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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #681
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:53pm Mar 25, 2010 12:53pm
Quoting rainbows
yes, I did short on A/U as well, however, I missed long U/CHF. but my long u/cad is still in.
you are good- you hold it in 60-70 negative I guess, that's great- did you take loss on Kiwi, hope you didnt trade that one
I still dont like the U/Cad trade, lets see where it will close today
  • #682
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:59pm Mar 25, 2010 12:59pm
I didnt mention earlier, my positions on E/U short are quit heavily, I'm taking some profit at +60 pips off the table in order not to get a heart attack later on, 1/3 of them close the rest free ride to the target
  • #683
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:00pm Mar 25, 2010 1:00pm
Quoting shahab8b
you are good- you hold it in 60-70 negative I guess, that's great- did you take loss on Kiwi, hope you didnt trade that one
yes, I did not trade kiwi. sorry for you that you got stop out by SL.
only, yesterday, I got stop on u/jpy 92.25 -40 pips -_-'
  • #684
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:01pm Mar 25, 2010 1:01pm
the daily candle on A/U seems promising ,we need to wait for 3 hrs to see the final pic of the candle
  • #685
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:04pm Mar 25, 2010 1:04pm
Quoting rainbows
yes, I did not trade kiwi. sorry for you that you got stop out by SL.
only, yesterday, I got stop on u/jpy 92.25 -40 pips -_-'
oh no- I need to be careful from now on- I closed that at B/E when I saw the PA- Sh**t - I will post the details of my trades more carefully,
please let me know when you are in a trade with me- some times I dont have time to post due to my other tasks, studying ...
  • #686
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:14pm Mar 25, 2010 1:14pm
Quoting shahab8b
oh no- I need to be careful from now on- I closed that at B/E when I saw the PA- Sh**t - I will post the details of my trades more carefully,
please let me know when you are in a trade with me- some times I dont have time to post due to my other tasks, studying ...

Thank you very much shahah8b. you can update your thread whenever
you are free. I just have to study more also. [^_^]
  • #687
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:15pm Mar 25, 2010 1:15pm
U/Cad long form 1.0230 still well in red -
SL=1.0130 - where the inverse Head & Shoulders is invalidated
1TP 1.030-320 , 2nd TBD
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ucad4a.gif Size: 18 KB
  • #688
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:17pm Mar 25, 2010 1:17pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
hi there, glad someone is riding this one with me, hope you took long U/Chf and short A/U- those two were more relaxed than this one
Hey there Shahab.
Nice action today again. The retraces brought some nice entries.

Though mine seem not to be "perfect"

EUR entered @ 1.3333
AUD entered @ .9123
CAD entered @ 1.0234 with a wide SL and a second one 1.019
(glad I was at work and didn't see it deep in the reds too long )
Kiwi entered @ .7082 (after seein the lower high)
(SL above today's high @ .7105)

so.. overall in the profit and planning to hold those for now.

Nice charts and outlooks again. Makes me feel comfortable with my trades.

Regards, Tuner
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #689
  • Mar 25, 2010 1:54pm Mar 25, 2010 1:54pm
My tp on CAD was hit just waiting for my AUD.
  • #690
  • Edited 2:29pm Mar 25, 2010 2:15pm | Edited 2:29pm
I just took shorts at U/J at 92.80 SL=93.30 this one is a good trade
I'll post the chart soon
  • #691
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:28pm Mar 25, 2010 2:28pm
U/J short
at .92.80-90 SL=93.30 TP= 92.10 /91.25
whether its an ABC correction or a 1/2/3 wave of an impulsive 5 wave- we need to correct from there
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy.gif Size: 18 KB
  • #692
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:34pm Mar 25, 2010 2:34pm
Quoting kimd
My tp on CAD was hit just waiting for my AUD.
nice trade Kim , much better than my U/Cad trade
  • #693
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:39pm Mar 25, 2010 2:39pm
Quoting Tuner
Hey there Shahab.
Nice action today again. The retraces brought some nice entries.

