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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #18,841
  • Sep 19, 2010 2:18pm Sep 19, 2010 2:18pm
Quoting yeri
For you guys what is the very fundamental reason that
makes USD/JPY pair goes to the lowest level at 82.88?
I was really confused since the yen was so strong and at the other side the japan debt rate was very high. A very opposite with what it should happen right? Many news said that this interfention will fail if japan gov only do this alone without any coordination. So if we see the japan debt rate we will se th USD/JPY rise sharply but iF we see the previous market reaction this pair will still go down. So which way this pair will go? Following...
I did read this too, unless some other country helps the YEN spiral downward their plan will not work.
  • #18,842
  • Sep 19, 2010 3:39pm Sep 19, 2010 3:39pm
Quoting yeri
For you guys what is the very fundamental reason that
makes USD/JPY pair goes to the lowest level at 82.88?
I was really confused since the yen was so strong and at the other side the japan debt rate was very high. A very opposite with what it should happen right? Many news said that this interfention will fail if japan gov only do this alone without any coordination. So if we see the japan debt rate we will se th USD/JPY rise sharply but iF we see the previous market reaction this pair will still go down. So which way this pair will go? Following...
IMO, JP's debt is/was/has been known for every trader all the time. Still, JP Yen went up. So, JP's debt does not concern the traders (at least now). Yen went up because Euro and US$ were not good to keep for the traders. Consider what is changed in the value of Euro and US$ after JP's intervention last week. Not much? or improved? Only when the value of Euro and US$ improve since then, the up-trend in UJ will be confirmed.

Anyway, it is going to be very interesting week...
  • #18,843
  • Sep 19, 2010 4:31pm Sep 19, 2010 4:31pm
Quoting Forexgogo
IMO, JP's debt is/was/has been known for every trader all the time. Still, JP Yen went up. So, JP's debt does not concern the traders (at least now). Yen went up because Euro and US$ were not good to keep for the traders. Consider what is changed in the value of Euro and US$ after JP's intervention last week. Not much? or improved? Only when the value of Euro and US$ improve since then, the up-trend in UJ will be confirmed.

Anyway, it is going to be very interesting week...
Another violate week. I am new by the way, happy to be apart of this website.
  • #18,844
  • Sep 19, 2010 4:33pm Sep 19, 2010 4:33pm
Forgot to add, U/J has came down over the last 2 years and after what Japan said and what their trying to accomplish. Could be go back over 100.00?
  • #18,845
  • Sep 19, 2010 5:10pm Sep 19, 2010 5:10pm
Quoting hassannumal
I did read this too, unless some other country helps the YEN spiral downward their plan will not work.
dear friend,wait for buy pullback down 84.74 target 86.90 max is 88 stop 83.74....90 wud be very very difficult....
im waiting for retrace....
Tenkan-Sen level : 85.58
Kijun-Sen level : 85.53
Ichimoku cloud top : 84.76
Ichimoku cloud bottom : 84.29
happy trade.

here is 3 am time too sleep.
A little beginner trader since 2006
  • #18,846
  • Sep 19, 2010 5:30pm Sep 19, 2010 5:30pm
i am think more intervention prior to this meeting on thur. i dont think they will do anything thur or fri. so i am think if there gonna do something its in the next 3 days. anyone else agree?
  • #18,847
  • Sep 19, 2010 6:02pm Sep 19, 2010 6:02pm
http://www.forexrainbow.com/files/mq...qtqk1vov1a.jpg
A little beginner trader since 2006
  • #18,848
  • Sep 19, 2010 11:28pm Sep 19, 2010 11:28pm
Quoting Naseri13
http://www.forexrainbow.com/files/mq...qtqk1vov1a.jpg

what are the MAs ? simple or exponential ? thanks .
  • #18,849
  • Sep 19, 2010 11:30pm Sep 19, 2010 11:30pm
Quoting mry2001
I use demark on daily chart.

I set LevDP=12. This is the most important parameter.
So demark finds the point higher(or lower) than 12 days before and after on the daily bars.

I also try it on the weekly chart and it shows very nice entry signals.

