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  • #276,141
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:18am Jul 29, 2010 5:18am
and i see u and others use the expression many times: What is a shell game?

thanks

Quoting gatorinla
when you pull liquidity (to shore up banks) you may get deflation. so all those home loans (all loans) held by European banks may be losing value. this may trump the stress test. so then we get a European housing crises. And round 2 of European banking crises. that will will make the piggs crises be the good old days....
dreams do come true.
  • #276,142
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:19am Jul 29, 2010 5:19am
Quoting gatorinla
when you pull liquidity (to shore up banks) you may get deflation. so all those home loans (all loans) held by European banks may be losing value. this may trump the stress test. so then we get a European housing crises. And round 2 of European banking crises. that will will make the piggs crises be the good old days. hey lets call it the F-----Ging piggs so France and Germany can sing along. So with another banking crises the countries will be back on the hook. And the crown jewel of them all (Germany) will pay for...
Well, my opinion is that it might have to be with month end flows. Maybe some banks are in need of CHF...
  • #276,143
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:19am Jul 29, 2010 5:19am
I'm just surprised that nobody is shouting sell!! Where have they all gone?
  • #276,144
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:20am Jul 29, 2010 5:20am
Quoting wannaberich
this all thing is a mess up still. i entered a long but got out just a couple of pips loss because volumes aren't reading well. they show very big resistance and i was expecting a break above 75. tuned out that the effort to break 75 just gave the bull 5 pips so i think we are going to get bellow the 63 (probably to the center of the universe) to have momentum to break above 80. if we do go below 55 as long as i am in short, no problem. just want to touch 63 to put again sl at be and if bulls come strong before the 55 area at least i don't loose.

hapipipin...
im long. as i said above 3055 im on the bullish side below.. im not. 3115ish i will short also (close long)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #276,145
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:22am Jul 29, 2010 5:22am
Quoting wannaberich
and i see u and others use the expression many times: What is a shell game?

thanks
Originally Posted by gatorinla http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
market is undecided. we could go either way. im short euro till we get a strong showing above 3055 +.. today if we get a foothold below 2978.. we may c 2881 +.. r a close fib.. i posted bear targets a few days ago


This is what it means......
  • #276,146
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:22am Jul 29, 2010 5:22am
What kind of Housing Crisis? I thought that is happening in Spain? All those nice real estate projects and they all sell for half now?
  • #276,147
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:23am Jul 29, 2010 5:23am
Quoting bad$ala
I'm just surprised that nobody is shouting sell!! Where have they all gone?
they will come soon i am selling already lol
ブードゥー教
  • #276,148
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:24am Jul 29, 2010 5:24am
May ask what are your grounds to such analysis? It looks a little bit oversimplified but you may have some support arguments.

sisse

Quoting gatorinla
when you pull liquidity (to shore up banks) you may get deflation. so all those home loans (all loans) held by European banks may be losing value. this may trump the stress test. so then we get a European housing crises. And round 2 of European banking crises. that will will make the piggs crises be the good old days....
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #276,149
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:25am Jul 29, 2010 5:25am
Quoting gatorinla
im long. as i said above 3055 im on the bullish side below.. im not. 3115ish i will short also (close long)
for me bro i am bearish under 1.3100 over 1.3130 i am a big bull .
ブードゥー教
  • #276,150
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:25am Jul 29, 2010 5:25am
Quoting learntowin
Yes, Maybe

But i still want to Ride with the Bull

I feel more interesting with the Bull than with the Bear

I am out now

EUR / USD @ 1.3080

GBP / USD @ 1.5630

AUD/ USD @ 0.9030

USD / CHF @ 1.0460

Rest for a while before Reenter again
  • #276,151
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:25am Jul 29, 2010 5:25am
Quoting wannaberich
and i see u and others use the expression many times: What is a shell game?

thanks
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #276,152
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:25am Jul 29, 2010 5:25am
Quoting bad$ala
What kind of Housing Crisis? I thought that is happening in Spain? All those nice real estate projects and they all sell for half now?
only in Spain? maybe you mean "World"? btw, good luck to find a cheap flat in Barcelona mate, I remember London to be much cheaper than here!
  • #276,153
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:28am Jul 29, 2010 5:28am
ok. gottcha!



Quoting gatorinla
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qQwUFQus_K0
dreams do come true.
  • #276,154
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:30am Jul 29, 2010 5:30am
Quoting Martingale
only in Spain? maybe you wanted to say "World"?
yes there is, but its not as nice in Spain.
i was looking at some spanish real estate. the prices now are not much different than in germany. but some years ago it was almost double.
  • #276,155
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:35am Jul 29, 2010 5:35am
Quoting bad$ala
yes there is, but its not as nice in Spain.
i was looking at some spanish real estate. the prices now are not much different than in germany. but some years ago it was almost double.
depends from where you look, find attached the latest report. A niceflat in Barcelona is anywhere in Between EUR 500k - 1M
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf precios venta.pdf   852 KB | 886 downloads
  • #276,156
  • Edited 5:54am Jul 29, 2010 5:39am | Edited 5:54am
Quoting sisse
May ask what are your grounds to such analysis? It looks a little bit oversimplified but you may have some support arguments.

sisse
it was in the news for months. e-banks and the stress test. they needed x amount of cash in reserves. so to get this they horded euros thus making euros in short supply the last month plus. hording euros made the value of the euro increase. by removing them from the system. not all banks are yet fully funded. (the 7 failed ones). so in supply verses demand there are less euros (credit) to loan. less euros loaned means less houses sold.(less everything sold). so it becomes a buyers market and home prices are reduced. making the mortgages held by banks worth less then before. making the banks weaker (and the countries who back the bank) all the above increases unemployment. and all the above also decreases tax revenue. in the long run saving the banks will destroy middle class wealth. the middle class will pay for the banks and lose their home values.

more complicated then this. but its less credit for business. and all that it implies
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #276,157
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:40am Jul 29, 2010 5:40am
hi, are you having gaps on few pairs ? or its my broker issue ? eu, usdjpy, eurchf ?
  • #276,158
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:40am Jul 29, 2010 5:40am
Quoting gatorinla
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qQwUFQus_K0
:o wonderful game
  • #276,159
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:42am Jul 29, 2010 5:42am
Open shorts postions @
EURUSD: 1.3080 ---- Target: 1.3026 ------ SL: 1.3106
BPUSD: 1.5645 ------ Target: 1.5595 ----- SL: 1.5686

Lets see what happens
  • #276,160
  • Jul 29, 2010 5:56am Jul 29, 2010 5:56am
Quoting NZR
Open shorts postions @
EURUSD: 1.3080 ---- Target: 1.3026 ------ SL: 1.3106
BPUSD: 1.5645 ------ Target: 1.5595 ----- SL: 1.5686

Lets see what happens
I've got a few SHORT positions indeed, but this PA just drives me crazy...

EURJPY is down
GBPUSD is down
XAUUSD is down
and just because the f*cking USDCHF is down indeed, EURUSD is up... that is just wicked! how long will it take for EURUSD to get fall as rock?
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