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  • #253,881
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:27pm Jun 6, 2010 6:27pm
Quoting malcolmb14
nice post ... I am thinking same thing. Been looking at aj for possible 500 pip drop this week
i with you guys..TLC posted a NZD/USD chart here http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=926

I have pending set at the 50 percent of that last drop.

I shorted AU last week off of this 38.2 and am looking to add.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Hope all is well with you guys

Donnie


edit: you guys seen this yet? EU not AU stuff http://www.forexlive.com/111178/all/...-euro-aidpress
  • #253,882
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:41pm Jun 6, 2010 6:41pm
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/imm...+drops+to+zero)


One of the most recurring and troubling topics on Zero Hedge is the imminent US Debt to GDP parity: even as the US economy is starting to roll over from a temporary sugar high into a double dip, the hangover effect of $2.1 trillion in debt incurred since March 2009 will linger for a long, long time. Total US debt is currently just under $13.1 trillion, and is rising at a rate of about $150-200 billion per month, meaning that US GDP of about $14.4 trillion will soon hit parity with the Federal debt, likely in under one year. Luckily, this critical topic is starting to get far more greater prominence: Bloomberg's chart of the day focuses precisely on this issue. Garfield Reynolds and Wes Goodman note: "President Barack Obama is poised to increase the U.S. debt to a level that exceeds the value of the nation’s annual economic output, a step toward what Bill Gross called a “debt super cycle." We hope the president will finally address this untenable collision course during one of his daily TV appearances in the upcoming weeks, instead of ruminating on last week's terrific(ally bad) NFP report.

http://www.usdebtclock.org/
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #253,883
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:42pm Jun 6, 2010 6:42pm
I missed that one. Looks like I'm going to have to evaluate a few more of the USD pairs.
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #253,884
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:44pm Jun 6, 2010 6:44pm
can't trade yet because no confirmation on how the pattern has played out over the weekend.....we need at least one cycle .....one top and one bottom if not 2 to be able to measure TIME ......and forecast price...
  • #253,885
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:47pm Jun 6, 2010 6:47pm
Quoting uraceulose
i with you guys..TLC posted a NZD/USD chart here http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...&postcount=926

I have pending set at the 50 percent of that last drop.

I shorted AU last week off of this 38.2 and am looking to add.

Attachment

Hope all is well with you guys

Donnie


edit: you guys seen this yet? EU not AU stuff http://www.forexlive.com/111178/all/...-euro-aidpress
I've been following this. If Germany does not participate in the bailout, Greece will never get the funds they were promised. Noticed how Greece has been off the news lately, the assumption is that it's taken care of. If Germany doesn't come through though, they're toast, and so it the Euro.
If only I knew then what I know now...
  • #253,886
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:47pm Jun 6, 2010 6:47pm
edit: you guys seen this yet? EU not AU stuff http://www.forexlive.com/111178/all/...-euro-aidpress[/quote]


Wow, it's not hard to tell what the germans want!
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #253,887
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:51pm Jun 6, 2010 6:51pm
Quoting tonyo524

Wow, it's not hard to tell what the germans want!
Nope. They let you know and just blitzkrieg from there.
Only expectation matters . . .
  • #253,888
  • Jun 6, 2010 6:53pm Jun 6, 2010 6:53pm
Quoting tonyo524
I missed that one. Looks like I'm going to have to evaluate a few more of the USD pairs.
looking at aud weekly , as you said we have a long way to drop if we get double dip , which I think we may well do on s &p .

even failing that we should see .7812 / to 7687. , then take it form there. But i am also pretty bearish on aud for the next 3 months plus.

