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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #17,521
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:37am Aug 9, 2010 8:37am
Quoting blue_z_zz
from where do you have this info on 86% long usdjpy ist from brokers web sites like fxcm and oanda or from the official COT report from Commodity Futures Trading Commission which clearly states non commercial specultive net long yen
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0612395520100806
Interesting, data is from fxcm
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #17,522
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:46am Aug 9, 2010 8:46am
Quoting USD-Bear
Interesting, data is from fxcm
and you know why speculative positions are long yen and whats driving the yen stronger is this

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTOE66705G20100708


http://www.businessweek.com/news/201...and-eases.html
Bulls Make Money, Bears Make Money, Pigs Get Slaughtered
  • #17,523
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:51am Aug 9, 2010 8:51am
Quoting blue_z_zz
and you know why their long yen and whats driving the yen stronger is this

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTOE66705G20100708


http://www.businessweek.com/news/201...and-eases.html
You're correct...but as I said a few pages back, debt is debt, it doesn't matter you you owe...you still owe!!!....and there's no way around that. Sooner or later the house of cards will come tumbling down.
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #17,524
  • Aug 9, 2010 9:00am Aug 9, 2010 9:00am
Quoting realjumper
You're correct...but as I said a few pages back, debt is debt, it doesn't matter you you owe...you still owe!!!....and there's no way around that. Sooner or later the house of cards will come tumbling down.
its really going to be interesting to see the red dragons and the kamikaze's go head to head in the next few of months its going to be bloody so if you can handle that trade the yen if you can not then take patience advice and stay away
Bulls Make Money, Bears Make Money, Pigs Get Slaughtered
  • #17,525
  • Aug 9, 2010 9:05am Aug 9, 2010 9:05am
Quoting blue_z_zz
its really going to be interesting to see the red dragons and the kamikaze's go head to head in the next few of months its going to be bloody so if you can handle that trade the yen if you can not then take paitents advice and stay away
Yeah it will be interesting for sure. I 'cut my teeth' on this pair and I work for a Japanese owned (and mostly staffed) company here in NZ, so I've got a pretty good feel for this pair. When the house of cards comes tumbling down, and it will, heads will roll....literally.
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #17,526
  • Aug 9, 2010 10:47am Aug 9, 2010 10:47am
seems it is already a reversal trend.......

I think the bottom is 85,02.... but it could become double bottom..
Steady as the beating drum,,,
  • #17,527
  • Aug 9, 2010 10:50am Aug 9, 2010 10:50am
Quoting USD-Bear
With 86% of traders long I expect some stop hunting.

Short @ 85.60
SL @ 85.80
Target open

H1:
Attachment
Stopped @ 85.80
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #17,528
  • Aug 9, 2010 10:59am Aug 9, 2010 10:59am
Quoting USD-Bear
Stopped @ 85.80
USD Bear i respect you becouse you post bad trades same as your wins and i love to see that...


Post loose one on my new thread >

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...59#post3932459


Cheers
"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #17,529
  • Aug 9, 2010 11:03am Aug 9, 2010 11:03am
USDJPY i still have buy from 85.40 TP opened SL 100 pips risk 1 % i wil try to go for 400-500 we will see for 2,3 weeks...





Cheers


Petar
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"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #17,530
  • Aug 9, 2010 11:07am Aug 9, 2010 11:07am
http://blogs.wsj.com/source/2010/08/...ces-for-japan/

interesting articale if you like gambling hold the yen today as the articale states at the end "It’s a tough one, this. Be wary of anyone who claims to really know the answer. (Unless they’re Yoshihiko Noda.) so long or short its 50-50 chance for a big move by asian open tommorow
Bulls Make Money, Bears Make Money, Pigs Get Slaughtered
  • #17,531
  • Aug 9, 2010 11:10am Aug 9, 2010 11:10am
Quoting Petar_Serbia
USDJPY i still have buy from 85.40 TP opened SL 100 pips risk 1 % i wil try to go for 400-500 we will see for 2,3 weeks...





Cheers


Petar
just for your info BOJ last intervened in 2004 so their was no interventions as stated on you charts
Bulls Make Money, Bears Make Money, Pigs Get Slaughtered
  • #17,532
  • Aug 9, 2010 11:16am Aug 9, 2010 11:16am
what a blast !
Attached Image
  • #17,533
  • Aug 9, 2010 11:19am Aug 9, 2010 11:19am
Quoting Petar_Serbia
USD Bear i respect you becouse you post bad trades same as your wins and i love to see that...


Post loose one on my new thread >

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...59#post3932459


Cheers
Thanks Petar, not sure I'm happy about it but yes accustomed to always tell the whole story, good or bad.....
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #17,534
  • Aug 9, 2010 11:24am Aug 9, 2010 11:24am
USDJPY i still have buy from 85.50 with 4 Lots..
and taking profit 86.00 ....
is it possible before US market close?
  • #17,535
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:49pm Aug 9, 2010 8:49pm
might range or drop ... ?

hit the resistance at 85.95 and now at cross roads of resistance turned support ... might take a dive (keeping with downward channel) or float around the surface (range) .. before deciding to make a move up or down ...?
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  • #17,536
  • Aug 9, 2010 8:52pm Aug 9, 2010 8:52pm
Quoting TheArcher
might range or drop ... ?

hit the resistance at the cross roads of 85.95 ... might take a dive or float around the surface ...?
It's hovering around the daily pivot at the moment, unsure of which way to go. It could go and retest the recent low...or not. It's a waiting game for me at the moment
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #17,537
  • Aug 9, 2010 9:05pm Aug 9, 2010 9:05pm
Quoting realjumper
It's hovering around the daily pivot at the moment, unsure of which way to go. It could go and retest the recent low...or not. It's a waiting game for me at the moment
shot me ur daily pivot ... i want to put it manually on my chart for observation .. thanks .

  • #17,538
  • Aug 9, 2010 9:20pm Aug 9, 2010 9:20pm
The broken channel should bring in some sellers on a retest of the previous selling zone, the question is will it continue, or did last weeks NFP post some type of capitulation for the short term with the pair.

Failure to make a new low and we could finally see some type of short squeeze take place.

fwiw........
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  • #17,539
  • Aug 9, 2010 9:33pm Aug 9, 2010 9:33pm
Quoting TheArcher
shot me ur daily pivot ... i want to put it manually on my chart for observation .. thanks .

85.75
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #17,540
  • Aug 10, 2010 2:30am Aug 10, 2010 2:30am
china still buying JGB

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTOE67802Z20100809
Bulls Make Money, Bears Make Money, Pigs Get Slaughtered
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