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  • #263,721
  • Edited 4:38am Jun 27, 2010 4:34am | Edited 4:38am
Quoting uraceulose
you're right, those numbers are taken from 1.6 to .8 though.we can slip 50 pips or so above but if we come back down and use as resistance on 4 hr or higher, I'm longing from there. there are other pairs and higher tfs that speak bear still imo..that TLC chf chart is one example. we are also right back down at the red wedge that gator posted on the monthly chf chart, i posted it a couple times too with the yellow candles..it's pretty much the same line that TLC has there in yellow actually
I see a BULLISH BAT on USDCHF on Daily

and i never seen such a good one, almost symetrical

I dont think EU can get up to 1.26, im sure were in wave "6" from 1.51 atm and wave "7" is awaiting for 1.16

Still holding my 1.2365 short till rest of July

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  • #263,722
  • Jun 27, 2010 4:57am Jun 27, 2010 4:57am
i'm still as newbie in forex (just over 3 months). but i guess, we will see eurusd going down.
i believe it will touch 2230 on the 1st day of next week.
just my 2cents
If only,.....
  • #263,723
  • Jun 27, 2010 6:22am Jun 27, 2010 6:22am
Not married to Mr Long or Mr Short for the week but I'd like to see how the market moves on Monday and trade when it hits my S&R.

Bulls:
1.2359, 1.2461, 1.2569, 1.2645 (23.6 Fib)

Bears:
1.2295, 1.2258, 1.2156, 1.2109, 1.1874 (0.00)

Charts
  • #263,724
  • Edited 8:27am Jun 27, 2010 7:25am | Edited 8:27am
I think the eur/usd will drop this week
cot charts

weekly
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- Over all chart trend bear: 85% of the time a trend remains the same
- RSI: over bought
- CANDLES
a. 5 back candle big master/mother candle - bear
b. the last 4 candle are all small and so price is stopped to the north
- Vol -even with higher vol on the last 4 days price is stopped .
- EMAs flat no sign. Or best reading return to main trend again: 85% of the time a trend remains the same
- COT is bear

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- Over all chart trend bear: 85% of the time a trend remains the same
- VOL: droping as price has gone up the last 3 weeks.
- CANDLE: BIG BIG bear candle
- RSI; is in safe zone now out of over sold .
- EMAs bear
- COT is bear
teb
  • #263,725
  • Jun 27, 2010 7:50am Jun 27, 2010 7:50am
.
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  • #263,726
  • Jun 27, 2010 9:16am Jun 27, 2010 9:16am
Let me predict as well. So if it goes as I said, I can bring up this post, if not keep under the carpet..no one will remember anyway

"Week opens with 1.2326, eventually shoots to a new high to 1.25....then drops all the way down to 1.20....from there it will continue sideways"
  • #263,727
  • Jun 27, 2010 9:22am Jun 27, 2010 9:22am
Quoting PipMaxzz
Let me predict as well. So if it goes as I said, I can bring up this post, if not keep under the carpet..no one will remember anyway

"Week opens with 1.2326, eventually shoots to a new high to 1.25....then drops all the way down to 1.20....from there it will continue sideways"


I think you might be right !!

teb
  • #263,728
  • Jun 27, 2010 10:16am Jun 27, 2010 10:16am
Long 1.2302 if I can get it.

tp half of it 1.2352

then 50 pip trailing stop on the remainder
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  • #263,729
  • Jun 27, 2010 10:39am Jun 27, 2010 10:39am
Quoting gatorinla
if you would of asked me on may 20 i would of given you this. and i would of thought i was crazy.

targets
.87913
.874488
.885701
.902057
.93888
.941761
.953795
bull

i got the high atm of .88582...
Thank you for your response man. And thanks for posting that tim mcgraw vid..it's good to sit back and reflect. I've lost 3 good friends since high school in Iraq/Afghan. These were guys that were 19-22 years old.
To all from the military that happen to visit this thread today, we thank you
  • #263,730
  • Jun 27, 2010 10:57am Jun 27, 2010 10:57am
I'm going to play a bounce on any upmoves that hit:

