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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #661
  • Mar 25, 2010 7:18am Mar 25, 2010 7:18am
Hi Geppy/Shahab,

I am moving my Hedge order now at 1.3325 and second one at 1.3280, in case if we get there while I am asleep :-)




Quoting puks
yes I did mate. also added a position at 1.3290 which I cleared at 1.3320 so now only waiting for 1.3420 to close all my trapped longs but I have a feeling that the short covering rally will take us closer to 1.35xx somewhere around 1.3480
  • #662
  • Mar 25, 2010 11:04am Mar 25, 2010 11:04am
SHORT A/U at .9130
SL=.9210 where the Head & Shoulders is invalidated
aiming .90 and .8850
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  • #663
  • Mar 25, 2010 11:16am Mar 25, 2010 11:16am
I closed the Long U/Chf and reopen another new long order, I'll post the chart soon
  • #664
  • Mar 25, 2010 11:17am Mar 25, 2010 11:17am
I took short E/U at 1.3350 will post this one too, I think we got the high of the day with that spike time will tell, SL=1.3390 above the spike for now
  • #665
  • Mar 25, 2010 11:31am Mar 25, 2010 11:31am
E/U
short : 1.3350 SL=1.3390 TP=1.3150 & 1.2750
Ok , I know that seems crazy to short at this level but I think this pair will fall further
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  • #666
  • Mar 25, 2010 11:38am Mar 25, 2010 11:38am
U/Chf
Long at 1.0680
SL=1.0650
TP=TBD
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  • #667
  • Mar 25, 2010 11:47am Mar 25, 2010 11:47am
I am in the same area, but it seems to be partial to move about about 10 pips each way for the past while.


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  • #668
  • Mar 25, 2010 11:56am Mar 25, 2010 11:56am
I also have a small buy on the USD/CAD


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  • #669
  • Mar 25, 2010 11:56am Mar 25, 2010 11:56am
Quoting kimd
I am in the same area, but it seems to be partial to move about about 10 pips each way for the past while.


Attachment
true, you took your shorts at the right place,I'm still bearish on A/U as far as R.Sh at .9200 plays it's job as a R!!
  • #670
  • Mar 25, 2010 11:58am Mar 25, 2010 11:58am
Quoting kimd
I also have a small buy on the USD/CAD


Attachment
good time, mine is -50 red
  • #671
  • Edited 12:28pm Mar 25, 2010 12:15pm | Edited 12:28pm
Quoting Patience
Goldman Sachs Quits Losing Bet on Euro-Dollar Advance

March 25 (Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. exited a bet the euro would climb against the dollar after the trade lost 2.8 percent amid concern the European Union is unable to agree on an aid plan for Greece, undermining the common currency.
He, he, he - they should have called you Shahab for your opinion. They should rename themselves "Goldman Sucks"
what a story, they really should fire their technical analyst , the E/U chart has been super bearish since 2-3 weeks ago, all the upmove was a correction, at first i expected a large correction as I discussed it with you, but when the pattern developed the only interpretation was a descending
scallop.
some may dont know the pattern, it's been named by Thomas Bulkowski,
here the measured rule for that pattern
http://thepatternsite.com/descscallops.html

edit: oopss, I just calculated the measured target according to T.Bulkowski, it's 1.3275 , we already hit that :-(
  • #672
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:33pm Mar 25, 2010 12:33pm
Hi Turner, hope you took that short A/U at .9130 which I told you
  • #673
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:38pm Mar 25, 2010 12:38pm
i like ashraf's analysis. this is a rather old analysis of his, but still valid.

http://www.ashraflaidi.com/articles/...nstruction.asp

Quoting shahab8b
what a story, they really should fire their technical analyst , the E/U chart has been super bearish since 2-3 weeks ago, all the upmove was a correction, at first i expected a large correction as I discussed it with you, but when the pattern developed the only interpretation was a descending
scallop.
some may dont know the pattern, it's been named by Thomas Bulkowski,
here the measured rule for that pattern...
  • #674
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:38pm Mar 25, 2010 12:38pm
E/U short from 1.3350 already made +45 pips, I wonder if so many people took short at that level today
  • #675
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:40pm Mar 25, 2010 12:40pm
Quoting coolshades
i like ashraf's analysis. this is a rather old analysis of his, but still valid.

http://www.ashraflaidi.com/articles/...nstruction.asp
hi coolshades,
why didnt you post such a good article sooner, now that you pocket the money you share it with us
  • #676
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:43pm Mar 25, 2010 12:43pm
Quoting shahab8b
E/U short from 1.3350 already made +35 pips, I wonder if so many people took short at that level today

Hi shahab8b,

I am newbie here and I just following your thread for awhile, and see your analysis is awesome.
yes, I did follow this e/u short [^_^]. hope we can reach to TP
  • #677
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:45pm Mar 25, 2010 12:45pm
i personally like this E/U trade because it was to difficult for me to make a decision to short at an oversold situation
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  • #678
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:46pm Mar 25, 2010 12:46pm
Quoting rainbows
Hi shahab8b,

I am newbie here and I just following your thread for awhile, and see your analysis is awesome.
yes, I did follow this e/u short [^_^]. hope we can reach to TP
hi there, glad someone is riding this one with me, hope you took long U/Chf and short A/U- those two were more relaxed than this one
  • #679
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:51pm Mar 25, 2010 12:51pm
Quoting shahab8b
hi there, glad someone is riding this one with me, hope you took long U/Chf and short A/U- those two were more relaxed than this one
yes, I did short on A/U as well, however, I missed long U/CHF. but my long u/cad is still in.
  • #680
  • Mar 25, 2010 12:52pm Mar 25, 2010 12:52pm
all these moves were what I really expected, just that Kiwi pissed me off in the morning, look where it is now
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