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COT report... futures or futures and options report? 7 replies

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COT report 1 reply

Attachments: Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas
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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

A/U.
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Quoting Victory83

2B pattern
divergence
stopped out
U/Chf, the previous assumption regarding bottoming proves wrong (unless we see a triple bottom) I prefer treating it as a descending scalop, targeting 1.02-01
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A/U as expected
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Quoting M.A.C.Doug
1.27? The broken trendline projects price to target 1.31. The recently completed head and shoulders also projects price to 1.31, the exact 38.2% of the move down from 1.5140. With the E.C.B backing it all the way, its going to at least 1.31. You can take that to the bank.
Tada!!
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BTC Return This Year: 21.8%
Quoting M.A.C.Doug
Tada!!

Hi Doug,
Great analysis, I bet you triple your account with this accurate forecast, well done
U/J
I see more down side for this pair, a new low around 80-79 might be on the card sooner than later
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Cable
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  •  aghast
  • | Joined Jun 2006 | Status: Fixed Income & Currencies Trader | 58 Posts
Hi Shahab,

I was wondering something while I was digging through your excellent charts. Are you always taking the first 20 pips with half of the position as profit and then moving the rest to break even?
Fortune always favors the brave.
Quoting M.A.C.Doug
Tada!!
Wow!! - very impressive. Well done
Quoting aghast
Hi Shahab,

I was wondering something while I was digging through your excellent charts. Are you always taking the first 20 pips with half of the position as profit and then moving the rest to break even?

Hi,

No, it's totally depends on your trading style, for one touch high probability trade you shouldn't do that , as it's based on probability of outcome and odds (RRR) , by doing so you are changing the RRR. In some other trading styles it can be considered as on option, but in general it's a more conservative approach.
Quoting shahab8b
Cable

Cable :Short Set Up
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Quoting shahab8b
Cable :Short Set Up
Still net shorts in the COT report and index has been overbought for a long time - this looks like a classical short squeeze and or mainly profit taking as the channel is so well defined?

Having said that potential upside resiatamce is still the 61.8 and maybe the 1.58 area?

What do you have as a likely target - always difficult with the Daily TF. I know some swing traders who simply take the first entry then keep adding on and on until something tells them the trend is starting back up again but you obviously miss out on some trades. Moving a stop to breakeven after 20 pips is just going to get your stop hit on a retest most of the time.

I like the fact that the $ is at the daily 200MA for shorts on $ pairs but having said that, the US will want to keep the stock market up at the same time.
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Quoting Low
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I got in at 1160 and got out at 1180 (1160 was the support line area) - maybe a foolish mistake but I think gold has a bit lower to go to 1140 or so before picking up long term buys.

SL above 1220 will be enough , 1180 is a good level to short.
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Quoting shahab8b
SL above 1220 will be enough , 1180 is a good level to short.
LOL. I was looking at it as a long opportunity. I'll be waiting and watching for the near-term...I have a bad relationship with gold, it tends to bring out the gambler in me.
Quoting SanMiguel
I got in at 1160 and got out at 1180 (1160 was the support line area) - maybe a foolish mistake but I think gold has a bit lower to go to 1140 or so before picking up long term buys.
1140 is important to me for other reasons, which is where I'd prefer to buy.
Hey guys,

have a look at the attached British Pound COT index.

It appears that we are at a high probability short set-up which could be good for 100-150 pips.
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