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  • #285,461
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:16am Aug 24, 2010 11:16am
Quoting SaviorSix
looking like a bull flag though....although top of the channel I have is 2750
read a few post above that one. i said when bull flag turns to bear
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #285,462
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:16am Aug 24, 2010 11:16am
BB tighten, may be waiting for tomorrow news "New home sales" (no.. just kidding )
  • #285,463
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:16am Aug 24, 2010 11:16am
I wake up and find this gorilla bull bar on my chart.
No issue, look at your h4, we are still running a bear channel. Seems to have been a push up for more big players to get better short positions. still holding 3000. 2750. 2720. tp 1900. Pendings sells set every 200 to 2100. sl 2750 Happy trading to everyone. I'm out.
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #285,464
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:16am Aug 24, 2010 11:16am
Now bear have a chance to renew the action if bear can go it will be death blow.
On the other hand bull chance is 65% to go up.
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #285,465
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:20am Aug 24, 2010 11:20am
Critical at 1.2668-9 where is the peak of position accumulation of yesterdays down leg in the evening, its trying to crack it down but not sure if it makes it.

Needs some time and needs to close under it (30 min tf)
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #285,466
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:22am Aug 24, 2010 11:22am
Quoting gatorinla
read a few post above that one. i said when bull flag turns to bear
right...gotcha!


just as a sidenote ever since I started using fib channels and MM indicator, it's made things a lot easier (relatively speaking)
  • #285,467
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:27am Aug 24, 2010 11:27am
4H closing below 2663.. then i didnt buy it again..if above yes i do
  • #285,468
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:29am Aug 24, 2010 11:29am
Quoting ak4x
You got that right.... that's why I trade my own charts and use a Line Style as well. Try that some time and see what you think. The Line style has kept me out of trouble about the same as candle charts have gotten me into trouble.

Just for grins, here's your 4h chart on a 12hr scale starting from the early June LOWS to now with some alternative neckline scenarios and Target TL's drawn in white. Remembering the scale is 12hr, this could all take a while to work out , assuming it ever does. Still, the Lower red box is where I think we'll...
Very cool, thanks
  • #285,469
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:31am Aug 24, 2010 11:31am
Quoting Z3iz3i
Critical at 1.2668-9 where is the peak of position accumulation of yesterdays down leg in the evening, its trying to crack it down but not sure if it makes it.

Needs some time and needs to close under it (30 min tf)
Doh.....another try to break upside....
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #285,470
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:32am Aug 24, 2010 11:32am
Quoting ak4x
You got that right.... that's why I trade my own charts and use a Line Style as well. Try that some time and see what you think. The Line style has kept me out of trouble about the same as candle charts have gotten me into trouble.

Just for grins, here's your 4h chart on a 12hr scale starting from the early June LOWS to now with some alternative neckline scenarios and Target TL's drawn in white. Remembering the scale is 12hr, this could all take a while to work out , assuming it ever does. Still, the Lower red box is where I think we'll...
A few h&S's to consider. Not picture perfect, but still verifiable. Yellow is neck line. As we can see oil as completed, but Dow and S&P have yet to finish.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: head and shoulders neck lines.JPG Size: 208 KB
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #285,471
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:33am Aug 24, 2010 11:33am
This is a normal retracement after a move up from 1.19 to 1.33...
US Dollar is trash... Get out of that Ponzi scheme !!!
  • #285,472
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:34am Aug 24, 2010 11:34am
Good article on the latest COT report here:
http://www.forexrazor.com/Analysis/Quick-View.aspx
  • #285,473
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:45am Aug 24, 2010 11:45am
Quoting Bootleger
This is a normal retracement after a move up from 1.19 to 1.33...

Is it?

