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  • #217,961
  • Mar 30, 2010 5:07am Mar 30, 2010 5:07am
Little "fight" over this week's open
Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #217,962
  • Mar 30, 2010 5:14am Mar 30, 2010 5:14am
Quoting kuroro001
Hmm i should have closed my longs at 1.3535 this morning....
I don't think we'll see this area soon...we might go back towards 1.3000 zone in the next few days/weeks
If we go back to 1.3500 i'll close everything
It doesn't travel in one direction, especially in lower charts.

Short term longs would have booked profit on failure at resistance

It might go back down a bit, before 1.36 then down, 1.38 then down etc


When in doubt open a monthly chart, anything significant will show , the rest is just noise..
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #217,963
  • Mar 30, 2010 5:29am Mar 30, 2010 5:29am
G'day chaps. Net long for me with 4 long upwards from 1.352 and short from 1.351 9 hours ago. Trading screens live below. Most of the long positions will close soon.

http://pcinternational.co.uk/wp-cont...3/eurusd16.gif

Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #217,964
  • Mar 30, 2010 5:37am Mar 30, 2010 5:37am
Quoting Why Oh Why
G'day chaps. Net long for me with 4 long upwards from 1.352 and short from 1.351 9 hours ago. Trading screens live below. Most of the long positions will close soon.

http://pcinternational.co.uk/wp-cont...3/eurusd16.gif

that could be interesting to go up as expected...me too. But do you think this Greece bund may have more to do against euro for now?
  • #217,965
  • Mar 30, 2010 5:46am Mar 30, 2010 5:46am
Quoting kommo
that could be interesting to go up as expected...me too. But do you think this Greece bund may have more to do against euro for now?
Greece helped yesterday but increased consumer and industrial confidence will make it more solid too. Sentiment plays a big part. Having said that the EA just closed most of the longs so now it's neutral again.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #217,966
  • Mar 30, 2010 5:51am Mar 30, 2010 5:51am
Quoting Why Oh Why
Greece helped yesterday but increased consumer and industrial confidence will make it more solid too. Sentiment plays a big part. Having said that the EA just closed most of the longs so now it's neutral again.
yes, and next few hours the Consumer confidence news on USD will take place, but I think dollar is turning down in many pairs..
  • #217,967
  • Mar 30, 2010 5:57am Mar 30, 2010 5:57am
Dollar is well overvalued
  • #217,968
  • Mar 30, 2010 6:04am Mar 30, 2010 6:04am
guys,
but you have not yet realized that all this confusion about the euro is linked to the Swiss Franc?
In these days all the refences related the euro are irrelevant.
The euro becomes very sensitive when the Swiss franc is in the 10624 area.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...24#post3414755

This and only this is the benchmark .... everything else is bullshit.
The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #217,969
  • Mar 30, 2010 6:04am Mar 30, 2010 6:04am
Quoting guzda
Dollar is well overvalued
It has more power over many currencies...even euro
  • #217,970
  • Mar 30, 2010 6:06am Mar 30, 2010 6:06am
Quoting kommo
yes, and next few hours the Consumer confidence news on USD will take place, but I think dollar is turning down in many pairs..
Overall USD index is still in bull gear, everything else is either pure guess work or edge based forecasting.

Just look at this weekly chart of USD index, there is nothing there that suggests that upside has finished or turning around.

That's not to say that a turn will not happen, anything is possible. EWs will consider this at top of wave 5 & call a top perhaps, I choose to wait & act upon facts rather than forecasting.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: weekly.jpg Size: 91 KB
Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #217,971
  • Mar 30, 2010 6:09am Mar 30, 2010 6:09am
Quoting jsspmk
Overall USD index is still in bull gear, everything else is either pure guess work or edge based forecasting.

Just look at this weekly chart of USD index, there is nothing there that suggests that upside has finished or turning around.

That's not to say that a turn will not happen, anything is possible. EWs will consider this at top of wave 5 & call a top perhaps, I choose to wait & act upon facts rather than forecasting.
You are right..acting on the facts is the better choice
  • #217,972
  • Mar 30, 2010 6:15am Mar 30, 2010 6:15am
Quoting Driver55
guys,
but you have not yet realized that all this confusion about the euro is linked to the Swiss Franc?
In these days all the refences related the euro are irrelevant.
The euro becomes very sensitive when the Swiss franc is in the 10624 area.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...24#post3414755

This and only this is the benchmark .... everything else is bullshit.
oh driver, when you look around the corner, i guess you feel like watching children play, don't you?
  • #217,973
  • Mar 30, 2010 6:19am Mar 30, 2010 6:19am
NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE
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"The Side that Knows When to Fight and When Not to, Will Take the Victory"
  • #217,974
  • Mar 30, 2010 6:20am Mar 30, 2010 6:20am
Quoting Trading Cat
first its not so sudden it started 2hrs ago when it hit reistance at 3531 broke tl and fibo sma's.... 3462, 50 and 40 are numbers to watch if it wants to continue down. I will short below 3440 and long above 3505.

Same I did this morning. Longed it at 05 - but was not that funny as I have thought. My target was too ambitious - when it broke above 30 - I was tinking about 3550 - 3570 area. But rejection was very fast . And so I closed it with only 12 pips at 3517.


Sometimes not soo funny. And then I was a bit nervous. Longed again at 93 - and recognized not so funny as well - closed it quickly at 97 (that was at around 10:17 CEST - and then I reversed it a bit - but closed it much too early.


This is not my day - not fitting to my kind of trading style.


Just at this time now (13:07 CEST) we can observe a 'bipolar' harami cross in daily candles - which show us this tricky situation from another angle of view. Yes - I will stand aside here - as it looks for me - it can easilly break either side. In that case I agree with your view there.


These jumps at this morning - after long hours of three pips up three pips down rythm was a bit strange for me today.


Anyway - I had my daily minimum of 20 pips plus - and so I am flat - beeing content with that for today.


Possibly later I will start a new attempt. But now I want to see it from a little more distance at first.


Key-point at the upside is 3570 for me at the moment.

Key-point at the downside is 3410 for me at the moment.



Let's see how it will prevail later.
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #217,975
  • Mar 30, 2010 6:55am Mar 30, 2010 6:55am
Dead silence in here for awhile now....
  • #217,976
  • Mar 30, 2010 7:00am Mar 30, 2010 7:00am
what's the time line on this turd?

it will drop... but when?

how long can the banks prop up this joke?

by the way... my prediction is that Greece will default or be asked to leave the eu.

Tomorrow. (sorry... it will drop by tomorrow)

m
  • #217,977
  • Mar 30, 2010 7:05am Mar 30, 2010 7:05am
Looks like everything is on track, should it drop to low 1.34 area,

where I'm going to load up on longs.

Cable and AU in strong uptrend, looking for possible shorts, well maybe not today.
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #217,978
  • Mar 30, 2010 7:06am Mar 30, 2010 7:06am
Well to me it looks like dips are bought
And check equities...my reference is eurostoxx 50...i'm checking it in intrady (5mn) and everytime it goes down it's bought with vol...a lot of reverse upthrust on inscreasing vol

Same configuration as yesterday

Stay on guards
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #217,979
  • Mar 30, 2010 7:15am Mar 30, 2010 7:15am
eyes on gbpjpy ... from now on....

they have designed a pattern that precedes the breakout

the reference area is 139,68-45 with midpoint at 139,57
The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #217,980
  • Mar 30, 2010 7:15am Mar 30, 2010 7:15am
Now all the Irish banks will get more money to take away some of the toxic debts it will have an effect on the euro
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