2383
2400
2465
2520
2544

Down moves will be played by the usual s/r, fib slips and retest.
  • #263,731
  • Jun 27, 2010 11:27am Jun 27, 2010 11:27am
will we see fib 38.8 ? this week ? 1.257 then down ? two lower lows on the left and two higher lows on the right show us that 1.1876 was swing point low will this correction for the down trend stops at fib 38.8 of the weekly? this what we will see next week may be next month. still have the hammer on my mind on the monthly. on the month chart fib 23.6 from the fall on 1.5136 to 1.1876 is at 1.2635 will we see it next month ? let us see the close of this month . 1.2460 is a strong resistance we have to get over it first any body have the same thoughts ?

eye on gb/usd and usd/chf for correlation
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ブードゥー教
  • #263,732
  • Jun 27, 2010 11:53am Jun 27, 2010 11:53am
I'm convinced this wonky market we have had for the past 2 weeks is because of the world cup.
  • #263,733
  • Jun 27, 2010 1:47pm Jun 27, 2010 1:47pm
Quoting gatorinla
if you would of asked me on may 20 i would of given you this. and i would of thought i was crazy.

targets
.87913
.874488
.885701
.902057
.93888
.941761
.953795
bull

i got the high atm of .88582


w/o new high

bear
.87414
.8726
.8645
.853171

first 3 bears here have been met.. and the pink dot showing the recent bottom is not near my numbers. but you can see the interaction on the ones it did hit. im tired atm and may have missed something. so maybe i missed a bottom signal at the atm bottom.. anyway...
Hey gator...I dusted off the commodity pairs this weekend and I think it boils down to - will the charts play out in continuation, or will Fed manipulation disrupt what has clearly begun on the charts....
  • #263,734
  • Jun 27, 2010 2:06pm Jun 27, 2010 2:06pm
morning all
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #263,735
  • Jun 27, 2010 2:15pm Jun 27, 2010 2:15pm
Quoting PriceVolume
Hey gator...I dusted off the commodity pairs this weekend and I think it boils down to - will the charts play out in continuation, or will Fed manipulation disrupt what has clearly begun on the charts....
dont count usd bulls out just yet. if we drop below 84.22 we will have to reconsider. but atm 85.17 may be a tough nut for euro bulls to crack (usdx). if so the recent eu high will hold. according to the eurx the euro has actually weakend the last 5 days. after an 11 day flat to upward push. it was contained by a tl. the push up in the euro verses usd is probably the riding of the coattails of others mainy from china talks of the easing of its peg. time will tell if this continues after the g5..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #263,736
  • Edited 3:14pm Jun 27, 2010 2:58pm | Edited 3:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
dont count usd bulls out just yet. if we drop below 84.22 we will have to reconsider. but atm 85.17 may be a tough nut for euro bulls to crack (usdx). if so the recent eu high will hold. according to the eurx the euro has actually weakend the last 5 days. after an 11 day flat to upward push. it was contained by a tl. the push up in the euro verses usd is probably the riding of the coattails of others mainy from china talks of the easing of its peg. time will tell if this continues after the g5..
yo gator hope you had a great weekend man....I was lookin at a lot of different charts over the weekend and Im starting to think some type of range is developing on eu that might last for a month or so.....what do you think about this possibility?

I was thinking something like this....makes a very logical argument to be ranging between <2500-2000. It seems volatility has been really low as weve been approaching 2500 level. I dunno, maybe its just me, but this bounce off lows seems like it takes forever to pick up momentum to move higher. This range seems to be in play right now by large options players. I wouldn't discount this happening until market gets closer to this daily TL that is containing this downtrend, at least till those options levels are taken out.....
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  • #263,737
  • Jun 27, 2010 3:57pm Jun 27, 2010 3:57pm
what's the actuel eur/usd price? do you expect any (big) changes this evening and in the night?
  • #263,738
  • Jun 27, 2010 4:07pm Jun 27, 2010 4:07pm
Quoting dtrader9
what's the actuel eur/usd price? do you expect any (big) changes this evening and in the night?
My broker already open. Currently price at 1.2372.
  • #263,739
  • Jun 27, 2010 4:12pm Jun 27, 2010 4:12pm
Quoting c2v4l
My broker already open. Currently price at 1.2372.
same here on fxpro. still have a short from last friday at 1.2389.
  • #263,740
  • Jun 27, 2010 4:17pm Jun 27, 2010 4:17pm
Quoting c2v4l
My broker already open. Currently price at 1.2372.

Too gft tells the same - second candle opened on 15m chart
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