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  • #287,621
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:06pm Aug 31, 2010 12:06pm
wish you all the best guys...sleeping time here...take care
  • #287,622
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:09pm Aug 31, 2010 12:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
euro is decoupling slowly but surely from chf verses usd. who would of thunk.. uc is going down with the eu atm
it means the euro still has legs
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #287,623
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:13pm Aug 31, 2010 12:13pm
From where are those #s coming from???. Weekly started the next wave down on monday when 1.270x had a clean break.

From a static single weekly timeframe analysis 1.264x is the start of a weak rejection but nothing more IMO. If you want real short pressure (a good trend) it needs a clean break 1.252x to easily see 1.236x but its too early and it will also need NFP support.

sisse


Quoting neo1599
Doubt anyone will use the info, but here it is anyway:

Keep a sharp eye on weekly chart for a close below 2645. If we do close it opens up 2329 as T1.

If we manage to close below 2329 on weekly it validates a H&S on weekly chart which is more than 2700 pips.
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #287,624
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:14pm Aug 31, 2010 12:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
euro is decoupling slowly but surely from chf verses usd. who would of thunk.. uc is going down with the eu atm
i buy eurusd at 12744 & sell usdchf at 10265
what could i do...........help
  • #287,625
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:15pm Aug 31, 2010 12:15pm
Quoting pips_buster
what is decoupling?
tit for tat as eu went up or down, uc did the same in a inverse reaction. also the same with commodities. that correlation is less then it was. eux shows it well..... its near all time lows. while chf is near all time highs verses usd.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #287,626
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:20pm Aug 31, 2010 12:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
tit for tat as eu went up or down, uc did the same in a inverse reaction. also the same with commodities. that correlation is less then it was. eux shows it well..... its near all time lows. while chf is near all time highs verses usd.
Someone is buying massively Swissy (risk aversion)

ec is diving, uc is diving

bounces are in preparation
  • #287,627
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:22pm Aug 31, 2010 12:22pm
Quoting username
Are you seeing something that i'm not ? I dont see a H and S on the Weekly EU chart .... where is it ? Post a pic ?

Update: I think u meant monthly .... then ya if it closes lower than that level, possible a LONG term downtrend.
Its not perfect but I read it as H&S(may very well be wrong).Neckline may be taken a bit higher but I take it at 2329. See below:
Attached Image
  • #287,628
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:23pm Aug 31, 2010 12:23pm
Plunge protection activated on Wall street
  • #287,629
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:26pm Aug 31, 2010 12:26pm
Quoting style2fx
Someone is buying massively Swissy (risk aversion)

ec is diving, uc is diving

bounces are in preparation
buyers dont have a endless supply of money.. i like when all are buying.. i know where the bumps are. i wish everyone would buy.. hey but what happens when you run out of buyers?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #287,630
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:27pm Aug 31, 2010 12:27pm
Quoting sisse
From where are those #s coming from???. Weekly started the next wave down on monday when 1.270x had a clean break.

From a static single weekly timeframe analysis 1.264x is the start of a weak rejection but nothing more IMO. If you want real short pressure (a good trend) it needs a clean break 1.252x to easily see 1.236x but its too early and it will also need NFP support.

sisse
I am using Fibs and 2645 is a 23.6 level. EU hasn't been able to close below it for the last two weeks. After this the next Fib according to my chart is 1.2329.
  • #287,631
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:28pm Aug 31, 2010 12:28pm
Your chart is not very clear. I think you are "jumping the gun" with that H&S analysis according to your chart (I don't trade patterns like that but check the daily if you like H&S, that one is clear and confirmed) ... in any case good luck with your trading.

sisse

Quoting neo1599
Its not perfect but I read it as H&S(may very well be wrong).Neckline may be taken a bit higher but I take it at 2329. See below:
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #287,632
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:30pm Aug 31, 2010 12:30pm
this has been in the works for years. next tl hit here is below eu 1876.. if it dont hold even lower..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gator.PNG Size: 39 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #287,633
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:30pm Aug 31, 2010 12:30pm
Quoting style2fx
Someone is buying massively Swissy (risk aversion)

ec is diving, uc is diving

bounces are in preparation
Watch out for SNB intervention - again. If it happens as some pundits have suggested, it could push this up 300 pips.
I've been considering shorting UC since Sunday but have been affraid of getting caught short in an intervention so better stay out.
If only I knew then what I know now...
  • #287,634
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:30pm Aug 31, 2010 12:30pm
Quoting sisse
Your chart is not very clear. I think you are "jumping the gun" with that H&S analysis according to your chart (I don't trade patterns like that but check the daily if you like H&S, that one is clear and confirmed) ... in any case good luck with your trading.

sisse

I agree I am "jumping the gun" on that one. I have just stated it as a possibility if we manage to break 2329. I wont initiate a trade based on that till then.

Even though I am on the Short side for LT.
  • #287,635
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:31pm Aug 31, 2010 12:31pm
I believe and expect €/$ 1.2645 tonight. Bear is strengthening and it wont take so long when he will express his full power.
  • #287,636
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:35pm Aug 31, 2010 12:35pm
It looks like somebody doesn't want the Dow closing below 10,000
If only I knew then what I know now...
  • #287,637
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:37pm Aug 31, 2010 12:37pm
Hi every body...

H&S on MN15 chart in formation. Break of 660 confirms the H&S, might move down to 630 and eventually 605.

Seems there is more bearish potential during Asian session...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR-USD MN15.JPG Size: 114 KB
  • #287,638
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:41pm Aug 31, 2010 12:41pm
Quoting Alexgee
It looks like somebody doesn't want the Dow closing below 10,000
Looks like it was testing the intraday support now turned resistance, I'd keep an eye on the ES though, a meaningful break below 1040 could spell fireworks for a couple of pairs.
This is what awesome feels like
  • #287,639
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:41pm Aug 31, 2010 12:41pm
Quoting Alexgee
Watch out for SNB intervention - again. If it happens as some pundits have suggested, it could push this up 300 pips.
coulda shoulda - good correlation more likely when the euro was in better shape, even then not always so strong
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #287,640
  • Aug 31, 2010 12:41pm Aug 31, 2010 12:41pm
Hey there

Quoting gatorinla
2749 is a mid to 2873. but 4749 is also the upper edge of the 2008 lower move mofu zone.
I'm assuming 4749 was a typo and you meant 2749, but even still - I drew fib levels from this 2008 downmove (6038 to 2328) and don't have any levels close to 2749, except for 2766. However it is not a level in the mid zone...

So far I have been able to figure out most of the targets- I just wanted to clear up: for bull targets, you use historical downmove fibs, and for bear targets you use historical upmove fibs? (since they would be retracements..?)

Also having difficulty finding where 2799 comes in.

Quoting gatorinla
st bull levels
#1 26955 mid/target 2766
#2 2712................ 27996
#3 2749 ................2873

[color=red]st bear levels
[color=red]#1 26866.........2632
#2 2645..........2549
#3 24314........26363

[color=red][color=black]2686 respected says look for 2632.. if this happens...
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