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  • #215,001
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:09am Mar 23, 2010 10:09am
Quoting Caravanpark
Thanks. I took I short last week at 0.9234 and added another just now at 0.9190 with stops at 0.9240 so very good r/r if it gets down to the low of the channel which would be nice!
or break the low of that channel
  • #215,002
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:10am Mar 23, 2010 10:10am
RPM VALUES: EURUSD 1.57 USDCHF 1.83 EURCHF 5.21 AND FALLING

The RPM ratio for the EURUSD is currently 1.57.
This signifies that there are 1.57 BUYERS for 1 every SELLER.

RPM is a contrarian indicator. Therefore the EURUSD has a SLIGHT SELL sentiment bias.

Over 1.8 Billion dollars is traded in the Retail FX marketplace a day.

EurChf continues to make new lows... how are retail traders holding on? According to Currensee data, break even for most retail positions is 1.4757 that's 300 pips in the hole!!!

Central banks usually intervene when liquidity is low - last Fri evening would have been a prime time... if not last Friday, then when will the Swiss bank intervene?

The EURCHF RPM has fallen from 7 to 5 indicating the ratio of buyers is falling as the price heads lower.

google RPMFx for blog w/ pictures and live charts to get a visual of this post.
  • #215,003
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:12am Mar 23, 2010 10:12am
target
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  • #215,004
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:12am Mar 23, 2010 10:12am
Quoting Clouds
or break the low of that channel
its comming.. but expect bounce at 339x/340x ish
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #215,005
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:16am Mar 23, 2010 10:16am
E/U seems very bearish.............numbers dont appear........3433 will tell.

oil seeems to tank........
  • #215,006
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:16am Mar 23, 2010 10:16am
i think order e/u shorts at 3430
  • #215,007
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:18am Mar 23, 2010 10:18am
Quoting Clouds
or break the low of that channel
Even better but let's not get ahead of ourselves! I made a lot of £ going long on it from just under a year ago so am having to get my head round shorting it!
  • #215,008
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:22am Mar 23, 2010 10:22am
Quoting Caravanpark
Thanks. I took I short last week at 0.9234 and added another just now at 0.9190 with stops at 0.9240 so very good r/r if it gets down to the low of the channel which would be nice!
Nice. Yeah, we were talking about them before they happened on the EU and the AU.

#1 Here

and #2 Here

There was also one on the top for Oil posted but you get the point... The only pair that has gone up out of those is the Dow.

Looking like good trades, good job!

Edit: fixed links.
  • #215,009
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:22am Mar 23, 2010 10:22am


http://elliottwave.ru/uploads/monthl...64691,9758.gif
Trend is your the best friend. Ever
  • #215,010
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:24am Mar 23, 2010 10:24am
Quoting gatorinla
its comming.. but expect bounce at 339x/340x ish
Thanks for the levels , so I can go out for an hr with shorts open sl at be & tp there 2nd one .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #215,011
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:26am Mar 23, 2010 10:26am
Quoting Caravanpark
Even better but let's not get ahead of ourselves! I made a lot of £ going long on it from just under a year ago so am having to get my head round shorting it!
banks haven't been making money on keeping AUD since november, soon they'll just dump it all. Well, wait, 5 months (-200 pips) but swap 5X30X2= (300 pips)
not exact math, but looks like they made a little
  • #215,012
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:31am Mar 23, 2010 10:31am
Quoting manojsai
E/U seems very bearish.............numbers dont appear........3433 will tell.

oil seeems to tank........
You sound like gator the way you said this hehe
  • #215,013
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:34am Mar 23, 2010 10:34am
Quoting mmccormac
Nice. Yeah, we were talking about them before they happened on the EU and the AU.

#1 Here

and #2 Here

There was also one on the top for Oil posted but you get the point... The only pair that has gone up out of those is the Dow.

Looking like good trades, good job!

Edit: fixed links.
The Dow must be due a correction sooner or later, it's been on viagra since mid-Feb.
  • #215,014
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:40am Mar 23, 2010 10:40am
Quoting gatorinla
st math says 3521 first target.. already done.. second 3490..after small 21 bounce. if no new high

third target 3397 plus slip.. but we got several big supports at 340x area
3490 and 3521 will be a soft s/r . they will get harder intraday as time goes on. st only
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #215,015
  • Mar 23, 2010 10:43am Mar 23, 2010 10:43am
I have sold 100k USD/NOK @ 5.9254. Where do you see this pair going for the next 12 to 24 hours? On the 2H chart it looks that it is about to start drifting lower. Any feedback on this?

Thanks in advance.
Nectarios
  • #215,016
  • Mar 23, 2010 11:04am Mar 23, 2010 11:04am
Quoting Nectarios
I have sold 100k USD/NOK @ 5.9254. Where do you see this pair going for the next 12 to 24 hours? On the 2H chart it looks that it is about to start drifting lower. Any feedback on this?

Thanks in advance.
Nectarios

My personal view: I am pretty sure UsdNok will go a lot higher. Dollar strenght is picking up and eu down. Get ready for a break lower for eu and higher for usdNok.
  • #215,017
  • Mar 23, 2010 11:07am Mar 23, 2010 11:07am
Look at your daily. Same scenario as December and January. When the middle bollinger brand broke after a few weeks of retracements and a new weekly high, the eu dropped like a rock. Like I said in previous posts, this week will be a 200 to 300 pip drop, followed by another week of the same. Yeah we will have a couple of 50 to 80 pip retracements, but then the floor will drop again!
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All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #215,018
  • Mar 23, 2010 11:08am Mar 23, 2010 11:08am
Quoting gatorinla
3490 and 3521 will be a soft s/r . they will get harder intraday as time goes on. st only
Back & closed all short for now at 1.3495 & all pairs. now wait for small bounce to 1.3524/33 to retake .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #215,019
  • Mar 23, 2010 11:09am Mar 23, 2010 11:09am
this move from was never completed. we respected a the mid, our 2010 low. will it complete? i dont know.. but its following the bear footsteps. there are many charts within a move.. as crazy as it seems. the pair mostly follows all of them. even the very tiny ones.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #215,020
  • Mar 23, 2010 11:13am Mar 23, 2010 11:13am
Quoting gatorinla
ever picked a bottom? how about a freinds bottom? do this and you will know. sky was picking ec bottom..
I'm going to pick the bottom for EURCHF.. OK? This cannot go on

forever, and EUR/CHF cannot possibly be 1:1.. So, get real.. Yes,

I'm buying the bottoms and will continue, to do so, at least on EURCHF

for sure..
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