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USD/JPY Discussion

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  • Post #15,241
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  • Mar 27, 2010 1:18pm Mar 27, 2010 1:18pm
  •  hungle
  • | Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Member | 46 Posts
I am shorting the pair at 92.58 and waiting for 100pips T/P, S/L at 93.20. Do I have something wrong with this move?
Could somebody give me an idea? Thank you.
 
 
  • Post #15,242
  • Quote
  • Mar 27, 2010 7:12pm Mar 27, 2010 7:12pm
  •  Rush
  • | Joined Mar 2010 | Status: alpha-chaser | 110 Posts
Waterflame:
Could you please tell me where i can get a hold of the time-indicator you have loaded onto the chart.

Sometimes you don't know what you need before you see it.

Could have messaged you instead but the PM-function seems to be disabled for new users.

Forever grateful.
 
 
  • Post #15,243
  • Quote
  • Mar 27, 2010 8:21pm Mar 27, 2010 8:21pm
  •  Rubén
  • | Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Member | 53 Posts
Hi hungle.

You should shorting when the price going down not when the price going up.
 
 
  • Post #15,244
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  • Mar 28, 2010 5:05am Mar 28, 2010 5:05am
  •  hungle
  • | Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Member | 46 Posts
Thank for your idea Rubén,
But... I have just thought it still in the down trend. Just look at the U/J Week Chart. Should it be retrace for the next open of the market?
I would like to short the pair at 92.80 and T/P at 91.80 S/L at 93.30. What do you think about this?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Size: 209 KB
 
 
  • Post #15,245
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  • Mar 28, 2010 9:34am Mar 28, 2010 9:34am
  •  yeri
  • | Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Member | 478 Posts
Quoting Rubén
Disliked
I am shorting the pair at 92.58 and waiting for 100pips T/P, S/L at 93.20. Do I have something wrong with this move?
Could somebody give me an idea? Thank you. .
Ignored
i'm not an analyst, i'm an engineer, so i just can gather news from the internet, so here is the news:

"the market is loose their trust to EUR, and when they are loosing faith at one currency, they are buying USD. and this affecting JPY also. "

i think thats why the USD/JPY is moving up. this is a very fundamental cause. and i dont think it will retrace 100 pips with an easy movement.
 
 
  • Post #15,246
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  • Mar 28, 2010 11:39am Mar 28, 2010 11:39am
  •  Rubén
  • | Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Member | 53 Posts
Hi yeri.

I have not posted this.

Hi hungle.

The price has broken bearish trendline and three days has closed above.

Is above 200 day moving average.

I think is probably breaking annual max. at 93.70 and looking for 97-99

http://img232.imageshack.us/img232/8071/dibujoztq.png
 
 
  • Post #15,247
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  • Mar 28, 2010 7:18pm Mar 28, 2010 7:18pm
  •  yeri
  • | Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Member | 478 Posts
Hi Ruben,

it's a very nice trend, and i believe the up trend is allready shaped.

regards,
yeri
 
 
  • Post #15,248
  • Quote
  • Mar 28, 2010 7:32pm Mar 28, 2010 7:32pm
  •  John D
  • | Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Banks Enemy Number One | 346 Posts
We need to come down before we go up.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Name: jpy1hr.gif
Size: 18 KB


Price action is the ultimate indi!

JD
It's Easy To Get In;.. It's Hard To Get Out
 
 
  • Post #15,249
  • Quote
  • Mar 28, 2010 7:40pm Mar 28, 2010 7:40pm
  •  Olu
  • Joined Jun 2009 | Status: Trend Trader | 5,607 Posts
John D

We need to? Why? Please explain more...
Find a trend and milk it for all it is worth. That's how to be profitable
 
 
  • Post #15,250
  • Quote
  • Mar 28, 2010 10:17pm Mar 28, 2010 10:17pm
  •  yeri
  • | Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Member | 478 Posts
@john D same question :why shoul go down first?
 
