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  • #228,881
  • Edited 1:49pm Apr 21, 2010 1:38pm | Edited 1:49pm
Peculiar market today , eu doing what should but other pairs like gu ,gj & gold suddenly made a headfake ( sorry doing for last 3 days ) while already in big sell cd daily level , perhaps tried for a signal confirmation rather the rallies down they were like eu ,new set up under development moved quite opposit but still counts on /no skipped. anyway shorts enforced again to them and also eu for min 1.33. another leg may go up ( before about 1.27 )at that level in eu but for other pairs will not close before they go very down.to me great short opportunities to other pairs now though they are real sucker.

Not know what gbp & gold find fundamentally today.

fontu
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  • #228,882
  • Apr 21, 2010 1:44pm Apr 21, 2010 1:44pm
Quoting fontu
gold suddenly made a massive headfake while already in big sell cd daily level
fontu
GOLD going one direction and it's up.. Still up, and PM stocks are up as well.

Not sure where you see "big sell" Dullar Index will turn any day now,

today/tomorrow? I place my bet, but it will run for 80 or lower, maybe not

just yet, after tomorrow Initial Claims? We'll see.
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  • #228,883
  • Apr 21, 2010 1:44pm Apr 21, 2010 1:44pm
Quoting mercy seat
Jawohl - gut gut - beautiful. Reminds a bit on a "falling wedge in a down trend" theme - somehow.


Which side would you prefer in this case ?



http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon5.gif




Just for fun.

Falling wedges in a prevailing downtrend - normally they are an awaiting signal prior for a breakout to the upside.

But this is not a very good example for this theme in this case.


Sorry



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  • #228,884
  • Apr 21, 2010 1:46pm Apr 21, 2010 1:46pm
I'm looking for a good price on a long myself, but I don't think I want to fight this bearish US equities market at the moment.

I think the Europeans have "flushed" out any retail longs over the past two days, and we might have a move upwards.

A ton of news tomorrow and Obama talks about financial reforms, we should get some great volatility for either side to pick an extreme price and take a shot.
  • #228,885
  • Apr 21, 2010 1:49pm Apr 21, 2010 1:49pm
Quoting suthmo
The reptilian overlords talk to me through my special hat.

i shoulda guessed that was ur answer.... lolz!!!
  • #228,886
  • Apr 21, 2010 1:54pm Apr 21, 2010 1:54pm
Quoting TheLastCoke
Upper white TL looks good for T1. #542
Thank you for your analysis..I appreciate it.
  • #228,887
  • Apr 21, 2010 1:56pm Apr 21, 2010 1:56pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
I'm shorting it to hedge my EUR long.
thanks Skyzer, I changed eu short for au short as you suggested and I managed to do an extra 13 pips, not a lot due to bad entry, but good.

It will finance my loss on the ej (not closed - not loss, yet).
i should have short uj instead, but enough for today.
  • #228,888
  • Apr 21, 2010 2:00pm Apr 21, 2010 2:00pm
Quoting fontu
Peculiar market today , eu doing what should but other pairs like gu ,gj & gold suddenly made a headfake ( sorry doing for last 3 days ) while already in big sell cd daily level , perhaps tried for a signal confirmation rather the rallies down they were like eu ,new set up under development moved quite opposit but still counts on /no skipped. anyway shorts enforced again to them and also eu for min 1.33. another leg may go up ( before about 1.27 )at that level in eu but for other pairs will not close before they go very down.to me great short opportunities...
maybe because a trap is in the kitchen...
  • #228,889
  • Apr 21, 2010 2:02pm Apr 21, 2010 2:02pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
I'm shorting it to hedge my EUR long.
Hi Skyzer,

just curious, is there any reason (hidden to me) why you are using AU for hedging EU (insted of UCH or EJ eg.)? Especially in short direction (and especially on wednesday)?
  • #228,890
  • Edited 2:43pm Apr 21, 2010 2:28pm | Edited 2:43pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
GOLD going one direction and it's up.. Still up, and PM stocks are up as well.

