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EURUSD

  • #291,841
  • Sep 14, 2010 4:58am Sep 14, 2010 4:58am
Hey guys, check this out:

http://tiny.cc/dls2w
  • #291,842
  • Sep 14, 2010 4:59am Sep 14, 2010 4:59am
Quoting _Equilibrium
News in half hour, no one willing to risk
you mean Retail sales?
  • #291,843
  • Sep 14, 2010 4:59am Sep 14, 2010 4:59am
Quoting sisse
For your reference if you are interested.

sisse
Thanks. So we can interpret this as the interest in buying EUR at 128, 1285, ,129 is decreasing, while the interest in selling EUR at 128, and 127 increased. And the 1285, 129 puts are too expensive.

Anything else I miss or misunderstand about it?

PS. BWT, is this from CME's webpage? Thanks.
  • #291,844
  • Sep 14, 2010 4:59am Sep 14, 2010 4:59am
Quoting T@rantula
Waiting for a breakout, news will make it
I agree, it seems it just retested 1.2848 (MM 2/8 on 5m and 15m) on low volume as forecasted. It should resume downtrend targeting 1.2817, BUT news time, so I'm out for the moment.

Quoting sisse
For your reference if you are interested.
Thanks sisse!

Quoting Rich80
very important! It 's my TS!
Interesting. What's your datasource and how do you filter important levels from non-important?
Murrey Math on every TF + Divergences on higher TFs
  • #291,845
  • Edited 5:17am Sep 14, 2010 4:59am | Edited 5:17am
this may be it for the north. the 21 ema weekly has stopped north movement 4 times prier to today's touch (weekly chart). im in at 2906 and 2900. with sl set below be.. if s o i will do it again at same levels. also on the weekly the 89 ema has crossed the 200 ema by a few pips... nothing is guaranteed. just an observation that fits my long term charts. 2667 is the lower tl level...its also near a mofu on my 23xx chart.. so ping pong off the 21 back to it is not out the question. 2809 would be a bear level #3. the mid was 28596.. 28478 or 28537 may give a clue if they act as resistance.
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #291,846
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:04am Sep 14, 2010 5:04am
from the morning i didn't see the selling pressure in euro.. but as the ny session nearly to open..there is much selling pressure in euro now..lets see they manage it or loose their power..waiting for US news to take entry again..
  • #291,847
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:05am Sep 14, 2010 5:05am
Quoting zaphy
Thanks. So we can interpret this as the interest in buying EUR at 128, 1285, ,129 is decreasing, while the interest in selling EUR at 128, and 127 increased. And the 1285, 129 puts are too expensive.

Anything else I miss or misunderstand about it?
That's the distribution of CALLS/PUTS expiring in October. If price will be > (CALLS) or < (PUTS) of strike price, the option is in-the-money, otherwise it's out-of-the-money.
Murrey Math on every TF + Divergences on higher TFs
  • #291,848
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:06am Sep 14, 2010 5:06am
Quoting sash
what's wrong with bulls and bears? why it is so quite?
Quiet, you mean yes, it's quiet, people got scared after the German news, now there are more news coming. Everybody is holding the breath.
"The reason I was born and came into the world is to testify to the truth."
  • #291,849
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:07am Sep 14, 2010 5:07am
Quoting Shah22
from the morning i didn't see the selling pressure in euro.. but as the ny session nearly to open..there is much selling pressure in euro now..lets see they manage it or loose their power..waiting for US news to take entry again..
NY opens 08:30? what about Chicago? it opens 09:30 (NY time) ?
  • #291,850
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:08am Sep 14, 2010 5:08am
Quoting Redeemed1
Funny how the awful German news brought almost no reaction.
70+ pips movement, and still not over...
Murrey Math on every TF + Divergences on higher TFs
  • #291,851
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:09am Sep 14, 2010 5:09am
Well in broad lines yes that is my general reading too. Which IMO is more than enough info if you are not trading options. I think you can check that on the CME page but that chart was from my broker. It will be interesting to go further in detail on that line of analysis. I will look for something to post later so we can exchange some ideas.

Quoting zaphy
Thanks. So we can interpret this as the interest in buying EUR at 128, 1285, ,129 is decreasing, while the interest in selling EUR at 128, and 127 increased. And the 1285, 129 puts are too expensive.

Anything else I miss or misunderstand about it?

PS. BWT, is this from CME's webpage? Thanks.
LOL... For real and for those interested, this is a good article to read while we wait for reports http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/580109dc-b...44feab49a.html

sisse

Quoting T.E.Lawrence
Hey guys, check this out:
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #291,852
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:10am Sep 14, 2010 5:10am
Quoting yaser2us
what is the meaning of teh?
Hey you just made roll about laughing. I've bn away a few days and first time I've looked in for a while, seems nothing much happening till I glanced upon your question.

Don't you know that's a new kind of language, I text like that all the time - think it's down to not seeing the print too well in the dark, lol, but friends are always asking for a translation :-)
  • #291,853
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:12am Sep 14, 2010 5:12am
Quoting Redeemed1
Funny how the awful German news brought almost no reaction.
I still don't understand what was so awful on that indicator. It simply measures the expectation for the next six months. After many good numbers in the last days/weeks, it would be unrealistic to expect even more growth. Whataver... people understand news the way they want...
"The reason I was born and came into the world is to testify to the truth."
  • #291,854
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:13am Sep 14, 2010 5:13am
For anyone interested in fundamentals, I think it's important:

http://alturl.com/y298v
  • #291,855
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:14am Sep 14, 2010 5:14am
Quoting Barata
Short @ 28535


TP @ 27490


good entry..I am with you...
Buy low , Sell high
  • #291,856
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:23am Sep 14, 2010 5:23am
Quoting harvest3r
I still don't understand what was so awful on that indicator. It simply measures the expectation for the next six months. After many good numbers in the last days/weeks, it would be unrealistic to expect even more growth. Whataver... people understand news the way they want...
Its all about expectations vs. speculation...NOT about seeing it the way" I want". The German numbers were WAY below expectations which usually brings forth more reaction. I've seen good German numbers on top of previous good German numbers that send EUR skyrocketing. Just sayin'.
  • #291,857
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:23am Sep 14, 2010 5:23am
Quoting T.E.Lawrence
For anyone interested in fundamentals, I think it's important:

http://alturl.com/y298v
we have been in trouble for years even as dow was at all time high.. it was built on deflated usd. so its all smoke and mirrors.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #291,858
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:24am Sep 14, 2010 5:24am
Just a quick snapshot mins before the reports... Check the differences.

sisse


Quoting zaphy
Thanks. So we can interpret this as the interest in buying EUR at 128, 1285, ,129 is decreasing, while the interest in selling EUR at 128, and 127 increased. And the 1285, 129 puts are too expensive.

Anything else I miss or misunderstand about it?

PS. BWT, is this from CME's webpage? Thanks.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Eurooptions2.png Size: 26 KB
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #291,859
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:25am Sep 14, 2010 5:25am
I think we'll see a spike up soon after news release. Just an impression based on PA. That's why I closed my short before.
Murrey Math on every TF + Divergences on higher TFs
  • #291,860
  • Sep 14, 2010 5:29am Sep 14, 2010 5:29am
Quoting sisse
Just a quick snapshot mins before the reports... Check the differences.

sisse

puts are bought or sold put options??
There is only one right price.... what the customer is willing to pay !
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