Though mine seem not to be "perfect"

EUR entered @ 1.3333
AUD entered @ .9123
CAD entered @ 1.0234 with a wide SL and a second one 1.019
(glad I was at work and didn't see it deep in the reds too long )
Kiwi entered @ .7082 (after seein the lower high)
(SL above today's high @ .7105)

so.. overall in the profit and planning to hold those for now.

Nice charts and outlooks again. Makes me feel comfortable with my trades.

Regards, Tuner
Hi Tuner,
hope all is well, I see you are taking couple of trades at the same time,
good entry for A/U and awesome entry for N/U
the rest just OK- particularly the long U/Cad- the same as mine- hopefully we can think of U/Cad a bit long term if we close well today,

btw, you know that all your trades are highly correlated- it's not a good thing at all- for you money management or balance your exposure you can take a look at this correlation table-
one of the reason I'm taking short U/J-the yen pairs behave differently than commodity ones.
http://www.mataf.net/en/tools/home

G/L on your trades
  • #694
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:46pm Mar 25, 2010 2:46pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
U/J short
at .92.80-90 SL=93.30 TP= 92.10 /91.25
whether its an ABC correction or a 1/2/3 wave of an impulsive 5 wave- we need to correct from there
Hey there Shahab,
Interesting analysis and trade!

I took a short on EUR/JPY a bit earlier. I mostly trade that one really short-term so I would get the double effect (EUR weakening vs USD and USD vs YEN)

Do you ever trade those crosses as well?
Got burnt badly with those (GBP/JPY as well) before.. so I prefer to take the quick pips as long as they are there
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
  • #695
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:47pm Mar 25, 2010 2:47pm
Quoting shahab8b
good time, mine is -50 red
hope not anymore in red. check out oil 4HR, it's slowly falling nicely
  • #696
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:47pm Mar 25, 2010 2:47pm
Quoting Clouds
hope not anymore
yea, finally
  • #697
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:55pm Mar 25, 2010 2:55pm
Quoting Clouds
hope not anymore in red. check out oil 4HR, it's slowly falling nicely
it should, I bet the market is close to a strong downward correction
  • #698
  • Mar 25, 2010 2:57pm Mar 25, 2010 2:57pm
I thought this was useful, it's correlation between all the pairs
http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technic...___How_Do.html
  • #699
  • Mar 25, 2010 3:09pm Mar 25, 2010 3:09pm
Quoting Clouds
I thought this was useful, it's correlation between all the pairs
http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/technic...___How_Do.html
thanx, it's very useful
  • #700
  • Edited 3:29pm Mar 25, 2010 3:18pm | Edited 3:29pm
  •  Tuner
  • | Joined Nov 2009 | Status: Love it when a plan comes together | 709 Posts
Quoting shahab8b
Hi Tuner,
hope all is well, I see you are taking couple of trades at the same time,
good entry for A/U and awesome entry for N/U
the rest just OK- particularly the long U/Cad- the same as mine- hopefully we can think of U/Cad a bit long term if we close well today,

btw, you know that all your trades are highly correlated- it's not a good thing at all- for you money management or balance your exposure you can take a look at this correlation table-
one of the reason I'm taking short U/J-the yen pairs behave differently than commodity ones.
http://www.mataf.net/en/tools/home

G/L...
Hey Shahab,
Everything fine here today yes.
I finally got my additional deposit to my account. so a bit more "flexible" from now on. But still was a bit "overtrading" today..
Just cashed in one of my CAD trades (the one that was in the reds so long for some 15 pips.
Second one still running.
Kiwi I will close half of it soon as well. (if we crack the 7030 now maybe at 7000 area?)
I know. all higly correlated at the moment. Thanks for the hint and the link. Used that before. a bit more diversification would indeed be the better choice.
Already in the EUR/JPY as additional one atm.
And still considering the U/J

Thanks again for that trade idea.. didn't have a look at that chart for some days now.

Kind regards
Tuner
"Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel!"
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