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  • #218,661
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:33am Mar 31, 2010 7:33am
if that spike on 1hr chart holds we're gonna continue the downtrend.. nothing new.. stockmarket not even reacting to news, already discounted in E/$ price
  • #218,662
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:35am Mar 31, 2010 7:35am
Quoting tonyo524
Same target for the week as before. 3100 or Fridays close which ever is first to come. Have some 3400 in drawdown will hold. If market gets to 3600 will hedge and go into damage control.
As long as daily close below 1.3500 i'm in your side for a 1.3100 target and even below it
But once 1.3500 on close is taken out , we should go to 1.3800....
NFP will tell us everything we need to know....1.3100 or 1.3800
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #218,663
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:36am Mar 31, 2010 7:36am
Quoting kuroro001
As long as daily close below 1.3500 i'm in your side for a 1.3100 target and even below it
But once 1.3500 on close is taken out , we should go to 1.3800....
NFP will tell us everything we need to know....1.3100 or 1.3800
I agree.
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #218,664
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:36am Mar 31, 2010 7:36am
Quoting tonyo524
Same target for the week as before. 3100 or Fridays close which ever is first to come. Have some 3400 in drawdown will hold. If market gets to 3600 will hedge and go into damage control.

Oh and previous short from 3482 and 81 stopped out with 20 pips locked in on both respectively.

have a good trading day.
Ditto. already at BE.
  • #218,665
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:37am Mar 31, 2010 7:37am
Quoting Gld
cup & handle on the 4h ? 3560 area ?
seems so ,good findings , 1.3533/68 to break down again .bullish in nature as usual .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #218,666
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:38am Mar 31, 2010 7:38am
If things here in the US aren't as rosy as some people thought, there should be a risk aversion move, meaning, money will flow into USD. Give it a couple of hours and see what happens.
If only I knew then what I know now...
  • #218,667
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:38am Mar 31, 2010 7:38am
Quoting Carnegie
if that spike on 1hr chart holds we're gonna continue the downtrend.. nothing new.. stockmarket not even reacting to news, already discounted in E/$ price
50point decline on dax I would call a very hard reaction.
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #218,668
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:40am Mar 31, 2010 7:40am
after this adp news i think friday nfp will be quite the oposite they are forecasting
  • #218,669
  • Edited 8:08am Mar 31, 2010 7:40am | Edited 8:08am
Quoting PriceVolume
Ditto. already at BE.

Same here, except that I hedged when it spiked, now closed the hedge and back to down path.

Well, I guess not yet
If only I knew then what I know now...
  • #218,670
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:41am Mar 31, 2010 7:41am
BULLET: GREECE: Moody's has today downgraded the deposit and.


[31-March-2010]

GREECE: Moody's has today downgraded the deposit and debt ratings
of five of the nine Moody's-rated Greek banks due to a weakening in the
banks' stand-alone financial strength and anticipated additional
pressures stemming from the country's challenging economic prospects in
the foreseeable future. The affected banks are: National Bank of Greece
(to A2 from A1), EFG Eurobank Ergasias SA (to A3/Prime-2 from
A2/Prime-1), Alpha Bank AE (to A3/Prime-2 from A2/Prime-1), Piraeus Bank
(to Baa1/Prime-2 from A2/Prime-1) and Emporiki Bank of Greece SA (to
A3/Prime-2 from A2/Prime-1). The outlook on all five banks' ratings
remains negative. This action concludes the review of these banks
initiated on 3 March 2010.
  • #218,671
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:47am Mar 31, 2010 7:47am
Quoting Nectarios
BULLET: GREECE: Moody's has today downgraded the deposit and.


[31-March-2010]

GREECE: Moody's has today downgraded the deposit and debt ratings
of five of the nine Moody's-rated Greek banks due to a weakening in the
banks' stand-alone financial strength and anticipated additional
pressures stemming from the country's challenging economic prospects in
the foreseeable future. The affected banks are: National Bank of Greece
(to A2 from A1), EFG Eurobank Ergasias SA (to A3/Prime-2 from
A2/Prime-1), Alpha Bank AE (to A3/Prime-2 from A2/Prime-1),...
I am listening to the silent sounds of Greek banks slowly collapsing.
  • #218,672
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:47am Mar 31, 2010 7:47am
Building a long term short position here 1.3510 - 1.3490, will add if it goes up
  • #218,673
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:50am Mar 31, 2010 7:50am
This pattern not looks so bullish ,a black swan ? may spread the other wing ,so will close longs at 1.3502 next. and actually will start shorts at & avove 1.35 .
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #218,674
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:51am Mar 31, 2010 7:51am
Originally Posted by Nectarios http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
BULLET: GREECE: Moody's has today downgraded the deposit and.


[31-March-2010]

GREECE: Moody's has today downgraded the deposit and debt ratings
of five of the nine Moody's-rated Greek banks due to a weakening in the
banks' stand-alone financial strength and anticipated additional
pressures stemming from the country's challenging economic prospects in
the foreseeable future. The affected banks are: National Bank of Greece
(to A2 from A1), EFG Eurobank Ergasias SA (to A3/Prime-2 from
A2/Prime-1), Alpha Bank AE (to A3/Prime-2 from A2/Prime-1),...


Thanks for the info.
On another note, I was looking for a reaction from Prime Mininister Papandreou regarding Greek banks making 47M from shorting the Euro last year, considering his anger towards "speculators". Any thoughts?
  • #218,675
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:52am Mar 31, 2010 7:52am
I will not listen to this flight to safety stuff, no need only cos of a little worse numbers of adp, this should be good for €. The move down was/is profit taking and yes I am long €. I am not worried as my sl is much lower then it currently retraced and tl is not broken nor is PSAR etc etc once any of my long signals fails I take the loss and look for a new entry.
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #218,676
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:53am Mar 31, 2010 7:53am
Quoting capitalx
I am listening to the silent sounds of Greek banks slowly collapsing.
BULLET: GREEK: Greek spreads widening after Moody's to.......


[31-March-2010]

GREEK: Greek spreads widening after Moody's announcement to downgrade
five Greek banks. Greek 10-year spreads 6bps wider at +339bps.


Me too...CapitalX, thank God my pension goes into a UK bank not in Greece.
  • #218,677
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:55am Mar 31, 2010 7:55am
Quoting fontu
This pattern not looks so bullish ,a black swan ? may spread the other wing ,so will close longs at 1.3502 next.
fontu
and then short from there??or short from above 3520??

Ub
  • #218,678
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:55am Mar 31, 2010 7:55am
European has done their job for today
Now let's wait what the US can do with it....if they want a strong dollar they will make it strong

Equities are retracing before the other drop from the US boys
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #218,679
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:56am Mar 31, 2010 7:56am
Quoting plan-b
Here is a hint....close to or above 1.36 today

Slowly but surely.


Taken a small short on USD/JPY at 93



.
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #218,680
  • Mar 31, 2010 7:56am Mar 31, 2010 7:56am
Quoting Trading Cat
50point decline on dax I would call a very hard reaction.
And that's what strange.. Market setup for at least small sell off

and commodities rocking, very unusual..
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