Or was the move up from 1.19 to 1.33 a retracement of the move down from 1.5143 to 1.1875?
  • #285,474
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:49am Aug 24, 2010 11:49am
Quoting Hdkr
Good article on the latest COT report here:
http://www.forexrazor.com/Analysis/Quick-View.aspx
The problem that I have with cot reports are that they lag worse than indicators.
attached is my chart that I used for sentiment change. I generally use a crossing of the middle bollinger band on the daily to judge a change of direction. (Until we reach the top band.) This particular crossing was interesting not only because of the volume in the bar, but also the fact it was rejected from a 200 sma. 200 sma is used a lot down on the floor for stocks, so U thought it would be interesting to use as a confirmation indicator. in addition, throw a bb on your 4 hour, and notice the clear rejection from the middle band of today's move.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: sentiment change.jpg Size: 165 KB
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #285,475
  • Aug 24, 2010 11:55am Aug 24, 2010 11:55am
Quoting neo1599
Is it?

Or was the move up from 1.19 to 1.33 a retracement of the move down from 1.5143 to 1.1875?
Or was the move down from 1.5142 to 1.1875 a retracement of the move up from 0.8225 to 1.6038??? *Mind = Blown*
  • #285,476
  • Edited 12:19pm Aug 24, 2010 12:00pm | Edited 12:19pm
Lets see how this work at this level usdx , do or die, no intermediate solution perhaps .Respect this up as a 4th consolidation then die or start bull impulse may up breaking all confirmation levels above but in lower tf it seems completed abc waves or 5 waves up and so down as 5th wave down to at least bottom possible .
By this time eu expecting up towards 1.2742-63 ( price break 2733 should indicate these pa ) , fall towards 2643-21 before further up perhaps 1.2826, all possible just opposit what apparently seeing as HS , so long still active.
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dx.gif Size: 10 KB
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #285,477
  • Aug 24, 2010 12:03pm Aug 24, 2010 12:03pm
Quoting SaviorSix
Or was the move down from 1.5142 to 1.1875 a retracement of the move up from 0.8225 to 1.6038??? *Mind = Blown*
LOL perception n TF.
  • #285,478
  • Aug 24, 2010 12:09pm Aug 24, 2010 12:09pm
Quoting Hdkr
Good article on the latest COT report here:
http://www.forexrazor.com/Analysis/Quick-View.aspx
Thanks!
  • #285,479
  • Aug 24, 2010 12:13pm Aug 24, 2010 12:13pm
This 1.2668-9 is kind of balance point of positions where sentiment for the rest of the week CAN change direction.

Waiting decisive move.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #285,480
  • Aug 24, 2010 12:27pm Aug 24, 2010 12:27pm
Quoting mercy seat
EUR/USD :


Elliott points down from 1.2922 with projection down to below 1.2625 - 1.2618 and/or as extention wave to 1.2574 ...

Valid as long as 1.2657 - 1.2779 may offer resistance. Downside bias mild but active in neutralized setup below 1.2649 zone. Imminent end of bearish move potential. Ideally bounce from 1.2623 or 1.2607 / 03 area. After all a move towards 1.2690 or 1.2708 is possible again then ...

Cross of above 1.2738 / 49 would strengthen the upside ...


palim palim


EUR/USD :


Elliott points down from 1.2922 with projection down to below 1.2625 - 1.2618 and/or as extention wave to 1.2574 ...

Valid as long as 1.2657 - 1.2779 may offer resistance. Downside bias mild but active in neutralized setup below 1.2649 zone. Imminent end of bearish move potential. Ideally bounce from 1.2623 or 1.2607 / 03 area. After all a move towards 1.2690 or 1.2708 is possible again then ...

Cross of above 1.2738 / 49 would strengthen the upside ...


palim palim


I am content with the day - could have been better in realizing with more pip results - but overall the estimation worked well. First it went down during Samurai Sessions ... furthermore range in thight span during early European Session ... still with mild downside bias ... but then - after all that - a move up towards 1.2690 - 1.2708 has been done then again ...

Highest has been 1.27189

Lowest has been 1.25881 with my/our connections ...

We longed it from 1.25907 with limit orders ...

Out at 27077 ...

Limited upside potential from here ...




schön und gut ...

bibib
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