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EURUSD

  • #291,221
  • Sep 12, 2010 12:57am Sep 12, 2010 12:57am
it seems that eur/usd will have a decline trend recently.
  • #291,222
  • Sep 12, 2010 1:54am Sep 12, 2010 1:54am
My finger is n the short button but will wait till we have a real clean break to the downside in euro. I care not about fundamentals and neither about news. I trade simply the charts. This keeps my mind clear.
My gut feeling is that the euro will go down towards the 1.25 area and even more in the coming period. But standing on the sidelines for now...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #291,223
  • Sep 12, 2010 2:15am Sep 12, 2010 2:15am
Quoting hutrader
I care not about fundamentals and neither about news. I trade simply the charts. This keeps my mind clear.

My gut feeling is that the euro will go down...
I could not find your "gut feeling" indicator on your chart....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #291,224
  • Sep 12, 2010 2:17am Sep 12, 2010 2:17am
Quoting hutrader
My finger is n the short button but will wait till we have a real clean break to the downside in euro. I care not about fundamentals and neither about news. I trade simply the charts. This keeps my mind clear.
My gut feeling is that the euro will go down towards the 1.25 area and even more in the coming period. But standing on the sidelines for now...
It could just keep ranging to keep people on their toes... up down up down no volume yup keep people guessing thats what I think it will do
  • #291,225
  • Sep 12, 2010 2:39am Sep 12, 2010 2:39am
Quoting sisse
I like challenging common assumptions and trading myths. However, your chart and analysis is completly missleading. Using 1 daily bar true range to define an intraday trending day is not only wrong but is a dangerous assumption (trending in the daily? in a 240M? in H1? in 5M in 3000 tick?...it doesnt make any sense assuming that all intraday timeframes were in perfect trending synch). If it were that easy to determine live trends...

More than half of your so call trending days are actually very choppy and range intraday action that go back and...

Interesting, now tell me. What is better to explain a trend than higher highs and LL?
  • #291,226
  • Sep 12, 2010 3:04am Sep 12, 2010 3:04am
Hey guys,

If this scenario doesn't play out in the days ahead, i'll look for a clear break of the downside during London session only.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2010-09-12_1741-eurusd.png Size: 79 KB


Add to this the fact the volume is getting higher on the topside and slowing down on the downside. I'm not a pro in volume analysis, but it looks to me as if it wants to break the upside.
We'll see what happens in the coming days.
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #291,227
  • Sep 12, 2010 3:42am Sep 12, 2010 3:42am
i have kept track of the price over the weekend as i have an open position. Can anyone confirm that the price has now moved to 1.2715?

Thank you in advance
  • #291,228
  • Edited 4:26am Sep 12, 2010 4:04am | Edited 4:26am
Quoting kuroro001
Hey guys,

If this scenario doesn't play out in the days ahead, i'll look for a clear break of the downside during London session only.

Attachment

Add to this the fact the volume is getting higher on the topside and slowing down on the downside. I'm not a pro in volume analysis, but it looks to me as if it wants to break the upside.
We'll see what happens in the coming days.
totally confised areas & market should take decision about still . checking usdix , most probable still remain down to the bottom rt there if not down but though not much probable can still up as 200ma in all tf below weekly below the price as support.
whatever happen if further up & not break 84.13 & 85.08 decisively should back to the bottom , the more up & fail the more it can down below bottom possible .

ultimate though up at the middle or near bottom ok as though usdx staggering low but it unfolded big wave up unlike big down eu & other usd pairs.
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dx.gif Size: 17 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #291,229
  • Sep 12, 2010 4:50am Sep 12, 2010 4:50am
...waiting for a readable price action.

If 2010.06.27 L 2.2050 won't be broken good time for several enter longs...

...could go just as well in a sideway movement.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURLFX, Weekly, 2010 September 12.jpg Size: 275 KB
  • #291,230
  • Sep 12, 2010 7:11am Sep 12, 2010 7:11am
Quoting valderrama
i have kept track of the price over the weekend as i have an open position. Can anyone confirm that the price has now moved to 1.2715?

Thank you in advance
My weekend price source is showing 1.2718.

I also have an open position.
  • #291,231
  • Sep 12, 2010 7:12am Sep 12, 2010 7:12am
Quoting valderrama
i have kept track of the price over the weekend as i have an open position. Can anyone confirm that the price has now moved to 1.2715?

Thank you in advance
My weekend price source is showing 1.2718.

I also have an open position. I am short.
  • #291,232
  • Sep 12, 2010 7:14am Sep 12, 2010 7:14am
Quoting sisse
I like challenging common assumptions and trading myths. However, your chart and analysis is completly missleading. Using 1 daily bar true range to define an intraday trending day is not only wrong but is a dangerous assumption (trending in the daily? in a 240M? in H1? in 5M in 3000 tick?...it doesnt make any sense assuming that all intraday timeframes were in perfect trending synch). If it were that easy to determine live trends...

More than half of your so call trending days are actually very choppy and range intraday action that go back and...
And who said anything about intraday trendline and daily bars?

And how the F can this be dangerous?

Do you know what... don't even reply cause I won't
  • #291,233
  • Sep 12, 2010 7:26am Sep 12, 2010 7:26am
Thank you

Quoting moonchild
My weekend price source is showing 1.2718.

I also have an open position. I am short.
  • #291,234
  • Sep 12, 2010 7:33am Sep 12, 2010 7:33am
Identifying "paradigm shifts" by visualizing the strength (and phase) of certain auto-correlations. Changes in the "vibrations", the "rhythm" of the market:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #291,235
  • Sep 12, 2010 10:38am Sep 12, 2010 10:38am
Quoting Larseg
Just playing around...

3 day trend minimum for being accepted as a trend...

70% trending 40% not trending... killing the 70% non trending myth?

50+36 =86 and not 76
  • #291,236
  • Sep 12, 2010 10:42am Sep 12, 2010 10:42am
Quoting moonchild
My weekend price source is showing 1.2718.

I also have an open position. I am short.

If you are short you will be happy to know that the actually close price was 1.2676 as the market fell in the last 30 minutes of trade. Most MT4 servers show a close at 1.2718 but in fact the close was 1.2676. The chart here is from one of my live accounts with FXclub. This is a 5minute chart and reflects Fridays close at 1.2676.
On the otherhand this news will certainly effect the EUR/USD and a large gap upward could occur and the drop at close was just a set up for that gap.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Greek-...n&asset=&ccode=

Good trades to all either way.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #291,237
  • Sep 12, 2010 10:51am Sep 12, 2010 10:51am
Quoting netrader06
If you are short you will be happy to know that the actually close price was 1.2676 as the market fell in the last 30 minutes of trade. Most MT4 servers show a close at 1.2718 but in fact the close was 1.2676. The chart here is from one of my live accounts with FXclub. This is a 5minute chart and reflects Fridays close at 1.2676....
What I am using actually shows a friday close at 1.2680 but a current price of 1.2718.
  • #291,238
  • Sep 12, 2010 11:37am Sep 12, 2010 11:37am
Spreads still rissing in the yields sell eur..
Attached Image
  • #291,239
  • Sep 12, 2010 12:08pm Sep 12, 2010 12:08pm
Quoting moonchild
My weekend price source is showing 1.2718.

I also have an open position. I am short.
there is no weekend price, there's only a market price

tomorrow expect a flat, maybe slightly higher opening.

sell the strenght should work again in the short term
  • #291,240
  • Sep 12, 2010 12:09pm Sep 12, 2010 12:09pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Spreads still rissing in the yields sell eur..
or buy some greek debt...why not??
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