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EURUSD

  • #273,601
  • Jul 21, 2010 3:49am Jul 21, 2010 3:49am
Quoting Atlast
Geithner's test was a joke.
European stress test wil not be so lax; can't be as that will instill no confidence.
Have you seen the last release yesterday, they've been asked to include test on 2 adverse situations.
lax? they used great depression numbers. check the facts
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #273,602
  • Jul 21, 2010 3:50am Jul 21, 2010 3:50am
Timing has confirmed bear market as expected

Quoting No Stress
Hi to all,

Taking a long position at 1.2934. SL 1.2920 TP 1.3078.

Expecting bull flag pattern. Tight SL of 10 pips + spread under lowest price of the flag. We are at 50% retrace of the flag pole. TP is 20 pips under the recent peak. Try to lock SL at entry position as soon as we pass through 1.2954 to have risk free. Calculating timing, bear is not so far. Could bear began from 1.31 level maybe from Tuesday. We will see. Nothing is sure, but no hasard in forex.

Good trading for all.
It was already ascending wedge

Quoting No Stress
Short already at 1.2907 TP 1.2823. Expecting Ascending wedge pattern and price could not retrace at the old resistance line of 1.2930, mean weak position for EU and could go more down.. Soon i'll go to bed, then i prefer lock my position in entry position. Again trade free. But looks like no move in forex last hour! Wish to have green pips this time, not zero pip, but better then loss.
It was not easy to manage this trade seen a range between crossing TL of the ascending wedge and breaking it at 1.2904 and 1.2878 support line. I had to re-enter twice before price went to TP.

Target of the month reached.

Wish to all of you good trades and see you next month.
No Signal, No Trade. No fundamenals, No headache.
  • #273,603
  • Jul 21, 2010 3:53am Jul 21, 2010 3:53am
Quoting cloggie
Yeah but a test 2 only to a standard of serious doubt to the bank's standards itself, not to market. What bank is going to admit that they may have had it wrong? They will never write down their own book. The fox is still guarding the henhouse.
if they don't declare, they don't get any money, simple as that.
  • #273,604
  • Jul 21, 2010 3:53am Jul 21, 2010 3:53am
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...20#post3886520

big short closed, will watch 50% reaction
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #273,605
  • Jul 21, 2010 3:59am Jul 21, 2010 3:59am
Quoting gatorinla
yes till we cross the edge.. if right we are on the usd bottom at recent eu high up to 3055 ish... but im still scalping. until we start moving one way or the other.. usdx may have touched the bottom already on pv's 233ema daily. but dont lose money betting on this post. let the pa show the way.. im a scalper till then. ill play any direction. I have a pending at 30055 short.. any where from 30035/3055 is a good place for me. i may place pendings on both sides when test results are released. 100 pips away from release. away from release price.
thanks.

i want to see how price act near 1.28.
also earnings coming in a couple of minutes.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #273,606
  • Jul 21, 2010 3:59am Jul 21, 2010 3:59am
Quoting gatorinla
lax? they used great depression numbers. check the facts

But using book values instead of MtM will never give a true picture:

Quote:

Treasury has not explained its assumption that the proper values for these assets are their book values – in the case, for example, of land or whole mortgages – and more than their “mark-to-market” value in the case of ABSs, CDOs, and like securities;

Source:

Congressional Oversight Panel
  • #273,607
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:00am Jul 21, 2010 4:00am
Quoting T.E.Lawrence
4h euro chart - will look to short somewhere here:

Attachment
took short @2825 based on the above chart
  • #273,608
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:02am Jul 21, 2010 4:02am
1037 GMT [Dow Jones] The euro's sell-off extends despite European equities putting in a strong performance which should be helping the risk currencies Wednesday. EUR/USD is one cent down at 1.2795, EUR/JPY 150 sen lower at 111.37, EUR/CHF down one cent at 1.3461, and EUR/GBP nearly one penny lower at 0.8389. The main European bourses are up around 1.3%. ([email protected])
  • #273,609
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:03am Jul 21, 2010 4:03am
Possible bounce on the channel bottom or break through to Fib 38.2.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR H4.jpg Size: 72 KB
  • #273,610
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:03am Jul 21, 2010 4:03am
Quoting gatorinla
lax? they used great depression numbers. check the facts
but they excluded off-balance sheet derivatives. The credit default swaps were the main cause of the banking crisis. Not to say Europe will include those either. as for great depression numbers, you will find the numbers used were not at all like the great depression where 6% GDP drop, followed by 9% , whereas the adverse scenario for Geither's test were 3.3 % drop followed by +0.5 %. Have I got that wrong.
  • #273,611
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:04am Jul 21, 2010 4:04am
Well Master candle was respected for good. Direct downtrending...I closed my positions and Ill wait for trend consolidation and DOW opening. If EU gets to 2765 expect a bounce
  • #273,612
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:07am Jul 21, 2010 4:07am
Quoting cloggie
But using book values instead of MtM will never give a true picture:

Quote:

Treasury has not explained its assumption that the proper values for these assets are their book values – in the case, for example, of land or whole mortgages – and more than their “mark-to-market” value in the case of ABSs, CDOs, and like securities;

Source:

Congressional Oversight Panel
neither will having running water and atm in the bank. the stress test Europe's using.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #273,613
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:07am Jul 21, 2010 4:07am
1.2791 potential bounce level.
We got the trend day in the first session of market open as anticipated. Question now is whether it will continue into next session. London boys at lunch.
  • #273,614
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:10am Jul 21, 2010 4:10am
And stay.....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1,2780.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #273,615
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:11am Jul 21, 2010 4:11am
Quoting gatorinla
neither will having running water and atm in the bank. the stress test Europe's using.

Same standard no MtM on loans and securities, SPV's stay off balance sheet. What is the point.

As an example, the test uses a haircut of 23% on Greek debt, market is greater then that. The EU test only uses a 3 point deviation of GDP over 2 years.
  • #273,616
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:12am Jul 21, 2010 4:12am
Quoting iam.noob.but
if touch 1.2720 iam buy

  • #273,617
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:13am Jul 21, 2010 4:13am
no comments
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.gif Size: 66 KB
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #273,618
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:15am Jul 21, 2010 4:15am
Quoting cloggie
Same standard no MtM on loans and securities, SPV's stay off balance sheet. What is the point.

As an example, the test uses a haircut of 23% on Greek debt, market is a lot less then that.
its not the same. you got different test givers. with no mention of where the money comes from when needed. #273360
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #273,619
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:18am Jul 21, 2010 4:18am
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/pdf.gif

2010-07-21_Forex Focus (09h15 CET).pdf (15.6 KB)


Forex Focus: Expect Swiss Franc To Make A Comeback

By Nicholas Hastings
A DOW JONES NEWSWIRES COLUMN

LONDON (Dow Jones)--Look for the Swiss franc's safe-haven status to start pushing the currency back up again soon.



;-)


und tschüss wieder...
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf 2010-07-21_Forex Focus (09h15 CET).pdf   16 KB | 328 downloads
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #273,620
  • Jul 21, 2010 4:18am Jul 21, 2010 4:18am
i could say good morning if i hadn't f**ked up with a couple of stupid longs in the begining of the day. i was also expecting a higher retrace before the fall. anyway am at be right now.

Gator, wasn't looking at 66. seems important number in your book?

i was thinking more of the 30's area. S2 is there also the botom of the latest 15m channel and i have a very old line there too. my problem with this old line is that i don't know if it is accurately drawn. also on the 14th of this month price had some trouble getting over it.

if we get back to 820 i will short another nanolot LOL

green pips to u all!
dreams do come true.
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