I am watching that hulls moving average on the weekly and as long as it stays red will sell all rallies on daily.

aud weekly had a pretty large bear div in rsx off the top .. missed it off top as it is not a pair I had been trading till recently

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart2296.png Size: 208 KB
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #253,889
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:02pm Jun 6, 2010 7:02pm
Guys

I send this out every night its for free
is anyone wants them
just email me at [email protected]

Date: for June 6 Trend Strength

Eur/Usd Bear 8
Eur/Jpy Bear 8
Usd/Jpy Bull 8
Eur/Gbp Bear 8
Usd/Cad Bull 8
Aud/Usd Bear 7

Crude Oil 4 or below, no trend no trade.
Natural Gas Bull 5
Gold Bull 6
Silver4 or below, no trend no trade

Key
Trend
Bear (down)
Bull (up)
Strength
7 & 8 Strong trend
5 & 6 Weak trend
1 to 4 no trend (Neutral)
I look to trading only 7 & 8
I will not trend trade 4 or below, no trend no trade.
Non Trade Days ie. 1. Interest rate 2. Non farm payroll 3. Holidays 4. Elections
· Best to trade a pair that does business in the time you are trading.
· The best days to trade trend are Tues, Wed, Thru.
· Worst times are Sunday night and Friday after 12noon EST.
· Only trade with the trend, use whatever set up you like.
· You make money on the exit!!!

Trading Idea for the day
Euro is weak. ..... Usd is strong
Training is risky, trade at your own risk!!!!



is anyone wants them
just email me at [email protected]
  • #253,890
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:02pm Jun 6, 2010 7:02pm
risk aversion is coming back hard on markets

look how AUD is getting hit.


So how many traders here think there is a possibility now for a "Double Dip"
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #253,891
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:03pm Jun 6, 2010 7:03pm
Quoting malcolmb14
looking at aud weekly , as you said we have a long way to drop if we get double dip , which I think we may well do on s &p .

even failing that we should see .7812 / to 7687. , then take it form there. But i am also pretty bearish on aud for the next 3 months plus.

I am watching that hulls moving average on the weekly and as long as it stays red will sell all rallies on daily.

aud weekly had a pretty large bear div in rsx off the top .. missed it off top as it is not a pair I had been trading till recently

Attachment


0.78 is my target
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #253,892
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:04pm Jun 6, 2010 7:04pm
is any one in ? the water looks fine

teb
  • #253,893
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:05pm Jun 6, 2010 7:05pm
Quoting DMA Trader
risk aversion is coming back hard on markets

look how AUD is getting hit.


So how many traders here think there is a possibility now for a "Double Dip"
Risk aversion has been the play for a couple of months.
  • #253,894
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:08pm Jun 6, 2010 7:08pm
EUR/CHF 1.3883

I've told you. You can manipulate prices hourly, daily
but eventually it turns out you can't do a thing.

that should be a lesson to ECB.

they are just going to waste money.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #253,895
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:08pm Jun 6, 2010 7:08pm
Quoting TEB63
is any one in ? the water looks fine

teb
i closed positions last friday in eu, uj for 1400 pips...... on fri i started to short
au and reopened uj, those are now +312. Ill post my charts here later tonight.
  • #253,896
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:11pm Jun 6, 2010 7:11pm
Quoting Alexgee
I've been following this. If Germany does not participate in the bailout, Greece will never get the funds they were promised. Noticed how Greece has been off the news lately, the assumption is that it's taken care of. If Germany doesn't come through though, they're toast, and so it the Euro.
they may even give em the money and probably will..but just the thought is enough to make some coin..i am right now

edit: g/j is going nuts as usual edit: out for +33 on gj

edit: again, i'm going to take a little bit of if we get to 8000 and bounce on au..
  • #253,897
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:11pm Jun 6, 2010 7:11pm
25 pips 1st lot
2nd lot is a runner (and free trade of coarse)

teb
  • #253,898
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:11pm Jun 6, 2010 7:11pm
CHICAGO (Reuters) - Tornadoes and thunderstorms tore through the Midwest on Sunday, killing at least seven people in Ohio and triggering the automatic shutdown of a nuclear power plant in Michigan.

So we've got the hurricane season going on.
Tensions in ME.

And the price of oil keeps going down.

That should be more evidence of possibility of double dip.

Also watch Copper, Aluminium, AUD getting hit.

I think the correction is not over.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #253,899
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:11pm Jun 6, 2010 7:11pm
Quoting TEB63
is any one in ? the water looks fine

teb
and we will have a nice swim
  • #253,900
  • Jun 6, 2010 7:12pm Jun 6, 2010 7:12pm
G/J below 132.

this thing is moving fast.

400 pips from Friday super NFP
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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Glpp