if we take a look at the last 4h candle from gold! Very bearish!
Edit: looks to be saving some face the last minuets of this 4 candle, lets wait until it closes.
  • #297,884
  • Sep 29, 2010 2:54am Sep 29, 2010 2:54am
Quoting Larseg
hehe, I can feel the fibo guys buying
LOL, yeah, @ the 50....even if I was scalping I would skip this long, due to bearish divergence on the 5M....not to mention that what set this off was thin at best...
  • #297,885
  • Sep 29, 2010 2:56am Sep 29, 2010 2:56am
Quoting OnTheRoad
Hi,

based on SMA_200 , SMA_264 daily ( the template attached here )

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=67605

EU has more confirmations to be in Down trend for a long time.

the daily SMA_200 has broken after 22 days of battle ,
and @ 2010-01-27 the SMA_264 Broke and confirmed the Down Trend.

regards
we have seen around 2010-01-27 the break of SMA_264 after SMA_200
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=185968
and the down trend was confimed....

now:
the daily SMA_200 has broken to UP trend,
the daily SMA_264 has broken and needs confirmation(300 pips over the MA ) for UP trend.

regards
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #297,886
  • Sep 29, 2010 2:57am Sep 29, 2010 2:57am
Quoting Sunsi
A little pullback seems likely before going higher. Espacialy if we take a look at the last 4h candle from gold! Very bearish!
EU is bullish. GU and AU both hit my t/p @ h4 chart. Watch PA and levels...
I advise everyone to watch levels as it needs correction. When it happens we will know. Until then PA is BULLISH.

Also, watch UJ. BOJ may need to intervene again, selling YEN that also may push U$ higher.
  • #297,887
  • Sep 29, 2010 2:59am Sep 29, 2010 2:59am
Quoting T@rantula
EU is bullish. GU and AU both hit my t/p @ h4 chart. Watch PA and levels...
I advise everyone to watch levels as it needs correction. When it happens we will know. Until then PA is BULLISH.

Also, watch UJ. BOJ may need to intervene again, selling YEN that also may push U$ higher.
I don`t see PA on AU to bullish right now? Respected trendline, and a bearish 1h close. Do you still see that pair bullish short term=
Why do you see PA in EU bullish after a bearish 1h pin close?
  • #297,888
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:01am Sep 29, 2010 3:01am
checking usdx , still should continue down next 2 days but can be ranging , ok as per Daily tf .
h1 6th candle in bear rally , likely ranging , ok ,
m5 sell set up perfection , below resistance still , just may try with small bull rally test 78.85-88.2 ( now 1 , next ) more m5 candles to see.eu may down 3585/78.
so eu up should be very fine so far .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #297,889
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:01am Sep 29, 2010 3:01am
Quoting Azinvg
almost everyone short and medium term traders closed almost all their lots on this new high. We need a great retracement so medium term traders can load their longs again. If we close below 1.3612 im loading on 1.3570, if it closes below 1.36, then ill load on 1.3525, daily pivot. Of course, it all depends on the PA. I was going to hedge but i think we'll have retracements all week. we are not going to pass this 1.3638 this week. First time bears fight a level this week like it should.
I got 3648 as a tough nut...close enough
  • #297,890
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:05am Sep 29, 2010 3:05am
Quoting T@rantula
EU is bullish. GU and AU both hit my t/p @ h4 chart. Watch PA and levels...
I advise everyone to watch levels as it needs correction. When it happens we will know. Until then PA is BULLISH.

Also, watch UJ. BOJ may need to intervene again, selling YEN that also may push U$ higher.
When they plan to intervene again buddy? this week? next month?
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #297,891
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:06am Sep 29, 2010 3:06am
Quoting Sunsi
I don`t see PA on AU to bullish right now? Respected trendline, and a bearish 1h close. Do you still see that pair bullish short term=
Why do you see PA in EU bullish after a bearish 1h pin close?
I was talking about h4 chart setup. Targets have been reached.
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Now some pullback is expected. H4 gives a good cue of trend direction, thats why I advise caution.

EU is in bullish mode targeting 3650-3672 level today. But a strict trending w/o any serious pullbacks is likely to hit a correction.
Meanwhile EU is reaching for 8/8 MM line @ h4 chart where pullback is expected.
  • #297,892
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:10am Sep 29, 2010 3:10am
Quoting sisse
Well May panic sell off was erased. Now 1.35-36 was the infamous gap in April 10 that was also covered with this last move. The only "valid" R I have is in the weekly 1.376x and after that is nothing until the Jan 10 beginning of the debt crisis selloff but that is way above 1.44xx. IMO and from a strictly TA perspective if the day after gap high 136.6x doesn't provide R today, the weekly R is unavoidable the...
I see the same thing
I do have a few points in between for longs and shorts .Just catching what I can.I just went long
  • #297,893
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:18am Sep 29, 2010 3:18am
Quoting PhAnTi'
When they plan to intervene again buddy? this week? next month?
I dont know...But soon probably as UJ is reaching 82.85.
  • #297,894
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:21am Sep 29, 2010 3:21am
As Steve Nisson would say " it doesn't get more bearish than this as far as candle signals"
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  • #297,895
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:24am Sep 29, 2010 3:24am
True it looks like a nice reversal signal the only problem IMO is that it happened in the wrong area.

We'll see

sisse

Quoting valderrama
As Steve Nisson would say " it doesn't get more bearish than this as far as candle signals"
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #297,896
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:25am Sep 29, 2010 3:25am
Yeap and the PA for the last 3 weeks has been bear nightmare

Quoting sisse
True it looks like a nice reversal signal the only problem IMO is that it happened in the wrong area.

We'll see

sisse
  • #297,897
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:28am Sep 29, 2010 3:28am
I'm just waiting around for 1.3550ish for a possible long
I have a couple lines intersecting around there in an hour or 2

Not sure what we'll do from there tho. I feel like we possibly put in a top for the week(next couple weeks) but we'll see.

I'll probably target 40 pips for half and have the rest run if it wants.
  • #297,898
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:28am Sep 29, 2010 3:28am
Quoting valderrama
Yeap and the PA for the last 3 weeks has been bear nightmare
if the below quote holds any truth, bears have been eliminated.

#
Quoting enterfx
Interesting to see... I doubt that account for the overall sentiment otherwise it would've dropped like a rock by now.

Here's a snap shot of EWI's chart monday.


Attachment
  • #297,899
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:30am Sep 29, 2010 3:30am
and this as well.....

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-0...o-decades.html

  • #297,900
  • Sep 29, 2010 3:30am Sep 29, 2010 3:30am
Hello can the experienced traders advice me on what size of stop they are using for a day trade ?
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
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