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Nearly Naked (Simple Trades)

  • #5,481
  • Jul 5, 2010 12:25pm Jul 5, 2010 12:25pm
Off to the gym, be back in a few hours......PA is really slow anyway
  • #5,482
  • Jul 5, 2010 12:58pm Jul 5, 2010 12:58pm
later
A person is only limited by the thoughts he chooses.Þeir fá byr sem bíð
  • #5,483
  • Jul 5, 2010 1:13pm Jul 5, 2010 1:13pm
Hi all,

How's life here i saw this huge cup and handle in the chf/jpy with 2 fib 50% confluence i will keep my eyes on this week how it devolops but if it breaks could be a runner again.
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  • #5,484
  • Jul 5, 2010 1:23pm Jul 5, 2010 1:23pm
With the FX slow as heck this U.S. afternoon, I'm glad to have been fishing around and discovered Saxon's great thread.....I look forward to checking it out as the market wakes back up from it's current malaise.
  • #5,485
  • Jul 5, 2010 1:52pm Jul 5, 2010 1:52pm
Quoting jonpoler
With the FX slow as heck this U.S. afternoon, I'm glad to have been fishing around and discovered Saxon's great thread.....I look forward to checking it out as the market wakes back up from it's current malaise.
Welcome to the thread
  • #5,486
  • Jul 5, 2010 4:12pm Jul 5, 2010 4:12pm
Hi all,
How did your weekend go? As for myself, I went to Sequoia and then ended up driving all around via Tioga Pass back home. Not much hiking but pretty relaxed weekend (last one was in Sept last year). And awesome views ...we even had a glimpse of a bear (my wife insists it was my imagination)

The only grouse I have is I couldnt see Germany beat Argentina (and what a whopping that was)...Tuner, Germany should be the favorites now, though I am still hoping the Dutch go through..

Anyways, seems the pairs are still having the weekend blues. Lets see how the trading week goes..

Good luck to all
  • #5,487
  • Jul 5, 2010 4:13pm Jul 5, 2010 4:13pm
Btw does anyone know where I can find the average daily movement for various pair.
  • #5,488
  • Jul 5, 2010 4:24pm Jul 5, 2010 4:24pm
Quoting aragorn123
Btw does anyone know where I can find the average daily movement for various pair.
Hi aragorn. FX360.com usually has it but do you use the ATR (avg true range) indicator?
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #5,489
  • Jul 5, 2010 4:26pm Jul 5, 2010 4:26pm
Quoting aragorn123
Btw does anyone know where I can find the average daily movement for various pair.
Here's some MT4 indi's. Hope they help.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=62355
  • #5,490
  • Jul 5, 2010 4:28pm Jul 5, 2010 4:28pm
Quoting MarcVUM
Hi aragorn. FX360.com usually has it but do you use the ATR (avg true range) indicator?
Hey Marc,
I am not looking for ATR really.. it needs a number of days input and I never can decide on which one to use. I was looking more to have a rough idea of the daily movement of different pairs.

Thanks for the reply
  • #5,491
  • Jul 5, 2010 4:31pm Jul 5, 2010 4:31pm
Quoting aragorn123
Hey Marc,
I am not looking for ATR really.. it needs a number of days input and I never can decide on which one to use. I was looking more to have a rough idea of the daily movement of different pairs.

Thanks for the reply
Try this! http://www.forexmarkethours.com/curr...ding_range/08/
  • #5,492
  • Jul 5, 2010 4:39pm Jul 5, 2010 4:39pm
Quoting Salda
Try this! http://www.forexmarkethours.com/curr...ding_range/08/
Cool! Thanks for sharing.
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #5,493
  • Jul 5, 2010 4:44pm Jul 5, 2010 4:44pm
AUD cash rate later, any ideas? Wonder how much longer they are going to hold......I want to short at DP to take a pre-data pricing. It would also be sweet if PA could get to Monthly Piv Daily R1 confluence too. that's a sweet spot
  • #5,494
  • Jul 5, 2010 4:47pm Jul 5, 2010 4:47pm
Quoting Saxon
AUD cash rate later, any ideas? Wonder how much longer they are going to hold......I want to short at DP to take a pre-data pricing. It would also be week if PA could get to Monthly Piv Daily R1 confluence too. that's a sweet spot
Chart
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  • #5,495
  • Jul 5, 2010 4:52pm Jul 5, 2010 4:52pm
My take is that for AU, there is no way in hell they will raise rates. The only possibilities are a hold or lower. So one would anticipate negative pre-data pricing......or am I just shooting in the dark here
  • #5,496
  • Jul 5, 2010 5:18pm Jul 5, 2010 5:18pm
Quoting Saxon
My take is that for AU, there is no way in hell they will raise rates. The only possibilities are a hold or lower. So one would anticipate negative pre-data pricing......or am I just shooting in the dark here
I'm sitting here waiting for another short entry. Right now I want to short really bad at Daily PP but I've got a problem. Important MA's on all TF's are at 8414... just 5 pips above D PP! I don't want to miss the short so I'm setting the sell limit at 8409. Hopefully by the time PA moves 9 pips higher from here the MA's will have moved down...it's so slooow!
When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
  • #5,497
  • Jul 5, 2010 5:20pm Jul 5, 2010 5:20pm
Quoting MarcVUM
I'm sitting here waiting for another short entry. Right now I want to short really bad at Daily PP but I've got a problem. Important MA's on all TF's are at 8414... just 5 pips above D PP! I don't want to miss the short so I'm setting the sell limit at 8409. Hopefully by the time PA moves 9 pips higher from here the MA's will have moved down...it's so slooow!
Ya, if you set your stop above 8414 you should be ok. We are getting friction at "00" 84 right now, so hopefully it can get to DP
  • #5,498
  • Jul 5, 2010 5:23pm Jul 5, 2010 5:23pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #5,499
  • Jul 5, 2010 5:33pm Jul 5, 2010 5:33pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting Saxon
My take is that for AU, there is no way in hell they will raise rates. The only possibilities are a hold or lower. So one would anticipate negative pre-data pricing......or am I just shooting in the dark here
Ya. I agree. Don't really expect them to raise again now.
(They are already pretty far ahead)
Pretty lame moves today only. Lookin at the charts got boring.

What I wanted to ask you guys. (with much more experience.. )
What to expect during the Summer?
Someone mentioned "Holiday Trading" --> Lower volumes as some banks are closed and institutional traders goin on vacation ,...
Low volumes can be dangerous IMO. So how do you trade during that time? any advices?
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #5,500
  • Jul 5, 2010 5:40pm Jul 5, 2010 5:40pm
She hit the darn yellow 21ema on H1 and fell. Shoot!

Atton, this is how I had the triangle drawn. We have been retesting the LTL a couple of times now.
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When this baby hits 88 miles per hour, you're gonna see some serious s***.
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