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  • #277,701
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:14am Aug 4, 2010 4:14am
Increasing vol for DH on the hourly inverted hammer...there's a possibility of restesting yesterday's low and if it breaks it 80 will be the next level.

Once it's broken, it'll start to smell for the US
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #277,702
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:17am Aug 4, 2010 4:17am
has the big boys already shorting?
look at the volume.
meanwhile PA still bullish.
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  • #277,703
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:23am Aug 4, 2010 4:23am
UB,

Yes I am with you on those points. The re-revision of retails sales was barely better than expected and market bulls jump in like if there is not tomorrow. Every retrace is met with force. IMO It shouldn't go up that much before Us reports. The poor 1.3201 is still holding (I didn't expect that) but there is time before the reports to move down otherwise another day on the sidelines.

sisse

Quoting ubaidahsan
offcourse bro it is a market we can predict a probable things we can't say that it can happen 100% nothing is sure in this market its just an idea i have hedge my positions will enter in longs at 3140 but not expecting lower then that because below 3140 its 3 time support now...which is not easy to broke pound and euro going down to pick up power to shoot up side more and more you know that everyone was saying that market can't go more up everyone was thinking that 3000 could be max but market proved that no one can tell the exact price and its...
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #277,704
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:25am Aug 4, 2010 4:25am
OUT FOR 18 PIPS THAT DAILY PIVOT
  • #277,705
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:29am Aug 4, 2010 4:29am
How about later non farm employment change will effect the trend?up or down,any idea?
  • #277,706
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:31am Aug 4, 2010 4:31am
This is my chart supporting my previous post

sisse
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EuroUSD240m10.PNG Size: 42 KB
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #277,707
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:31am Aug 4, 2010 4:31am
thinking of puttig stop buy and stop sell to see which direction where it going,once one of them trigger,then delete the other order
  • #277,708
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:42am Aug 4, 2010 4:42am
Looks like we are going bear today, or range.
  • #277,709
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:44am Aug 4, 2010 4:44am
Quoting mikok730
How about later non farm employment change will effect the trend?up or down,any idea?
risk affinity....good adp will drive the markets up...dow jones especially..if commodities go up EU will go up
  • #277,710
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:47am Aug 4, 2010 4:47am
Bye bye bulls for today
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #277,711
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:50am Aug 4, 2010 4:50am
Interesting view. I agree with the DJ but with the dollar? good as expected (or better) ADP #s will drive euro up?. Can you expand a little bit on that point.

sisse

Quoting T@rantula
risk affinity....good adp will drive the markets up...dow jones especially..if commodities go up EU will go up
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #277,712
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:53am Aug 4, 2010 4:53am
Crude is weakening slighty since last night. Hence everything else is slightly weaker. Gold seems to have a mind of its own lately less correlation there with Euro at the moment.
rat
  • #277,713
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:53am Aug 4, 2010 4:53am
if ADP report is good,then eur/usd should going south right?
  • #277,714
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:54am Aug 4, 2010 4:54am
ILL WAIT
  • #277,715
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:54am Aug 4, 2010 4:54am
In Fact we are in a Bullish Trend (no doubts about that) but as all you know all trends have a reverse. So why could not be at this values??. In my opinion 1,3260 is a great resistance at this momment, a break of this zone can put us in 1,3320/30 easily. But otherwise a break of 1,3170 could open way to 1,3120/30 and than 1,3050/60. So my advice is go calm, take carefull because not always trend is our friend. Use SL this is our best friend
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"Por mais fundo que seja o buraco, pelo menos esse não tem terra em cima"
  • #277,716
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:55am Aug 4, 2010 4:55am
Quoting sisse
Interesting view. I agree with the DJ but with the dollar? good as expected (or better) ADP #s will drive euro up?. Can you expand a little bit on that point.

sisse
This will drive the DOW up and weaken the dollar. Thats why
rat
  • #277,717
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:55am Aug 4, 2010 4:55am
Quoting sisse
Interesting view. I agree with the DJ but with the dollar? good as expected (or better) ADP #s will drive euro up?. Can you expand a little bit on that point.

sisse
More like Slow down Euro's Drop... while US turns its directions to the strengthening side...

been holding shorts since yesterday... hopefully it goes down.. but its pretty obvious the big boys are manipulating the market right now..
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #277,718
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:56am Aug 4, 2010 4:56am
Quoting bguguen
More like Slow down Euro's Drop... while US turns its directions to the strengthening side...

been holding shorts since yesterday... hopefully it goes down.. but its pretty obvious the big boys are manipulating the market right now..
Its summer holidays time aswell less volume so its easier to manipulate this market. Thats what Im sure we have been seeing all summer. When the real trading resumes in a few weeks I suspect there will be some heavy moves down.
rat
  • #277,719
  • Aug 4, 2010 4:57am Aug 4, 2010 4:57am
From a strictly theoretical point of view yes.

But in reality is a little more complex than that. A very big unexpected positive numbers will move the pair straight down (although there is manufacturing #s after so) but the forecast is positive but not that impressive meaning it will look for intraday R and usually move down to test a stronger support. If the numbers are very bad it will actually move down till a decent S and then rally. Is too early to call those intraday #s at the moment.

sisse

Quoting mikok730
if ADP report is good,then eur/usd should going south right?
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #277,720
  • Aug 4, 2010 5:03am Aug 4, 2010 5:03am
Anticipating Bullish channel to hold; spring boarding EU to Higher Highs

http://chart.ly/dmq5ap
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