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  • #230,961
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:16am Apr 26, 2010 6:16am
I do not need such things. So-called "Überraschungen" !


As 'Katze' mentioned already - ist ja kein Kasperle-Theater...



;-)
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #230,962
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:19am Apr 26, 2010 6:19am
Quoting mercy seat
I do not need such things. So-called "Überraschungen" !


As 'Katze' mentioned already - ist ja kein Kasperle-Theater...



;-)
You are dam right and will try to get rid of my short before the news. Sadly price does not allow that atm. Need to be below 3308, on the other hand any announcement of Merkel wont change the € per se, it will only delay the obvious. Anyhoo should price get below 3308 I bail otherwise I take the gamble. Have pedning shorts at 3462 3550.
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #230,963
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:20am Apr 26, 2010 6:20am
Quoting Mathias83
your r:r depends on your sl AND a possible tp... a big sl doesnt bring a good r:r with it... my trades are a 2:1 reward for most of the time - but this wouldnt help my account if i only make a profit every 5th trade
Very true. However, if one can only make a profit every 5 trades, I would strongly recommend going back to the drawing board (demo account) or babypips.com

Of cos, most of the traders here are scalpers or day traders including myself so it can be a sucky situation if I had to take a loss due to spike or news volatility.
  • #230,964
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:21am Apr 26, 2010 6:21am
H4 TF

reverse bearish divergence
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  • #230,965
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:26am Apr 26, 2010 6:26am
Quoting perrier
Very true. However, if one can only make a profit every 5 trades, I would strongly recommend going back to the drawing board (demo account) or babypips.com

Of cos, most of the traders here are scalpers or day traders including myself so it can be a sucky situation if I had to take a loss due to spike or news volatility.
i'm also a daytrader but if a have a 20% chance of a win with my system, i should have the proper r:r ratio... if i dont, i go back to the board

i have a +50% chance and a 2:1 ratio - do the math
  • #230,966
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:28am Apr 26, 2010 6:28am
The announcment of Merkel speaking has changed all my daily plan. I expected a day with no big news, just price sliding easily and smoothlyto 3270 area tih no major spikes. Now we have a very different scenario. Let's see what US opens brings.
  • #230,967
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:29am Apr 26, 2010 6:29am
Quoting T@rantula
H4 TF

reverse bearish divergence
that would be nice if the € would tank now maybe 200-300 pips hahaha any ways a big down move would be good hence shorts on books.
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #230,968
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:30am Apr 26, 2010 6:30am
Quoting mercy seat
Oh - Mann. Sorry my dear. Ich drück Dir die Daumen, dass Du da sauber rauskommst. Cross Fingers - as they do say there.

Wenn Merkel schon im "Kanzleramt" eine Pressekonferenz anberaumt, dann kann das kein bla bla sein - was da kommt.

Die Hanseatin ist 'beinhart' wie'n Schocker !


Good Luck Catty !
Vielleicht erzählt sie nur wie ihre Busfahrt zurück ins Land war...?!
  • #230,969
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:30am Apr 26, 2010 6:30am
Quoting T@rantula
H4 TF

reverse bearish divergence
That has been already played out.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #230,970
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:32am Apr 26, 2010 6:32am
MNI Euro-Dollar: Fundamental levels (orders, options, technicals)
$1.3400 NY high Friday/Strong offers/$1.3405/10 Stops
$1.3398 Int.Day high Asia
$1.3388 European morning highs
$1.3380 Option expiry
$1.3360 Medium offers on approach
$1.3335/40 Recovery high off $1.3292 pullback low
$1.3325 Option expiry
$1.3323 ***Current market rate 1130GMT Monday
$1.3300 Option expiry
$1.3292 Int.Day low Europe, Asia low $1.3317
$1.3292-75 Demand dotted in this area/$1.3276 tech/$1.3280 expiry
$1.5275/70 Stops/$1.3265 option expiry
$1.3255/45 Medium demand
$1.3200 Strong demand on approach, option barrier/$1.3201 Fri low
$1.3200/180 Stops

Provided by: Market News International
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #230,971
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:32am Apr 26, 2010 6:32am
trading has become a nuisance right now... merkel speaking, pleading for trust in euro, assuring the public that ez will stand as one... (and fall as one *g)

i wonder if she dares to say that all germans support a bailout.
  • #230,972
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:34am Apr 26, 2010 6:34am
Quoting Mr Hatch
trading has become a nuisance right now... merkel speaking, pleading for trust in euro, assuring the public that ez will stand as one... (and fall as one *g)

i wonder if she dares to say that all germans support a bailout.
if she does the current government will fall.
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #230,973
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:35am Apr 26, 2010 6:35am
Quoting Mr Hatch
trading has become a nuisance right now... merkel speaking, pleading for trust in euro, assuring the public that ez will stand as one... (and fall as one *g)

i wonder if she dares to say that all germans support a bailout.
I don't imagine that she's quite that stoopid.......Trichet might say it later today though.......
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #230,974
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:40am Apr 26, 2010 6:40am
From what I've read... it sounds like Merkel is more reluctantly supportive than outright supportive of the bailout.

But demands for more/stringent austerity measures before they fork over any money seems to be what they've been harping on about of late.

Wouldn't be surprised if they reinforced this position once again.
  • #230,975
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:41am Apr 26, 2010 6:41am
Merkel speaking, 2 extremes:

1. Let those Greecs sort their problems themself => not likely => very strong EUR

2. Unconditional support => not likely => very weak EUR

3. Anything else => likely => weak EUR

Holding short..........
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #230,976
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:44am Apr 26, 2010 6:44am
Quoting USD-Bear
Merkel speaking, 2 extremes:

1. Let those Greecs sort their problems themself => not likely => very strong EUR

2. Unconditional support => not likely => very weak EUR

3. Anything else => likely => weak EUR

Holding short..........
well mate u got it right there any outcome appart from 1. would weaken the € in the long term.Short term it can spkie pretty violent while she tries to explain her position.
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #230,977
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:46am Apr 26, 2010 6:46am
2
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Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #230,978
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:47am Apr 26, 2010 6:47am
Quoting Trading Cat
if she does the current government will fall.
it will anyway... nobody wanted fdp, we just had to get rid of spd... all my hopes lie on "die linke" atm... they need a few votes more than fdp and close to spd... i would laugh my ass off... though i will not be living in nrw anymore when the result comes out... just voting here, then i'm out of this shit.
  • #230,979
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:48am Apr 26, 2010 6:48am
Quoting USD-Bear
Merkel speaking, 2 extremes:

1. Let those Greecs sort their problems themself => not likely => very strong EUR

2. Unconditional support => not likely => very weak EUR

3. Anything else => likely => weak EUR

Holding short..........
Interestingly enough, my take on it is the exact opposite to you, at least in the short term

1 => weak EUR
2=> strong EUR
3=> (OK, agree weak EUR)

Just saying, thats all - lets see, huh?!
  • #230,980
  • Apr 26, 2010 6:50am Apr 26, 2010 6:50am
mybet she will speak about solidarity but also the need for reform and support is multilateral linked to different level of supervision...
Andreyou
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