Not sure where you see "big sell" Dullar Index will turn any day now,

today/tomorrow? I place my bet, but it will run for 80 or lower, maybe not

just yet, after tomorrow Initial Claims? We'll see.
I do not agree but we will see, 1156 should stop if this up continue unusally & next big drop as per analysis done preopen market this week.
" Preopen market analysis
Gold :
Though price may risk fall to subsequent resistant at 1124.15 to support at 1120.73 ( actually reached 1123.24 ) but as is sell cd on for low risk sell signal if should go over 8th cd at 1156.05 to 1161.15 to even 1165.55 ( expecting now the first of this series at best or break down below any) before sell signal subject to price successfully break up 1143.40 & 1144.54 ( they taken up so far )as per h4 tf .
as per daily tf already have sell setup perfection & cd mostly expect down side & but some upmovements already happened & further possible . and as is again following a down rally & news setup formation can also go to the ltl at 1104.10 to support 1088.35 to 1084.06.

So a great volalities expected this week. "

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...5&postcount=77

so it is going for low risk sell one though by this time price movements specially H4 tf one changed a lot.


weekend reviews will check what happen.may continued down beyound expectation big wave 3 .anything can happen but what my technical analysis so far , if wrong will update.
fontu
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  • #228,891
  • Apr 21, 2010 2:57pm Apr 21, 2010 2:57pm
Major levels.
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Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #228,892
  • Apr 21, 2010 3:04pm Apr 21, 2010 3:04pm
Bearish triangle pattern 5mn
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  • #228,893
  • Apr 21, 2010 3:10pm Apr 21, 2010 3:10pm
Bought Gold 1147 swing basis, stop 1040. Trading weekly chart.
Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #228,894
  • Apr 21, 2010 3:49pm Apr 21, 2010 3:49pm
Quoting fontu
" Preopen market analysis
Gold :
Though price may risk fall to subsequent resistant at 1124.15 to support at 1120.73 ( actually reached 1123.24 ) but as is sell cd on for low risk sell signal if should go over 8th cd at 1156.05 to 1161.15 to even 1165.55 ( expecting now the first of this series at best or break down below any) before sell signal subject to price successfully break up 1143.40 & 1144.54 ( they taken up so far )as per h4 tf .
as per daily tf already...
Gold will soon see all time high, tech does not apply there. Your 1016

target on the chart just absurd, that's all. It might get there when

US and Others pay out all their debts, which is never
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  • #228,895
  • Apr 21, 2010 3:52pm Apr 21, 2010 3:52pm
Quoting JanPoko
Hi Skyzer,

just curious, is there any reason (hidden to me) why you are using AU for hedging EU (insted of UCH or EJ eg.)? Especially in short direction (and especially on wednesday)?
Yes, there are some. Cause I'm shorting USDCHF as well

Since AUD and CAD near highs, I'm hedging against them comfortably.

I'll move from my broker soon, to have ability to hedge( buy/sell)

the same currency, till then I have to work around that.
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  • #228,896
  • Apr 21, 2010 4:00pm Apr 21, 2010 4:00pm
i think that in e/u we could see a retest of the 1.336-1.337 zone
Pecunia non olet
  • #228,897
  • Apr 21, 2010 4:06pm Apr 21, 2010 4:06pm
M15 & H2 ...... worth keeping an eye on this perhaps.......
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  • #228,898
  • Apr 21, 2010 5:04pm Apr 21, 2010 5:04pm
Quoting realjumper
M15 & H2 ...... worth keeping an eye on this perhaps.......
This could break out pretty nice during Asian session as the simultaneously active Kiwi and Aussie dollar sessions are poised for a breakout. At least they seem.
  • #228,899
  • Apr 21, 2010 5:08pm Apr 21, 2010 5:08pm
Gold on weekly has a classic buy formation, late 09-10 gold pulled back whilst USD rallied helped by Euro.
Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #228,900
  • Apr 21, 2010 5:18pm Apr 21, 2010 5:18pm
Just food for thought

I believe the reason of dollar bullishness is not really because of what happen with greece or euro as a whole but infact those funds targeted an increase in interest by fed anytime soon. So the best play in this situation is sell rally rather than buying dips. All buying by central banks merely to hold the sell accelerated but even central banks start to sell euro against usd from 1.36 means we are really in bearish phase. Better stay out longs until fed increase the interest.
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