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EURUSD

  • #241,461
  • May 13, 2010 1:39pm May 13, 2010 1:39pm
Quoting Cotton-I-Jo
There'll be many caps on the way.....

2595

2615

2642

2717

2840

2940

3039

3115

3180

3264

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A

Big

Fat

Hen !

thats why i was short when the sheep were long. at 1.51xxx
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #241,462
  • May 13, 2010 1:42pm May 13, 2010 1:42pm
Just wondering...

How many of us or how much money is needed to push EURCHF from 1.4000 to 1.3995 ??
  • #241,463
  • May 13, 2010 1:42pm May 13, 2010 1:42pm
always good to hear your analysis G. Would explain why Sarkozy is so pro-active - has been always criticising the ECB http://www.google.ie/#hl=en&q=sarkoz...6038a8bab2eeb5

Quoting gatorinla
follow the money... greece needed a few billion... then imf and germany said 60 then 80 then 120..then all 16 countries got behind closed doors. now its about 1 trillian... who do you think really needs the money???? Its got France written all over it... the biggest holders of Greek debt are in France. they couldn't let France be bundled with the piigs. for the confidence of the euros sake. notice the big secret of where the money goes. tick tock..
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #241,464
  • May 13, 2010 1:43pm May 13, 2010 1:43pm
Either be SHORT or wait on the sidelines!
Former Trader Of the Year of the 95% losing club! Retired
  • #241,465
  • May 13, 2010 1:44pm May 13, 2010 1:44pm
Quoting uraceulose
. AK posted the link the other day.
I'll look for it more throughout the day and when I find it, I'll post the link.
Yen Cross Correlations

Can also be found at the bottom of Post #1 in The Index of both the EU Redux thread and the old Nights A'rd the Table thread... under Nucking Futs and/or The Basics section along with some other stuff worth knowing...
FUBAR...
  • #241,466
  • May 13, 2010 1:44pm May 13, 2010 1:44pm
Quoting gatorinla
34567ioyjyu
will we break the lower now? this is the question..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #241,467
  • May 13, 2010 1:45pm May 13, 2010 1:45pm
I was waiting for it to go a bit higher to short but chickened out. O well!
Former Trader Of the Year of the 95% losing club! Retired
  • #241,468
  • May 13, 2010 1:45pm May 13, 2010 1:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
will we break the lower now? this is the question..
oops we did.. will it hold?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #241,469
  • May 13, 2010 1:47pm May 13, 2010 1:47pm
Quoting suthmo
If price continues in line with my model, I think the next 26 hours are gonna rock your world.

.2529 20:00 GMT
.2453 22:00 GMT
.2300 04:00 GMT
.2402 09:00 GMT
.2721 21:00 GMT
That's interesting....we will have to see.

BP
  • #241,470
  • May 13, 2010 1:48pm May 13, 2010 1:48pm
Just re-evaluating as to why price failed today to break.
An alternative technical analysis can be it is cooking a reversal pattern for big bounce .
As per M5 tf an apparent inverted HS can come into the scene and as per parice may fall to 1.2647 before the bounce start to the neck region for validation around 1.2591.

In daily level price at rally down at 8th candle today & next candle 9th usually ups & down but candle close should be below 8th , todays close & as weekly also 9th running of the down rally next week can be big rally start but before that if bear is so strong can also stagger 1-2 candles to the downside also but that 's are extra if happen.
So the down pressure can be limited to tommorows play and may not much below todays low but mostly can be upside .

so target reduced to 1,2547 area for now , support line lies at 58 though ( may tp here for today ) & next step as per market do , if alternative as to hs or as before plain break down to new low ,all welcome but next day movement can be scary more up or down ,unpredictable.
Note : price in bear rally fast now at 57 ignoring 58 supportline ,will watch if 47 really halt it & reverse .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #241,471
  • May 13, 2010 1:49pm May 13, 2010 1:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
oops we did.. will it hold?
Not many buyers, looks very weak indeed
  • #241,472
  • May 13, 2010 1:53pm May 13, 2010 1:53pm
Watch eur/gbp and usd/chf correlations.