 
  • Post #15,251
  • Quote
  • Mar 28, 2010 10:39pm Mar 28, 2010 10:39pm
  •  Waterflame
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 302 Posts
had 30 pips on first trade, goin short again, stop loss is this resistance

considering the trix on 4h timeframe goin down, bigger move in sight

id not, stop loss is near

http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/947/maintenant1.gif
 
 
  • Post #15,252
  • Quote
  • Mar 29, 2010 1:08am Mar 29, 2010 1:08am
  •  John D
  • | Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Banks Enemy Number One | 346 Posts
Quoting Olu
Disliked
John D

We need to? Why? Please explain more...
Ignored

Good question... Well it does not "have to" come down as that is not written in stone nor can I see into the future but the bearish butterfly and the fact that it hasn't made a retest of either of the support zones leads me to think it's going to make a retest down before it moves up again.

As I said PA is the ultimate indi.

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It's Easy To Get In;.. It's Hard To Get Out
 
 
  • Post #15,253
  • Quote
  • Mar 29, 2010 5:40am Mar 29, 2010 5:40am
  •  andradewjr
  • | Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Junior Member | 6 Posts
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  • Post #15,254
  • Quote
  • Mar 30, 2010 12:54pm Mar 30, 2010 12:54pm
  •  uraceulose
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Thx G, Malc, D55, Fontu & Hatch | 3,196 Posts
Quoting peterh
Disliked
check this out
Ignored
We got it..you don't have to post it in every thread on the forum.
 
 
  • Post #15,255
  • Quote
  • Mar 31, 2010 11:53am Mar 31, 2010 11:53am
  •  Mortician
  • | Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Junior Member | 11 Posts
USD/JPY.

Going long this pair? Breached the weekly S/R level to the upside at 92.99. next S/R level is 93.45 and 97.77.

Any takers? Looking to go long, consecutively
 
 
  • Post #15,256
  • Quote
  • Apr 1, 2010 12:24pm Apr 1, 2010 12:24pm
  •  lorix
  • Joined Jan 2007 | Status: Fund Manger | 986 Posts
i think the old set up fail and running according to this set up now
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Size: 37 KB
Senior Trader Multi-Account Manager
 
 
  • Post #15,257
  • Quote
  • Apr 1, 2010 9:53pm Apr 1, 2010 9:53pm
  •  yeri
  • | Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Member | 478 Posts
well the expected USD/JPY rate is achieved, arround 92.xx - 95.xx and what now, it will move up or down? please anyone have an opinion about this?
 
 
  • Post #15,258
  • Quote
  • Apr 1, 2010 10:10pm Apr 1, 2010 10:10pm
  •  rpmfxtrader
  • | Additional Username | Joined Mar 2010 | 44 Posts
Measures the change in number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

Forecast: 185
UsdJpy should react in the most predictable manner.
Unemployment rate deviation of > .2 should also be watched along side of NFP.

NFP:

A +- deviation of 50 should move the market -60 to -120 pips
A +- deviation of 90 should move the market +60 to 120 pips
The market has been very sensitive to this number as of lately. In the last 5 years this has been the number to watch. One of my least fav. economic releases because of its mainstream popularity.

If there is a conflict between the NFP and umeployement watch for a quick spike and restracement in the UsdJpy.
Retail positioning stands at 1.1 as there are 1.1 buyers for every 1 seller. For live retail positioning information - click HERE.

The retail positioning ratio signifies that if there is a - deviation > -50 and price breaks 92.7 stops will be hit and price will continue lower.
 
 
  • Post #15,259
  • Quote
  • Apr 1, 2010 10:18pm Apr 1, 2010 10:18pm
  •  pqt
  • | Joined Nov 2007 | Status: Member | 487 Posts
The data released don't mean much by themselves. It's how the Big Dudes will play them. You have a first taste of that game with the release of ADP on Wednesday.
Tomorrow is Good Friday, so better hang on to your hat (and your wallet)!

 
 
  • Post #15,260
  • Quote
  • Apr 2, 2010 12:09pm Apr 2, 2010 12:09pm
  •  kidspips
  • | Joined Apr 2010 | Status: I trade I profit I loose | 114 Posts
USD/JPY increased so high today. 94.65 now. I am almost wondered as it was at 89 only 1 weeks ago. Will be it better to order a sell with 100 pips stop loss? Or I will wait more?
In forex, one currency is always up!
 
 
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