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  • #272,821
  • Jul 19, 2010 3:35am Jul 19, 2010 3:35am
[quote=seanosms;3883071]And 10 minutes later the euro nearly touched 1.30???

Who says anything has to make fundamental sense?lol
  • #272,822
  • Jul 19, 2010 3:38am Jul 19, 2010 3:38am
this is just ECB manipulation again and again and again..
i think there is no real buyer at the moment.... look at the current account data.
  • #272,823
  • Jul 19, 2010 3:39am Jul 19, 2010 3:39am
Thats my point redeemed.
Same with stress tests on banks, they mean nada if the ECB/EU wants a strong euro thats exactly what we will see and they will ignore all naysayers and drive it back up proving that the euro is a great currency even though the EZ is in bad shape.
  • #272,824
  • Jul 19, 2010 3:44am Jul 19, 2010 3:44am
Quoting kkumbaraci
this is just ECB manipulation again and again and again..
i think there is no real buyer at the moment.... look at the current account data.
Amazing...If there is no real buyer....WHO WANTS A HIGH EURO? My only guess is The FED to influence equities and they manipulate during EZ session. Possibly SNB too. I would think a lower Euro would be more helpful to EZ?.
  • #272,825
  • Jul 19, 2010 3:49am Jul 19, 2010 3:49am
http://www.forexlive.com/119659/all/bis-buys-eurusd-9

Looks like the swiss are at it again, unless they are doing ECB's dirty work
If only I knew then what I know now...
  • #272,826
  • Jul 19, 2010 3:52am Jul 19, 2010 3:52am
Quoting Redeemed1
Amazing...If there is no real buyer....WHO WANTS A HIGH EURO? My only guess is The FED to influence equities and they manipulate during EZ session. Possibly SNB too. I would think a lower Euro would be more helpful to EZ?.
i don't think that we are heading down to early because we have broke upside neckline i posted my chart last night but now since we have broke TL upside so i think next will be 3050-3080..let see how it goes

Ub
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Click to Enlarge Name: eu2.JPG Size: 150 KB
  • #272,827
  • Jul 19, 2010 3:54am Jul 19, 2010 3:54am
Quoting mercy seat
Dear fellow traders!

It is getting hot in good ols Europe today (+ 38° Celsius) - and I want to leave my place now. Moreover it is a Friday - and we will have better and much nicer situations within next week. Stress Test Results on the agenda then...

Euro has been hit its first estimation target - which was at 1.3004 according to our system. Highest has been 1.30073 until now with mine.

I would tend to say - that the market will see some downside pullback later - as we are concerned then with position squaring prior to week-end...

Nothing...


http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/gif.gif

2010-07-19 _ zigzagtracktracer (09h15 CET) EUR-USD 030min _ 000.GIF (32.8 KB)



Done this morning!

I think we run into a "sell all the rallies modus" soon again...



palim palim
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2010-07-19 _ zigzagtracktracer (09h15 CET) EUR-USD 030min _ 000.GIF Size: 33 KB
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #272,828
  • Jul 19, 2010 3:55am Jul 19, 2010 3:55am
only seismographical swing till DR1 1.2989. May be big capial will give us a bum stear any more. I am down!
  • #272,829
  • Jul 19, 2010 3:59am Jul 19, 2010 3:59am
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/pdf.gif

2010-07-19_Forex Focus (09h16 CET).pdf (14.8 KB)


Forex Focus: Euro Set To Run Out Of Steam

By Nicholas Hastings
A DOW JONES NEWSWIRES COLUMN


LONDON (Dow Jones)--The euro's rise won't be sustained.



;-)
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf 2010-07-19_Forex Focus (09h16 CET).pdf   15 KB | 371 downloads
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #272,830
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:04am Jul 19, 2010 4:04am
Quoting kkumbaraci
this is just ECB manipulation again and again and again..
i think there is no real buyer at the moment.... look at the current account data.
I disagree with you. If there's any institutions who try to manipulate those are the rating agencies. Sometimes they will get the desired effect which usually is to give strenght to the dollar; sometimes they won't like it's hapenning lately because their manipulation is becoming more obvious.
  • #272,831
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:04am Jul 19, 2010 4:04am
May be a great place to short.......sssshhhhh-if they (whoever THEY are?) may see this and pump it another 100! lol
  • #272,832
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:16am Jul 19, 2010 4:16am
Eur short covering was the predominant theme last week, and we briefly traded up to a high of 1.3008 in what looked like an attempt to trigger 1.30 barriers. Much of this move has been a result of Usd selling across the board, which has seen Eur/Usd rally aggressively simply as a function of the weight of positions out there.

Moodys downgraded Ireland this morning (simply playing catch up with the other rating agencies) and the resultant price action has been very similar to last week's downgrade of Portugal: the sell-off was very short-lived. We did a lot to the topside last week and with very little data out this week, it looks like we could be in for a rangey few sessions. Keep watching the dollar index and earnings. The stress tests are to be published on Friday and this will set the scene for the next Eur move. Levels to the topside are 1.3010, followed by 1.3110 and 1.3250. First support comes in at 1.2850, followed by 1.2785.
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  • #272,833
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:20am Jul 19, 2010 4:20am
Bo up & down & at last bounce heavily from support to at or near 1.3 , resistance 2983 as per premarket analysis & so still short bais & active trades are short sl above 1.30010 , above may start long , till then will watch only shorts .More add below 1.2870.
First trade going ashtray by mistake , took at an early without confirmation.
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #272,834
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:27am Jul 19, 2010 4:27am
Hi,

I think we had last week a market reversal like after NFP in december where market reversed sharply on euro. We broke too many lines.

Euro is back

Regards
13
Brokers are angels
  • #272,835
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:37am Jul 19, 2010 4:37am
Quoting fontu
Bo up & down & at last bounce heavily from support to at or near 1.3 , resistance 2983 as per premarket analysis & so still short bais & active trades are short sl above 1.30010 , above may start long , till then will watch only shorts .More add below 1.2870.
First trade going ashtray by mistake , took at an early without confirmation.
fontu
its damn confusing bro i was in short since opening but suddenly it went up i went long now SL hit lol again in short but confuse what is next to do now

Ub
  • #272,836
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:43am Jul 19, 2010 4:43am
Swiss has rocketed up while EueUSD has dropped a little.
Intervention written all over it
  • #272,837
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:47am Jul 19, 2010 4:47am
Bounced pretty much right off the 38% fib for the recent move up at 1.2944 and the 15 minute bar closed above 1.2950.
May be ready to retest 1.30
Still under my trusty 7 ma tho so still bearish
  • #272,838
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:51am Jul 19, 2010 4:51am
Quoting ubaidahsan
its damn confusing bro i was in short since opening but suddenly it went up i went long now SL hit lol again in short but confuse what is next to do now

Ub
Yeah , market itself in confusion though bull in vain suddenly but from the support ofcourse and what about we ? more confused with it . Better wait & watch more without hit more sl if not wider enough . again it is Monday, price do jumps up & down also likely . wait for better place & trade again . wish you good luck .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #272,839
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:51am Jul 19, 2010 4:51am
Quoting Jym
Bounced pretty much right off the 38% fib for the recent move up at 1.2944 and the 15 minute bar closed above 1.2950.
May be ready to retest 1.30
Still under my trusty 7 ma tho so still bearish
On what TF would price be under 7MA?
  • #272,840
  • Jul 19, 2010 4:52am Jul 19, 2010 4:52am
this ECB putting their bloody hand because i suspect traders will not impress on their stupid stress test. thats why they are trying to break some important resistence before retracement.
You cannot learn better without losing
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