Both eur/usd and gbp/usd are targeting intraday low and possible break.

It might be deep-diving time!
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #241,473
  • May 13, 2010 1:54pm May 13, 2010 1:54pm
Quoting fontu
Just re-evaluating as to why price failed today to break.
An alternative technical analysis can be it is cooking a reversal pattern for big bounce .
As per M5 tf an apparent inverted HS can come into the scene and as per parice may fall to 1.2647 before the bounce start to the neck region for validation around 1.2591.

In daily level price at rally down at 8th candle today & next candle 9th usually ups & down but candle close should be below 8th , todays close & as weekly also 9th running of the down rally next week can be big rally start but before...
it is, you are correct could well be 1.2614 or 1.2680
  • #241,474
  • May 13, 2010 1:59pm May 13, 2010 1:59pm
good support at 2553
  • #241,475
  • May 13, 2010 1:59pm May 13, 2010 1:59pm
Quoting increase
it is, you are correct
still not if this strong rally now break the 47 area or previous low then void this reversal theory, follow the old for more down before the weekly close next day & mostly will be done by today action.58 support trying to slow its fall & m5 9th candle appear to announce a retracement soon.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #241,476
  • May 13, 2010 2:02pm May 13, 2010 2:02pm
Quoting TudorJonesJR
Not many buyers, looks very weak indeed
i suspect it will around 2457/58 but how high will it bounce?.. chf may be safely above tl by then.. hard to say.. chf already had one big bounce. it seems to be waiting for the euro.. so the timing at eu 2457ish and new chf high may be at the same time. anyway that's my story.. and im sticking to it.. unless a war starts or something.. like a Spanish riot.. or french farmers crank up the shit spraying tractors.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #241,477
  • May 13, 2010 2:02pm May 13, 2010 2:02pm
not many buyers this really wants to push lower before a bounce. Maybe to low of todays low or if we are lucky make newer lows.
Former Trader Of the Year of the 95% losing club! Retired
  • #241,478
  • May 13, 2010 2:04pm May 13, 2010 2:04pm
Quoting fontu
still not if this strong rally now break the 47 area or previous low then void this reversal theory, follow the old for more down before the weekly close next day & mostly will be done by today action.58 support trying to slow its fall.
fontu
my 2 cents
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may be 2537 or 2520/2516 and UP...
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #241,479
  • May 13, 2010 2:05pm May 13, 2010 2:05pm
Just rambling I guess:

I think the whole socialism thing is going to come up in the world pretty soon, it might be 3/4 socialism and 1/4 capitalist, with the your connections deciding which boat you are in.

With so many government regulations coming into play, governments intervening in free markets, well whats the next step? A catalyst at the right moment may trigger this change.

Protect your money, this is not just a shift in world economies but world politics and free markets are a thing of the past.

Forex markets provide a very long term signal for economies and right now they seem to be saying "if you thought you have seen a crisis, just keep your eyes peeled".

The day that a pvt. company/bank is bailed out by a government is the day the whole financial system and judicial system becomes a joke.

The financial system needs to fail if we are to get back to a semblance of order. I am not saying it should fail completely but let it go down on its own and then let it build back.

I bet there are a few science students here remember "entropy"?
  • #241,480
  • May 13, 2010 2:06pm May 13, 2010 2:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
i suspect it will around 2457/58 but how high will it bounce?.. chf may be safely above tl by then.. hard to say.. chf already had one big bounce. it seems to be waiting for the euro.. so the timing at eu 2457ish and new chf high may be at the same time. anyway that's my story.. and im sticking to it.. unless a war starts or something.. like a Spanish riot.. or french farmers crank up the shit spraying tractors.
1.245x
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