My setting is shown in the picture below.

You can play with Demark parameters by yourself.

Noted . Thanks !
  • #18,850
  • Sep 19, 2010 11:34pm Sep 19, 2010 11:34pm
Quoting smikester
You said it.
  • #18,851
  • Sep 20, 2010 12:58am Sep 20, 2010 12:58am
Quoting Forexgogo
IMO, JP's debt is/was/has been known for every trader all the time. Still, JP Yen went up. So, JP's debt does not concern the traders (at least now). Yen went up because Euro and US$ were not good to keep for the traders. Consider what is changed in the value of Euro and US$ after JP's intervention last week. Not much? or improved? Only when the value of Euro and US$ improve since then, the up-trend in UJ will be confirmed.

Anyway, it is going to be very interesting week...
correct, this intervention will not change the very fundamental condition. at my personal view this intervention only change the reaction of the market for a short time. let see this week and next week. i think the price will be take a side soon.
  • #18,852
  • Sep 20, 2010 1:12am Sep 20, 2010 1:12am
but no matter wads the side it takes, we think the same - small move down or big move up.

usd is so weak now, that a strong yen is now as strong as usd's weakness. thats how weak the yen is.
  • #18,853
  • Sep 20, 2010 2:08am Sep 20, 2010 2:08am
i'm agree UJ will test back to 84.74 (38,2%) from she starts from 82.88 before he bullish again......
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: uj 19 sept 2010.gif Size: 14 KB
  • #18,854
  • Sep 20, 2010 5:24am Sep 20, 2010 5:24am
Key Reversal Up on Weekly Chart. Market testing combined Upper Tine of Modified Schiff Pitchfork & Downtrend!

http://www.forexrainbow.com/files/q3...zpskopq8az.jpg
A little beginner trader since 2006
  • #18,855
  • Sep 20, 2010 5:37am Sep 20, 2010 5:37am
Quoting Naseri13
Key Reversal Up on Weekly Chart. Market testing combined Upper Tine of Modified Schiff Pitchfork & Downtrend!
Yet your chart shows none of the things you speak of.....wait a minute.....it isn't your analysis anyway....it belongs to someone else, from global-view.com
Attached Image
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #18,856
  • Sep 20, 2010 7:11am Sep 20, 2010 7:11am
Quoting realjumper
Yet your chart shows none of the things you speak of.....wait a minute.....it isn't your analysis anyway....it belongs to someone else, from global-view.com
Do you want too shame me ? I said he send me by mail , I have not any link on it too say about that ,
A little beginner trader since 2006
  • #18,857
  • Sep 20, 2010 7:15am Sep 20, 2010 7:15am
15 min My system

http://www.forexrainbow.com/files/ob...yi64qjjz81.jpg




Look AT MACD

http://www.forexrainbow.com/files/p9...dh63auyiy7.jpg


Now

http://www.forexrainbow.com/files/ky...lrzmrcsto6.jpg


NEW:

http://www.forexrainbow.com/files/8z...mtlv9mikba.jpg
A little beginner trader since 2006
  • #18,858
  • Sep 20, 2010 7:17am Sep 20, 2010 7:17am
Quoting realjumper
Yet your chart shows none of the things you speak of.....wait a minute.....it isn't your analysis anyway....it belongs to someone else, from global-view.com

  • #18,859
  • Sep 20, 2010 7:22am Sep 20, 2010 7:22am
Quoting Naseri13
Do you want too shame me ? I said he send me by mail , I have not any link on it too say about that ,
No, not at all. Just post your analysis, or post your teachers analysis, but don't post your teachers as if it is your own. It won't help you, or anyone else. Got to do your own analysis man
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #18,860
  • Sep 20, 2010 8:42am Sep 20, 2010 8:42am
Quoting realjumper
No, not at all. Just post your analysis, or post your teachers analysis, but don't post your teachers as if it is your own. It won't help you, or anyone else. Got to do your own analysis man
ok

still open,

http://www.forexrainbow.com/files/80...58xu166rxt.jpg
A little beginner trader since 2006
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