EURUSD

Quoting Masrim

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Well if the FED eventually resort to QE (Quantitative Easing 2), it would mean that they have reached their last resort measure. That's obviously bearish for the economy and the stocks. As Bernanke says there's only so much they can really do to revive the economy as a central bank. If they do QE 2 though it will most likely be through treasuries, which will drive bond prices up and yields down as it creates artificial demand, that's also what bond traders have been anticipating despite the rallies since the begining of the week. Also since the...

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Quoting Masrim

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Yes I very much agree, gold is something particular to watch. Also note that bond yeilds were again hitting all time lows yesterday, despite the heavy rallies in stock markets. This is very unusual. I believe a big move is in the making, and this is only the begining. I think it ultimately has to do with QE 2 by the FED, and the inevitable fact, as much as they like to lie about it, that it's going to artificially inflate the dollar, something quite dangerous. I think the market right now is trying to find balance between the obvious bearishness...

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Quoting Xismal

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Thanks a lot!

Very insightful for me. Will bookmark it for my future reference.

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Quoting Masrim

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Well if the FED eventually resort to QE (Quantitative Easing 2), it would mean that they have reached their last resort measure. That's obviously bearish for the economy and the stocks. As Bernanke says there's only so much they can really do to revive the economy as a central bank. If they do QE 2 though it will most likely be through treasuries, which will drive bond prices up and yields down as it creates artificial demand, that's also what bond traders have been anticipating despite the rallies since the begining of the week. Also since the...

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Quoting sisse

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You are rising very good points in your analysis. From your arguments the key variable is the inflationary pressure of a QE2. However, what make you think that we are not going to get to deflationary / low interest / recession spiral (ask the suckers how are still waiting for inflation and interest rates go up in Japan the last 12 years). I mean thats the whole problems that Japan has shown to the word in the last decade. I do agree that the cocktail bond market selloff and gold breaking all time highs is not particularly healthy and is a strong...

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Quoting sisse

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You are rising very good points in your analysis. From your arguments the...

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Quoting Rich80

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always the same music! usd $ 100 pips down and panic alarms about $ 100 usd pip disasters and cataclysms! This is a pair that retraces the time, I want to see next week what happens when we get to 1.3!

The trend is bearish until 1:23 / 1:21 ... 1:32 ... the resistance is strong 1.31 in the middle are retracements continues until a clear signal that the tendency toward change!

1 transaction per month for 1000 pips, margins to 1.60, 0.80, know where they go and try to find the right movement of money more than Trice and Bernanke or the Queen of...

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Quoting MarkH

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[IMG]file:///C:/DOCUME%7E1/HP_Owner/LOCALS%7E1/Temp/moz-screenshot.png[/IMG]Hey guys! Been a while since I was here. I'm thinking a long term short here... What do you think?

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Quoting enterfx

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Watching Dow and S&P, there's clear divergence on most time frames,
indicating a coming drop. EU may be at a reversal point as well. A final
push towards 3050/65 may be it before turning south again.

Looking for places to build shorts... we just got a nice discount today

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Quoting Rich80

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always the same music! usd $ 100 pips down and panic alarms about $ 100 usd pip disasters and cataclysms! This is a pair that retraces the time, I want to see next week what happens when we get to 1.3!

The trend is bearish until 1:23 / 1:21 ... 1:32 ... the resistance is strong 1.31 in the middle are retracements continues until a clear signal that the tendency toward change!

1 transaction per month for 1000 pips, margins to 1.60, 0.80, know where they go and try to find the right movement of money more than Trice and Bernanke or the Queen of...

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Quoting kidspips

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Humm! This big move was totally unexpected to me.

What you think guys? Will be it possible for eu to break any more resistance today in Asian session? Usually EU fail to break resistance at Asian session.

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Quoting Maxsmart

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my thoughts as well. I'm buying a put with a 30 day expiration. Its only 150 pips @ 1.3050. If we do indeed break out of the S&P range and the EUR/USD breaks above 1.31 I should have plenty of time value to sell it back and not lose more than 50-60 pips and if we bounce off of resistance off of the DOW and S&P and that translates into a down move on the eur/usd I will be targeting 1.2630 at least to gain at least 270 pips or more.

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Quoting Maxsmart

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my thoughts as well. I'm buying a put with a 30 day expiration. Its only 150 pips @ 1.3050. If we do indeed break out of the S&P range and the EUR/USD breaks above 1.31 I should have plenty of time value to sell it back and not lose more than 50-60 pips and if we bounce off of resistance off of the DOW and S&P and that translates into a down move on the eur/usd I will be targeting 1.2630 at least to gain at least 270 pips or more.

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