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  • #279,521
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:18pm Aug 9, 2010 8:18pm
Quoting ziko123
as I said no 1.35 because it will be very obvious short, the dollar index is down 9 consecutive weeks, the last time this happened was in oct 2004 and it went down for 11 consecutive weeks and it recovered all of that in the following 20 weeks, so if it goes to 1.35 it will be a very easy short with at least 800 pips down, that is why I don't expect it to reach 1.35, I'm already short from 1.3320, if it does go to 1.35 and 1.36 them I'll be more than happy to add to my short at these levels

told you, +130 pips , stop @BE, target 1.3
  • #279,522
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:20pm Aug 9, 2010 8:20pm
Quoting FFBrian13
Thinking it was more pre-Tokyo fix Yen selling than anything.
Tokyo is already opened, and if you sell a good, it decreases in value. Yen is gaining value across the board someone must be buying it

Anyway, don't stress about the causes of a movement, just try to ride it
Traders are smartasses
  • #279,523
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:20pm Aug 9, 2010 8:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
most moves behave this way. thats if i get the right number. 3281... i got this one late in the move. but it seems to get some respect. it was the stop number where the pair hesitated early in the move after nfp. but you can see its been posted for weeks. i got a bad habit of thinking i know more then math said. i will post some baby bear targets.. doing the math
looks normal to me.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #279,524
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:20pm Aug 9, 2010 8:20pm
Quoting ziko123
told you, +130 pips , stop @BE, target 1.3
nice trade but why be so boastful ? I lost 130 pip but i do not boast about it ... rofl
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #279,525
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:21pm Aug 9, 2010 8:21pm
Quoting kuroro001
Yeh Mine is 1,3160-1,3165....then a minor support at the 1,3140 area which should not cause any problem...but the next important support is at 1,3080

Anyway no position taken for today...i'll wait tomorrow, once FOMC has done his shit
EURUSD has almost lost all its gains after Friday's NFP. I'll love to have another timezone to see what London boys are going to do in 8 hours from now. AUD and Yen reacting too.
  • #279,526
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:21pm Aug 9, 2010 8:21pm
Quoting Spsantos
Tokyo is already opened, and if you sell a good, it decreases in value. Yen is gaining value across the board someone must be buying it

Anyway, don't stress about the causes of a movement, just try to ride it

ahhhh, meant Euro selling/Yen buying. Thinking faster than I can type.
"If it was good enough for Gann, it's good enough for me..."
  • #279,527
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:22pm Aug 9, 2010 8:22pm
Quoting Spsantos
Tokyo is already opened, and if you sell a good, it decreases in value. Yen is gaining value across the board someone must be buying it

Anyway, don't stress about the causes of a movement, just try to ride it
I just want the Yen to tank by September. I'm going there and the Izakaya will be a lot cheaper that way
Not all sins are created equal
  • #279,528
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:22pm Aug 9, 2010 8:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
looks normal to me.
not normal at all ... go back and see how many time we have had such moves . There was one that marked a low of a 1000 pip move up about the same time and same volume on a 30 min ... now i got to go back and find it
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #279,529
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:23pm Aug 9, 2010 8:23pm
Quoting FFBrian13
ahhhh, meant Euro selling/Yen buying. Thinking faster than I can type.
It's ok.

Happens to the best, and to me sometimes
Traders are smartasses
  • #279,530
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:24pm Aug 9, 2010 8:24pm
Quoting malcolmb14
not normal at all ... go back and see how many time we have had such moves . There was one that marked a low of a 1000 pip move up about the same time and same volume on a 30 min ... now i got to go back and find it

what do you think it is, something like a shakeout?
  • #279,531
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:25pm Aug 9, 2010 8:25pm
Buona sera, ragazzi.
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
  • #279,532
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:25pm Aug 9, 2010 8:25pm
eur/usd break of 1.3150 should test 1.300
  • #279,533
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:26pm Aug 9, 2010 8:26pm
Quoting Larseg
I am waiting for a pullback to buy more...
Here is what I am looking for not including USDindx... Which is quite bearish I might add...

Blowing my own horn here...

Next problem is when to buy...
  • #279,534
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:29pm Aug 9, 2010 8:29pm
Quoting Jay Walker
I just want the Yen to tank by September. I'm going there and the Izakaya will be a lot cheaper that way
Don't talk to me about the Yen, I've been eyeballing it since it reached 87.00 to short it for longer term since it's on historical lows, i've lost count but it's well over 10 or 15 years the yen has been so "strong".
The japs aren't doing anything so far to tank it, I guess they're waiting for the US and EUR to get back on track to start the drill again. Except this time things are looking pretty more grim.

Anyway Jay, geishas are pretty expensive. (so they say )
Traders are smartasses
  • #279,535
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:30pm Aug 9, 2010 8:30pm
Quoting Larseg
Next problem is when to buy...
3 weeks ago.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #279,536
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:32pm Aug 9, 2010 8:32pm
Quoting Spsantos
Don't talk to me about the Yen, I've been eyeballing it since it reached 87.00 to short it for longer term since it's on historical lows, i've lost count but it's well over 10 or 15 years the yen has been so "strong".
The japs aren't doing anything so far to tank it, I guess they're waiting for the US and EUR to get back on track to start the drill again. Except this time things are looking pretty more grim.

Anyway Jay, geishas are pretty expensive. (so they say )
Nevermind the geishas. The soaplands are just insane. And no, I don't know that from first hand experience. Even if I wanted to, they're not very Gaijin friendly.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #279,537
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:37pm Aug 9, 2010 8:37pm
Quoting Jay Walker
3 weeks ago.

Been in and out long since 1.19
But I don't share your inzane patience


But Intra I reckon we should see some support before 1.3160... So cheap cheap cheap
  • #279,538
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:40pm Aug 9, 2010 8:40pm
Quoting malcolmb14
not normal at all ... go back and see how many time we have had such moves . There was one that marked a low of a 1000 pip move up about the same time and same volume on a 30 min ... now i got to go back and find it
depends on perspective. there is more then one way to skin a cat. they repeat over and over.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #279,539
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:49pm Aug 9, 2010 8:49pm
Gatorinla,

What is your advice : should I hold my long from the past time of euro smelling bull, and waiting for bounce, (opened at 1.3223), or should I close it ?
my previous sl is 1.3033
  • #279,540
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:49pm Aug 9, 2010 8:49pm
Went long, next is hopefully 1.36

Bu I don't like the LH-HL on the daily...
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