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  • #277,901
  • Aug 4, 2010 9:51am Aug 4, 2010 9:51am
Quoting Atlast
Good morning.
Seems there's building momentum in expectations of Euro climbing much higher.
Personally I'd give it 1 more day before the big retrace, at which time my ticket will be booked to slap this one down, hard.
voila., from yesterday.
Notch, when that predicted low was taken out, presented confirmation of the trend change.
Until tomorrow.
  • #277,902
  • Aug 4, 2010 9:51am Aug 4, 2010 9:51am
Quoting mfoste1
does anyone know what the hell is going on with these pairs?......correlations are completely screwed up
maybe cause the media and talking heads making points are lying? printing presses have been idle other then currency replacement on one side of this pair since the fall. in any business you have to have a buyer whose buying. Or the seller reduces his prices or goes out of business or both.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #277,903
  • Aug 4, 2010 9:54am Aug 4, 2010 9:54am
Quoting egkid
True, expecting in next 3H we will see something nice
You could still see something nice then if it makes 1.3083 for counter-trend trade for nice pips.
  • #277,904
  • Aug 4, 2010 9:56am Aug 4, 2010 9:56am
Last week EUR, GBP were rocketing upwards. Suddenly, one positive US PMI report and the EUR and GBP tank? Hunch is that some big players are manipulating things to prop up the USD.
  • #277,905
  • Aug 4, 2010 9:57am Aug 4, 2010 9:57am
i will still add short until i see, at least, a decent higher low...

would lay down another short at 80 and see where that would go down to.

also looking for stopping volume on the down side, which i haven't seen yet.

hapipipin
dreams do come true.
  • #277,906
  • Aug 4, 2010 9:58am Aug 4, 2010 9:58am
Crude Oil Inventories is down and the crude price is down too, seems a lot of things doesnt make sense today.
  • #277,907
  • Aug 4, 2010 9:58am Aug 4, 2010 9:58am


Quoting Atlast
You could still see something nice then if it makes 1.3083 for counter-trend trade for nice pips.
dreams do come true.
  • #277,908
  • Aug 4, 2010 9:59am Aug 4, 2010 9:59am
Quoting mfoste1
does anyone know what the hell is going on with these pairs?......correlations are completely screwed up
QE being taken off the table - good for USD. Good data - good for risk trade. Well that's my interpretation. And got to admit the E/U was overbought. And did you notice the last couple of days posters were starting to go long (rather than short).
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #277,909
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:03am Aug 4, 2010 10:03am
Quoting Atlast
You could still see something nice then if it makes 1.3083 for counter-trend trade for nice pips.
Actually I'm interested to long here 1.3140
  • #277,910
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:05am Aug 4, 2010 10:05am
im long with 14 pip sl
  • #277,911
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:05am Aug 4, 2010 10:05am
If we do get to the 1.3083, then I will be stopped out of my long I just recently took at at 1.3131... time will tell.

Quoting Atlast
You could still see something nice then if it makes 1.3083 for counter-trend trade for nice pips.
  • #277,912
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:06am Aug 4, 2010 10:06am
Okay guys
heres my analysis
from the image i included it shows EURUSD in the 1 Hour TF.
The EURUSD has failed in 3 occasions to break throught the Bearish Top Channel
as marked on the red circle on the top

However ive been holding short since the attempt failed to break the 2nd time
reasons is because from the Bullish Trend, its shown a massive uptrend as drawn in the picture and 3 times any bearish movement has failed to break it.
right now EURUSD has the capability to fall to 1.3110 as theres room for both bear and bull to fight against.

the potential drop point i have relatively drawn a circle with a question mark to show its possible falling EURUSD stop point this time.

Also theres a reason why i point this drop to potentially go to the bottom bullish trendline, MACD JUST showed a bearish continuation, heres all i got to say, happy pippin guys.

By the way, my experience is that Tarantula has all the skills and years of experience in MACD divergence in these sort of stuff.. so hes probably seen this hence giving out points like below my 1.3110 to enter longs
Hope this helps
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.jpg Size: 296 KB
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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  • #277,913
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:07am Aug 4, 2010 10:07am
IMO, Yen is scrambling correlations in currencies in addition with the speculation that Fed might start a new "quantitative easing 2" round of Treasuries purchases. Don't have other "rational" explanation but yes it seems most of the "old" fashion correlation are going upside down.

sisse

Quoting mfoste1
does anyone know what the hell is going on with these pairs?......correlations are completely screwed up
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #277,914
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:07am Aug 4, 2010 10:07am
Quoting Patience
QE being taken off the table - good for USD. Good data - good for risk trade. Well that's my interpretation. And got to admit the E/U was overbought. And did you notice the last couple of days posters were starting to go long (rather than short).


yea i was thinking good data, sell usd.....it was kinda screwed up today. Yea that definetly helps me gauge my trades if there is a "frenzy" to buy or sell....it usually tells me that the market is about to move the other way. Thanks patience
  • #277,915
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:07am Aug 4, 2010 10:07am
Only 3090 break will confirm adv 1h+4h break. Waiting to place sell order there.
But i don't think bear will be able to break it. lets see
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #277,916
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:10am Aug 4, 2010 10:10am
Quoting Atlast
voila., from yesterday.
Notch, when that predicted low was taken out, presented confirmation of the trend change.
Until tomorrow.
Yes, they do work well like that.
  • #277,917
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:14am Aug 4, 2010 10:14am
Quoting jimmyloz
Hello traders i think about that what else ?

http://nsa17.casimages.com/img/2010/...1542578585.jpg

other analysis on my blog http://foxtrade-foxtrade.blogspot.com/



i like forexfactory do you know website like it for the market indices ( $CAC, $DAX, $INDU, $SP500 ) ?
go to test 1.2950 ?
  • #277,918
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:15am Aug 4, 2010 10:15am
Bear must place resistance near 3160-5. There is no other option for bear
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #277,919
  • Aug 4, 2010 10:19am Aug 4, 2010 10:19am
Quoting fontu
usdx broke & hold 80.75 & hope go above 81.* even 82, enough for this eu movement perhaps , A min if 38.2% fibs then 2963 and 50% then 2869 should expect .Holding shorts too .next bounce for some at 1.3130 & 50 .
fontu
Next bounce expected 1.3097 & last 3063 before the final line perhaps 1.3040/30 of this movement as "a" next "b" can be at 3167 to 3200 again before final leg "c" down to the target .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #277,920
  • Edited 10:32am Aug 4, 2010 10:19am | Edited 10:32am
Guys you have got to look at this... Please i just saw someone stupidly saying the trend changed back to bearish... for god sake... its still Bull, its just a Bloody Correction...
Its been rising up for days and this drop is not trend change... people simply take profit from the longs... but its Still Up Trend... LOOK!!!

Okay guys
heres my analysis
from the image i included it shows EURUSD in the 1 Hour TF.
The EURUSD has failed in 3 occasions to break throught the Bearish Top Channel
as marked on the red circle on the top

However ive been holding short since the attempt failed to break the 2nd time
reasons is because from the Bullish Trend, its shown a massive uptrend as drawn in the picture and 3 times any bearish movement has failed to break it.
right now EURUSD has the capability to fall to 1.3110 as theres room for both bear and bull to fight against.

Also look at MACD, its showing first Downward block.. showing a bearish continuation...
thats how i determine this drop to go down to the area i circled with a question mark

Tarantula is probably better at this MACD divergence stuff.. he may be a bit more accurate than i am if hes saying it goes down to 1.309x
http://www.quickfilepost.com/showima...cc468ad6649537
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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