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AUD/USD

  • #22,341
  • Jul 7, 2010 3:07pm Jul 7, 2010 3:07pm
Quoting Phonetic
100 pip fixed sl.

target .8325
i don't think so that it is interested to go down before 8750-8800 tomorrow let see how it goes i took Short but get out at 2+ and now waiting for long

Ub
  • #22,342
  • Jul 7, 2010 4:13pm Jul 7, 2010 4:13pm
Quoting ubaidahsan
i don't think so that it is interested to go down before 8750-8800 tomorrow let see how it goes i took Short but get out at 2+ and now waiting for long

Ub
i dont think it gets past .8700 - but we will see. good luck to you
  • #22,343
  • Jul 7, 2010 4:39pm Jul 7, 2010 4:39pm
doji on h4? we will see
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #22,344
  • Jul 7, 2010 9:05pm Jul 7, 2010 9:05pm
This use to be the most active thread, has everyone lost faith in the Aud/USD?
  • #22,345
  • Jul 7, 2010 9:16pm Jul 7, 2010 9:16pm
Quoting Mckal41
This use to be the most active thread, has everyone lost faith in the Aud/USD?
I have faith.
Been in on the long side all day.
It's been a very nice ride.
  • #22,346
  • Edited 9:49pm Jul 7, 2010 9:44pm | Edited 9:49pm
Quoting greyghost
Hello jimobiwan. This is my first post here but I've been watching and reading for quite some time. The aud/usd in one of me favorite pairs. Other then here, were else do you get your news, if you don't mind sharing.

I had a few longs open today in this pair. Its been good to me. I have one open now in the green. I'm just trying to figure out how long and far this upward push is going to go.

Thanks
for a blow-by-blow ticker of news i use
http://www.marketwatch.com/

for aust dollar specific i like
http://www.businessspectator.com.au/australian-dollar
its freshest in the morning AUS SYD time. about GMT +10.5hrs

for AUST biz news in general (sometimes views on rate trends) i also sometimes use
http://au.ibtimes.com/

if expecting something mega like NFP then
http://www.bloomberg.com/avp/avp.htm?clipSRC=LiveBTV


but mainly i trade on tech. i monitor other currencies, equities, gold and base my trades on what i see.
I have no enemy; I make Incautiousness my Enemy.
  • #22,347
  • Jul 7, 2010 10:24pm Jul 7, 2010 10:24pm
Australia's Employers Add Workers for Fourth Month as Economy Strengthens
By Jacob Greber Bloomberg


Australian employers added workers in June for a fourth straight month, supporting the central bank’s view that the nation’s economy is strengthening as mining companies boost investment to meet demand from China.

The number of people employed gained 45,900 from May…. The median estimate of 22 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for an increase of 15,000. The jobless rate held at 5.1 percent.

Australia’s economy will expand close to its “trend” pace over the year ahead as shipments of coal and iron ore surge, Governor Glenn Stevens said …. Hiring may advance further in coming months after advertisements for jobs rose in June, Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. said July 5.

“After adding nearly 300,000 jobs over the past year, the labor market continues to strengthen,” Felicity Emmett, a senior economist at RBS Group Australia Ltd. in Sydney, said ahead of today’s report.

The number of full-time jobs gained 18,400 in June and part-time employment advanced 27,500, today’s report showed.
I have no enemy; I make Incautiousness my Enemy.
  • #22,348
  • Jul 8, 2010 8:55am Jul 8, 2010 8:55am
Anyone thinking this is looking good for a short. I am thinking we should start seeing some kind of profit taking before the weekend, this thing has been up huge!
  • #22,349
  • Jul 8, 2010 9:21am Jul 8, 2010 9:21am
Quoting usapgapro
Anyone thinking this is looking good for a short. I am thinking we should start seeing some kind of profit taking before the weekend, this thing has been up huge!
down to 8611 do you think?

8611 = 38.2% Fib (8790H:8318L)
= 100DMA
I have no enemy; I make Incautiousness my Enemy.
  • #22,350
  • Jul 8, 2010 9:51am Jul 8, 2010 9:51am
Quoting jimobiwan
down to 8611 do you think?

