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  • #249,681
  • May 28, 2010 1:32pm May 28, 2010 1:32pm
Quoting mokonni
10 - 15 years MAX

today all is focused on europe

a striking automated teller machine in France could bring Euro down quick...
10-15 years? You kidding right? US have 2 years Max to keep borrowing

at those levels which are not sustainable, before hitting the fan..
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #249,682
  • May 28, 2010 1:32pm May 28, 2010 1:32pm
Quoting fontu
Ok , thanks , if 1.17 is the target as parity then why they want it down so fast , market is not going anywhere there are lots of time doing & by this time it can travel to 1.4 againto come down next . But were force manuever to turn it down , hope it will not be accepted . A fair game ahead .
Just my idea.
anyway happy weekend holidays to you all .
fontu
If Forex works like everyone wants, it would be a paradise. But this is not the case even for the biggest.

I'm keeping in mind that we are still in bear market. Longs for long term is dangerous for me, when i catch pivotal points. That does not mean that i did not take some long time to time to go with the rally, if i expect there will be some benefits. I had one post explaining facing different difficulties to achieve 1.17. The biggest is already 1.2143. If crossed with at least 50 pips, it will be hard to go through before 1.17 will be touched.

Between 1.17 and 1.21 there are 400 pips. In nowadays volatile market, it means nothing in EU. Please have a look to different weekly candles and you'll see difference high and low is more than 400 pips. If it will happen, next week or next month, i should be care that we are in a bear market, especially when taking some Longs. I could be wrong, and if so, market give signals. Forex is a market when reversal trend could happen at any time.

For me, it doesn't matter any news. Charts are my only friends. If i know reading them, i make some money. If not, means i'm wrong or the unexpected happened, SL protect.
No Signal, No Trade. No fundamenals, No headache.
  • #249,683
  • May 28, 2010 1:33pm May 28, 2010 1:33pm
Quoting SkyzerFX

FXCM took me offline for few hours.. That was costly..
You need a second broker,second PC + Inet connection + UPS.

That's all you can do from your side.

In the end this double of equipment is much cheaper than:

" That was costly"
  • #249,684
  • May 28, 2010 1:34pm May 28, 2010 1:34pm
sos different day.. i even remember reading this in nov.. "1.51 is going to be cheap when it goes up next week"
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #249,685
  • May 28, 2010 1:37pm May 28, 2010 1:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
im just saying a carry trade needs to have low interest on the borrowing side. and someone has to be willing and able to loan. if these banks dont have money to loan.. it makes this carry trade less probable. and if banks don't have cash to loan.. it kills commerce in ez... no expansion just stagnation.. to prevent this ez prints... so far they print just to cover debt.
shhhhhee were not supposed to know.. if they want expansion ect. they print more. we can then siphon some for carry trades?..in the mean time the population ages and social cost...

The Yen was a carry trade currency before the international banking crisis during their 10 year deflationary period (and still going) with 0.1% interest rates. It is very possible that we will see Japanese-style outright deflation in the Eurozone. In the Eurozone the rate is 0.8%. Spain has just entered core deflation and Ireland’s overall CPI index has slid for 16 months. The fundamental trend in the West remains profoundly deflationary, hence quantative easing (printing money) which is supposed to stave of deflation and carries the risk of inflation really taking off. Inflation is what the Eurozone really want... to reduce the real value of debt.

  • #249,686
  • May 28, 2010 1:39pm May 28, 2010 1:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
im not doing nothing.. except holding what i got.. it sure could get pumped up Monday.. then again they may just follow u.s. today and crash this pig.. im just not willing to risk it..
wise man.
I watched an interview with the french finance minister couple weeks back, she made an off the cuff remark during the interview about central bank not going to repeat their massive intervention every 2 weeks. that may have been a freudian slip, so it could be huge day next week, who knows, holiday or not.
  • #249,687
  • May 28, 2010 1:42pm May 28, 2010 1:42pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
Forget about those times.. EUR was below parity, only cause it was

new Currency + USA was DEBT FREE, even in Surplus while Clinton

Administration was in Charge.. (GOLD $200/oz, that's how strong Dollar was) Now you have Dullar with Debt levels

no better than Greece... Parity My A$$
USA was DEBT FREE...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_public_debt
  • #249,688
  • May 28, 2010 1:43pm May 28, 2010 1:43pm
All my margin used up shorting this no stop loss , can this gap up on sunday i dont see how , i will be here when Asia opens sunday lets make it a date. i am going to close all these suckers then and buy the lady in my life a new summer wardrobe.

ha ha got Aces get your money in the pot.
  • #249,689
  • May 28, 2010 1:46pm May 28, 2010 1:46pm
Quoting Prosac_100Mg
ha ha got Aces get your money in the pot.

LOL. Problem with Forex Poker is that EVERYBODY has 4 aces...but the big boys have 5 aces.
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
  • #249,690
  • May 28, 2010 1:46pm May 28, 2010 1:46pm
Quoting Atlast
wise man.
I watched an interview with the french finance minister couple weeks back, she made an off the cuff remark during the interview about central bank not going to repeat their massive intervention every 2 weeks. that may have been a freudian slip, so it could be huge day next week, who knows, holiday or not.
just in case i got a short pending around 2700

have a good weekend.. later
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #249,691
  • May 28, 2010 1:46pm May 28, 2010 1:46pm
Quoting Prosac_100Mg
All my margin used up shorting this no stop loss , can this gap up on sunday i dont see how , i will be here when Asia opens sunday lets make it a date. i am going to close all these suckers then and buy the lady in my life a new summer wardrobe.

ha ha got Aces get your money in the pot.
Dude ! very risky - you might lose both.

With the money goes the Misses
  • #249,692
  • May 28, 2010 1:55pm May 28, 2010 1:55pm
Market will close bellow 1.226
Trade what you see, Not what you think.
  • #249,693
  • May 28, 2010 1:56pm May 28, 2010 1:56pm
Found me again Kill

Well, it is a Friday evening and there is bugger all on the goggle box!
  • #249,694
  • May 28, 2010 1:57pm May 28, 2010 1:57pm
1BB

still up was a nice day i think we are back to the old range all the move up was fake from the big azz's we will see new lows next week on both gu and fiber nothing can prevent the eur from visiting the 18000 might be wrong
  • #249,695
  • May 28, 2010 1:57pm May 28, 2010 1:57pm
Have a great long weekend.
Si vis pacem, para bellum.
  • #249,696
  • May 28, 2010 1:58pm May 28, 2010 1:58pm
Have a Nice Weekend!
See You Guys on Monday..
Trade what you see, Not what you think.
  • #249,697
  • May 28, 2010 2:00pm May 28, 2010 2:00pm
Quoting bbakker
Found me again Kill

Well, it is a Friday evening and there is bugger all on the goggle box!
u cant run from me i am killen time dam i cant sleep now the crackforex in the blood
  • #249,698
  • May 28, 2010 2:02pm May 28, 2010 2:02pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
10-15 years? You kidding right? US have 2 years Max to keep borrowing

at those levels which are not sustainable, before hitting the fan..
OK, 2 years will do, if the US can borrow till December 2012.
After that we'll have the mega margin call aka the end of the world
Getting it right is NOT as important as not getting it wrong.
  • #249,699
  • May 28, 2010 2:03pm May 28, 2010 2:03pm
i noticed a few patterns over the last week so i thought a review would be in order,if anybody is intrested i will post a examples
  • #249,700
  • May 28, 2010 2:06pm May 28, 2010 2:06pm
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