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  • #271,281
  • Jul 14, 2010 7:51pm Jul 14, 2010 7:51pm
Quoting PriceVolume
Well, I'm still short but no fool (ok, not a huge fool). I've worked up a bull chart based off 1.5144 to 1.1876. Now in retrospect, some of the reactions make sense...akin to you JW chart. Manipulated or not....there are footprints.....1.2697 is the number that I see from this chart as the barrier to target below. Above, I've got 1.2795.
well when the toes point north its bullish.. when they point south its bearish. *L*
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #271,282
  • Jul 14, 2010 7:54pm Jul 14, 2010 7:54pm
Quoting kandarv
OK opening a small position [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]

Be back in an hour, gotta go to get some coffee. Good luck everyone.
SLed, on holding pattern till China news.
  • #271,283
  • Jul 14, 2010 7:54pm Jul 14, 2010 7:54pm
Quoting PriceVolume
Well, I'm still short but no fool (ok, not a huge fool). I've worked up a bull chart based off 1.5144 to 1.1876. Now in retrospect, some of the reactions make sense...akin to you JW chart. Manipulated or not....there are footprints.....1.2697 is the number that I see from this chart as the barrier to target below. Above, I've got 1.2795. Also...82.24 on the USDX will certainly get my attention....potential bounce area, but break and retest from below, and.....
1876 was not a complete cycle as far as i can see. missed me by 9 pips. and you now see the confusion..i hate consolidation. too many chart variables.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #271,284
  • Jul 14, 2010 7:57pm Jul 14, 2010 7:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
1876 was not a complete cycle as far as i can see. missed me by 9 pips. and you now see the confusion..i hate consolidation. too many chart variables.
Are you saying to fudge by 9?
  • #271,285
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:01pm Jul 14, 2010 8:01pm
Quoting PriceVolume
Are you saying to fudge by 9?
no cause its not always precise. for instance the 2008 top. is the one i studied. i could never get 1.6034.. i was off by less then 20 pips. so i live with it.. i also missed an entry on the eu before this 2009 fall.. by a small amount of pips.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #271,286
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:04pm Jul 14, 2010 8:04pm
I hate when the price bar stands in my SL, laughing at me! "You'll see I'll get you next time"
Attached Image
  • #271,287
  • Edited 8:20pm Jul 14, 2010 8:10pm | Edited 8:20pm
Quoting PriceVolume
Are you saying to fudge by 9?
i see it like this. as the first step in bears taking a foothold.. chart is target #1.
2655 2642 2557. levels are close.. below 2651 foothold could be a turning point.
it should bounce there and may continue bullish. but it also would put it back in the daily tl it broke.


if not the bulls go above 2968.7 jw chart
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: 1.6 levels.PNG Size: 27 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #271,288
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:16pm Jul 14, 2010 8:16pm
Quoting Nene
By the way guys, if this dont go long I will eat my hat.

Jim
ouch
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #271,289
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:19pm Jul 14, 2010 8:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
i see it like this. as the first step in bears taking a foothold.. chart is target #1.
2655 2642 2557. levels are close.. below 2651 foothold could be a turning point


if not the bulls go above 2968.7 jw chart
Coin flip at this point. Levels on my bear chart are still being respected...hit my 2774 plus a few pips. Slip back below 46 is also bear territory. But breach of a daily trendline is in the Bull's court. But I can't help but remember that we've had the moment before...just this year.
  • #271,290
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:20pm Jul 14, 2010 8:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
ouch
Could be worse. He could have said he would have used it as a suppository.
  • #271,291
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:20pm Jul 14, 2010 8:20pm
Attached Image
I hope u don't wear this kinda hat..
  • #271,292
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:25pm Jul 14, 2010 8:25pm
Quoting PriceVolume
Coin flip at this point. Levels on my bear chart are still being respected...hit my 2774 plus a few pips. Slip back below 46 is also bear territory. But breach of a daily trendline is in the Bull's court. But I can't help but remember that we've had the moment before...just this year.
14 april area right ?
well i am thinking the same thing but if we take out 1.28. I'm getting bullish.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #271,293
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:25pm Jul 14, 2010 8:25pm
Quoting uraceulose
Attachment I hope u don't wear this kinda hat..
You're not supposed to eat it. You're supposed to hold the f@#k on to it.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #271,294
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:40pm Jul 14, 2010 8:40pm
Hey ole buddy, remember, I am in a 4 hr IB trade and stop is a long way 1.2680. This will cover and I fully expect it to come back to the 61.8 Fib level because that is what I trade. Look at the one hour, they are clearing stops and now there is a Morning Star on the 15 Min. Look where the 1 hr Fib came back to. The tide is turning. I am not ready to eat yet...LOL

Jim

Quoting gatorinla
ouch
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #271,295
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:43pm Jul 14, 2010 8:43pm
Quoting Nene
Hey ole buddy, remember, I am in a 4 hr IB trade and stop is a long way 1.2680. This will cover and I fully expect it to come back to the 61.8 Fib level because that is what I trade. Look at the one hour, they are clearing stops and now there is a Morning Star on the 15 Min. Look where the 1 hr Fib came back to. The tide is turning. I am not ready to eat yet...LOL

Jim
I'm thinking the same. I miscalculated my stop. But now I'm afraid of what the news on China may bring, we're just 15 minutes away, lot of data is coming. Maybe a huge whiplash, maybe nothing.
  • #271,296
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:52pm Jul 14, 2010 8:52pm
Quoting DMA Trader
14 april area right ?
well i am thinking the same thing but if we take out 1.28. I'm getting bullish.
Yep. I remember it well because Hell7 posted when it dove...something akin to "Ok, which one of you broke the Euro?"...and I was cracking up.
  • #271,297
  • Jul 14, 2010 8:55pm Jul 14, 2010 8:55pm
If there is one thing I learned is you cant be afraid of a news release. Gets you into trouble. If I get stopped out I get stopped out. I lost a big one last week. Just remember, keep your head up. I am in a trade or I would pull my limits off if I had any, but since I am triggered I am gonna let her ride.

Quoting kandarv
I'm thinking the same. I miscalculated my stop. But now I'm afraid of what the news on China may bring, we're just 15 minutes away, lot of data is coming. Maybe a huge whiplash, maybe nothing.
  • #271,298
  • Jul 14, 2010 9:03pm Jul 14, 2010 9:03pm
Quoting Nene
If there is one thing I learned is you cant be afraid of a news release. Gets you into trouble. If I get stopped out I get stopped out. I lost a big one last week. Just remember, keep your head up. I am in a trade or I would pull my limits off if I had any, but since I am triggered I am gonna let her ride.
Me too, I plan my trade and trade it all the way.

Yes! good news from China 11.1% GDP
That alone must bring risk appetite back to work.
  • #271,299
  • Jul 14, 2010 9:07pm Jul 14, 2010 9:07pm
Quoting kandarv
Me too, I plan my trade and trade it all the way.

Yes! good news from China 11.1% GDP
That alone must bring risk appetite back to work.
i am unable to correlate between good china GDP11.1% and move in dollar. Please explain
  • #271,300
  • Jul 14, 2010 9:09pm Jul 14, 2010 9:09pm
I could just feel everyone loading on shorts when the DPP was broken so easily. They pulled that crap the other night too, that is why I was a littlewary thinking it may have opposite results. But as I said before, the Sucker Bar trade is a 90 % success rate and I am going with it until it stops out or hits 2 for 1, or double stop limit which will be 102 pips.

Jim

Quoting kandarv
Me too, I plan my trade and trade it all the way.

Yes! good news from China 11.1% GDP
That alone must bring risk appetite back to work.
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