8611 = 38.2% Fib (8790H:8318L)
= 100DMA
I will be happy to get out at .8665 on this pair. I am in 4 contracts avg @ .8770. I have taken a killing the last two days on shorting this and euro too soon I hope this one will make up for the losses. I have my SL at BE right now not going to risk anymore false moves. I will prob slowly add to my short if it continues down and then continue to lower my SL to match.
  • #22,351
  • Jul 8, 2010 10:03am Jul 8, 2010 10:03am
Quoting usapgapro
I will be happy to get out at .8665 on this pair. I am in 4 contracts avg @ .8770. I have taken a killing the last two days on shorting this and euro too soon I hope this one will make up for the losses. I have my SL at BE right now not going to risk anymore false moves. I will prob slowly add to my short if it continues down and then continue to lower my SL to match.
you must have nerves of steel watching it climb so strongly
I have no enemy; I make Incautiousness my Enemy.
  • #22,352
  • Jul 8, 2010 11:37am Jul 8, 2010 11:37am
Closed both my shorts yesterday (AUDUSD and NZDUS) with a loss. Still think major trend is down. will try to catch it higher.

MarketInvestor
  • #22,353
  • Jul 8, 2010 9:13pm Jul 8, 2010 9:13pm
i think short > 1.8775 - 1.8780
  • #22,354
  • Jul 8, 2010 10:22pm Jul 8, 2010 10:22pm
What is the thinking behind taking a short view on AUD
I have no enemy; I make Incautiousness my Enemy.
  • #22,355
  • Jul 9, 2010 12:48am Jul 9, 2010 12:48am
As short biased as I have been the past few days, I am beginning to think we need to see this make a double top at .8857 before going short. It had all the opportunity in the world yesterday to make a run south and it was all bought in to. We should see some kind of direction with London opening up in a few hours.
  • #22,356
  • Jul 9, 2010 6:20am Jul 9, 2010 6:20am
IMO,

The MT Trend is still resuming up

May need to test the important Support to confirm http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/s.../yim/happy.gif

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #22,357
  • Jul 10, 2010 11:33am Jul 10, 2010 11:33am
Hi everyone,

Hope everyone is having a great weekend.

I have attached a chart for audusd. According to what I am seeing, there are two channels that audusd can take. I have done my best to draw each one as clearly as possible.

Do you think audusd will continue upwards to channel 2 or will it take a knock from the resistance of channel? Or something else?

I am a newbie so my observations may be totally silly.

thanks in advance.

And goodluck to spain http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/s...im/winking.gif
Attached Image
  • #22,358
  • Jul 10, 2010 12:00pm Jul 10, 2010 12:00pm
Quoting need-help
I have attached a chart for audusd. According to what I am seeing, there are two channels that audusd can take. I have done my best to draw each one as clearly as possible.

Do you think audusd will continue upwards to channel 2 or will it take a knock from the resistance of channel? Or something else?
Hi. I trade A/U all day everyday and I'm not too convinced by either of the two channels you have there (not saying that you are wrong! I could be wrong and you right or both of us all wrong!!). Take a look at my Daily chart here: #5934
Good Luck
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #22,359
  • Jul 11, 2010 8:28am Jul 11, 2010 8:28am
coming up this week

 

  1. Home Loans: Published on Monday at 1:30 GMT. This important housing indicator reflects the impact of the rate hikes – less people are taking loans due to the high interest rate. After 7 consecutive months of drops, the number of loans is finally expected to rise, but at a very modest scale – 0.1%. This will provide a shaky start for AUD/USD at the beginning of the new week.
  2. NAB Business Confidence: Published on Tuesday at 1:30 GMT. National Australia Bank has shown a significant drop in business confidence in the past three months – a drop from 19 to 5 points, although still positive, still showing optimism.
  3. Westpac Consumer Sentiment: Published on Wednesday at 1:30 GMT. Westpac’s survey deals with the consumers. 1,200 consumers have shown less confidence in the past three months, with sharp drops of 5.7% and 7% in the past two months.
  4. MI Inflation Expectations: Published on Thursday at 1:30 GMT. The Melbourne Institute fills in for the gap created by the government, that publishes the CPI only once per quarter. According to MI, inflation is now weaker – 3.4% in comparison to a strong 4.1% figure three months ago. A drop under 3% will weaken the Aussie.
  5. New Motor Vehicle Sales: Published on Thursday at 1:30 GMT. Vehicle sales are a strong indicator of consumption, but this indicator tends to be very volatile. After a rise of 8.4% two months ago, a drop of 3.2% was seen last month. A small rise is predicted now.
  6. Chinese GDP: Published on Thursday at 2:00 GMT. Australia’s main partner continued to grow rapidly while the West suffered from economic contraction. In the past two quarters, the growth rate return to double digits: 10.5% in Q4 of 2009 and 11.9% in Q1. China releases the figures for Q2 quite early. They’re expected to show a growth rate of 10.5%, still very strong.

I have no enemy; I make Incautiousness my Enemy.
  • #22,360
  • Jul 11, 2010 9:59am Jul 11, 2010 9:59am
Here my weekly chart of the AUDUSD. Bear signal has been triggered for the medium term in my opinion.

Best Regards

Market Investor
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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