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  • #276,621
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:25am Jul 30, 2010 6:25am
Good morning all

Wow, nice 100 pips down, mmm I should wake up at London open, next week I'll do (I think )
So, what this puppy gonna do now?
It's possible to reach 2950? lets see
  • #276,622
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:28am Jul 30, 2010 6:28am
Hypothetical question if I may: If consolidation next week isnt there a perfect head and shoulders?
  • #276,623
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:31am Jul 30, 2010 6:31am
Very good post.

You are gloomy too on the US and refer to western countries you must be from Asia or LATAM... I agree with you 100% in the economic parts, the catastrophe of the "west" I am not sure.

sisse

Quoting moonchild
Basically all the western countries have indulged in spending what they do not have....
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #276,624
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:37am Jul 30, 2010 6:37am
http://beta.chart.ly/62q5gj4
  • #276,625
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:38am Jul 30, 2010 6:38am
Quoting sisse
Is true that Germany is now paying a lot, but don't forget who benefited the most in the years before (still have to pay a little bit more if they want to Break Even...)....
what many fail to see is the u.s. had its battle economically with Asia. starting more then 20 years ago. Now its Europes turn. Even the mighty Germany will have a hard time competing with Asia on wages. Now add in China bought and stockpiled commodities while they were cheap. Further add in the liquidity tightening that has yet to hit. Now add in German workers atm are not working a full week to help unemployment rates. . When this all catches up in the coming months it will get worse each month. Asia isn't going away. Germany has already lost its manufacturing tittle. S korea has taken market share from Germany already on car imports. In the u.s. the buy American sediment is taking root. Sure the u.s. is on shaky legs. But cali is a state not a country..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #276,626
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:44am Jul 30, 2010 6:44am
Quoting qwertymyfx
wow, u're pretty hot.
Cause You're...the Man ..! ( of this thread ! ) my man, Gator ! and ... who's the wowan.........ahh..., Sisie..., Sissie is the WOMAN ! ( of this thread ! ) !...... Yeah.....Yeah....!!!!!
Sorry guys I just think you guys are the perfect couples....
(....Just Intermezo...! )
  • #276,627
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:45am Jul 30, 2010 6:45am
Quoting moonchild
Basically all the western countries have indulged in spending what they do not have....
yep and all you say pulled those emerging countries up. Now lets say we cut back as we should. it will be hard to put the genie back in the bottle. maybe a little social unrest maybe a few wars etc. not much is cut and dry. every action has a reaction.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #276,628
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:46am Jul 30, 2010 6:46am
I don't know how old are you but this remind me of the "Japan is coming to get us ... the devil is coming" in the 80s. China growth is spectacular and in manufacturing its almost unbeatable but its years from competing with Europe and US in the key sectors.

Remember than in the US and Europe there haven been at least 20 years since hard factory manufacturing is the key sector in their economies (most of GDP is now Services = consumer spending). IMO, China's fears are overrated and there are use as a political scapegoat to create a "foreign" thread in times of recession and to avoid making unavoidable hard reforms internally

sisse

Quoting gatorinla
what many fail to see is the u.s. had its battle economically with Asia. starting more then 20 years ago. Now its Europes turn. Even the mighty Germany will have a hard time competing with Asia on wages. Now add in China bought and stockpiled commodities while they were cheap. Further add in the liquidity tightening that has yet to hit. Now add in German workers atm are not working a full week to help unemployment rates. . When this all catches up in the coming months it will get worse each month. Asia isn't...
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #276,629
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:51am Jul 30, 2010 6:51am
With the upcoming GDP news, are you guys planning to short buy USD if it comes out lower than the expected?
  • #276,630
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:54am Jul 30, 2010 6:54am
Quoting sisse
Very good post.

You are gloomy too on the US and refer to western countries you must be from Asia or LATAM... I agree with you 100% in the economic parts, the catastrophe of the "west" I am not sure.

sisse
I do live in south america but I am and will always remain french. I also do not approve of the way that my country has been run lately. I do not think that it is in the best interest of individuals or of the species for people to be overly cared for. People need to be responsible for themselves and to take responsibility for their actions and for their community. It is not beneficial for people to be protected from the consequences of their folly, nor should countries and companies.

We learn by failing and that occurs because failing carries consequences.
  • #276,631
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:56am Jul 30, 2010 6:56am
Quoting sisse
I don't know how old are you but this remind me of the "Japan is coming to get us ... the devil is coming" in the 80s....
ok lets do facts. Germany has lost market share in a multiple year trend. Social cost and wages are higher then the Asian competition.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #276,632
  • Jul 30, 2010 6:58am Jul 30, 2010 6:58am
Quoting Togu
With the upcoming GDP news, are you guys planning to short buy USD if it comes out lower than the expected?
my trades are dependent on bad data coming out......pairs that i like to short at my technical levels are gu, eu, and aj. I do have buy order on uj @ 8485 stops below wkly s3(8461).Im waiting to enter on pairs after this 4h bar closes, it will give me confirmation. Aj looks like its about to fall off a cliff atm....im not scalping btw, the markets look like theyre pricing in this data.
  • #276,633
  • Jul 30, 2010 7:01am Jul 30, 2010 7:01am
market can remain irrational more then our expectation
  • #276,634
  • Jul 30, 2010 7:03am Jul 30, 2010 7:03am
Quoting mfoste1
my trades are dependent on bad data coming out......pairs that i like to short at my technical levels are gu, eu, and aj. I do have buy order on uj @ 8485 stops below wkly s3(8461).Im waiting to enter on pairs after this 4h bar closes, it will give me confirmation. Aj looks like its about to fall off a cliff atm....im not scalping btw, the markets look like theyre pricing in this data.
I was thinking the same thing with the bad numbers we might have sell off on eurusd. So might take a short trade with tight sl
  • #276,635
  • Jul 30, 2010 7:04am Jul 30, 2010 7:04am
its starting to look like these 4h pin bars forming on gu and eu could be one helluva fakeout and not in bulls favor.....I could be wrong
  • #276,636
  • Jul 30, 2010 7:05am Jul 30, 2010 7:05am
Quoting sisse
.. (most of GDP is now Services = consumer spending)...
For some strange reason service industry reminds me a servant. I don't know any servant richer than his/her master.
  • #276,637
  • Jul 30, 2010 7:07am Jul 30, 2010 7:07am
Quoting Togu
I was thinking the same thing with the bad numbers we might have sell off on eurusd. So might take a short trade with tight sl
this could be volatile......
  • #276,638
  • Jul 30, 2010 7:07am Jul 30, 2010 7:07am
I might buy the pair depending on this hourly close....Sellers are no more there.
Check the PA....it's magic

A move down during the news then back up few minutes later will make me buy it. It's always better to wait a little bit before taking position
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #276,639
  • Jul 30, 2010 7:11am Jul 30, 2010 7:11am
Quoting mfoste1
this could be volatile......
The trigger price @ ?
  • #276,640
  • Jul 30, 2010 7:11am Jul 30, 2010 7:11am
Quoting kuroro001
I might buy the pair depending on this hourly close....Sellers are no more there.
Check the PA....it's magic

A move down during the news then back up few minutes later will make me buy it. It's always better to wait a little bit before taking position
agree with you but we let see how it plays with 3040 level

Ub
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