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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #1,081
  • Apr 1, 2010 7:10am Apr 1, 2010 7:10am
Quoting shahab8b
G'Day Patience, I was at DT thread, he posted G.Brown resigned and the release will be at 15pm , then I short G/U right away (didnt know it was April's fool) pocket 20 pips till he said that!!! so funny
It's all about the sentiment That actually happened a few months back. Rumour went around that he was resigning and Cable tanked until No. 10 issued a statement saying it wasn't true.

My other half's mate used to work in the oil futures market in the City of London. He said they used to start rumours all the time. He's been laid off now (like a lot of other traders) and he's trading for himself. He said he finds it extremely difficult because when he was in the pit he could gauge the sentiment and hear the rumours/whispers/trades that were going on.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #1,082
  • Apr 1, 2010 9:47am Apr 1, 2010 9:47am
Quoting shahab8b
U/J long : my favorite, 97 till next week (hopefully with all those longs I have loaded up +50 pips till now with a bad entree from 92.94)
hope some of you guys took this long U/J ride with me.
  • #1,083
  • Apr 1, 2010 9:53am Apr 1, 2010 9:53am
nope, still getting used to what you are saying on this thread. information overload!! too many methods. tough to pick which one or combo of them that i can understand when to get in and out.

still have not figured out yours yet, dude. i have not a clue what you use to make trades. which post sets up your signals??

thanks.
  • #1,084
  • Apr 1, 2010 9:57am Apr 1, 2010 9:57am
Quoting shahab8b
hope some of you guys took this long U/J ride with me.
I am following you
  • #1,085
  • Apr 1, 2010 9:57am Apr 1, 2010 9:57am
Quoting mtrmth
nope, still getting used to what you are saying on this thread. information overload!! too many methods. tough to pick which one or combo of them that i can understand when to get in and out.

still have not figured out yours yet, dude. i have not a clue what you use to make trades. which post sets up your signals??

thanks.
I explained everything on charts and the Sell/Buy limit with SL & TP

for now use this set ups:

LONG U/J 93.55-65 buy limit order SL= 93.20 , get boarding on the pull back

LONG U/Cad buy limit order at 1.0085 SL= 1.0025 TP=1.0170

I set up G/U sell limit and A/U sell limit, check my previous posts
  • #1,086
  • Apr 1, 2010 10:57am Apr 1, 2010 10:57am
Quoting Tuner
I missed the entry by 0.2 pips.. but let's see if there will be another touch .

did you get in?
  • #1,087
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:01am Apr 1, 2010 11:01am
G/J :how many times did I warn people shorting Yen pairs this week? hope some people would listen
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  • #1,088
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:03am Apr 1, 2010 11:03am
thats a good resistance line now. let's see.

is your ucad buy on? as usual i closed my sell too early, but that was one heck of a fall.

that should have cleared all longs.

Quoting shahab8b
G/J :how many times did I warn people shorting Yen pairs this week? hope some people would listen
  • #1,089
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:03am Apr 1, 2010 11:03am
did anyone get long 2nd U/Cad order at 1.0065 ? I have low of 1.0067, i want 1.0065 too, hopefully we can get it too
  • #1,090
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:07am Apr 1, 2010 11:07am
Quoting coolshades
thats a good resistance line now. let's see.

is your ucad buy on? as usual i closed my sell too early, but that was one heck of a fall.

that should have cleared all longs.
sure, it's on- long 1.0085 will at 1.0065 SL=1.0025 if you have a strong heart, if not 1.0045
  • #1,091
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:08am Apr 1, 2010 11:08am
my low is 67 too. havent triggered any long order yet. waiting.

but why those levels? 65 and 85?

Quoting shahab8b
did anyone get long 2nd U/Cad order at 1.0065 ? I have low of 1.0067, i want 1.0065 too, hopefully we can get it too
  • #1,092
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:11am Apr 1, 2010 11:11am
Quoting coolshades
my low is 67 too. havent triggered any long order yet. waiting.

but why those levels? 65 and 85?
weekly S2/ previous S
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  • #1,093
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:13am Apr 1, 2010 11:13am
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting Tuner
I was too slow with my post but that should be a good level yes.
will go for that... Hope we can crack that 93.60 / 70 that time.. (even without NFP shooting it up )

Any thoughts on the CHF.... or are you done with that one?
still -30....
wondering if this is just a retrace now.. or if that was the bottom...
Turned out to be just a retrace.. so the SL hit today for -80
SNB could have intervened a lil bit earlier ... what a nice shoot up

Took another trade that turned out to be my fastest pips ever.
thanks to the SNB
Long EUR/CHF.. 10 min before the intervention
Got out with +190pips after 15 min.
(my TP was @ 1.4440. it stopped 30 pips below that.. to close manually wasn't that easy because of 4 or 5 requotes.. would have been some more 50 pips... but still lucky

After bleeding hard the last days finally some good pips cashed in.

Shahab.. I missed the U/J entry again
currently only 1 trade open: long U/CAD (only the first one from 1.0085 so far)
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"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #1,094
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:15am Apr 1, 2010 11:15am
Quoting Tuner
Turned out to be just a retrace.. so the SL hit today for -80
SNB could have intervened a lil bit earlier...
now i got it, read it twice !!

why did you miss that? it came down to 93.37 today after we talked
  • #1,095
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:18am Apr 1, 2010 11:18am
i think we can short A/U now, SL above the high of today

A/U short .9200 Sl=.9220

watch out your risk , A/U , U/Cad are highly correlated
  • #1,096
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:27am Apr 1, 2010 11:27am
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
now i got it, read it twice !!

why did you miss that? it came down to 93.37 today after we talked
sorry,, I mixed up the CHF trade and the U/J.. still confused after that trade.hehe

U/J: Had my pending order still @ 93.27 and was away from my computer today.
(been at work instead of making money )
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #1,097
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:29am Apr 1, 2010 11:29am
Quoting Tuner
Turned out to be just a retrace.. so the SL hit today for -80
SNB could have intervened a lil bit earlier...
Tuner I think you have made more than 500 pips in 2 weeks right? with this U/Chf trade ,I wish I had not given up on long U/Chf
  • #1,098
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:32am Apr 1, 2010 11:32am
Quoting Tuner
(my TP was @ 1.4440. it stopped 30 pips below that.. to close manually wasn't that easy because of 4 or 5 requotes.. would have been some more 50 pips... but still lucky

After bleeding hard the last days finally some good pips cashed in.

Shahab.. I missed the U/J entry again
currently only 1 trade open: long U/CAD (only the first one from 1.0085 so far)

those brokers, never let you go easily
  • #1,099
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:33am Apr 1, 2010 11:33am
Quoting shahab8b
did anyone get long 2nd U/Cad order at 1.0065 ? I have low of 1.0067, i want 1.0065 too, hopefully we can get it too
we didnt pick it
  • #1,100
  • Apr 1, 2010 11:36am Apr 1, 2010 11:36am
E/J ; my perfect set up never materialized
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