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  • #214,481
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:24pm Mar 22, 2010 4:24pm
Quoting guzda
FED deals with many states...same thing...different packing
Not the same...at all. Same country, same currency, same culture, in other words, United. EZ is far from being united
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #214,482
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:24pm Mar 22, 2010 4:24pm
What if..... in 3 months

Attached Image
  • #214,483
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:27pm Mar 22, 2010 4:27pm
Quoting realjumper
Not the same...at all. Same country, same currency, same culture, in other words, United. EZ is far from being united
The only culture they know is money, and more and more money. They don't care who is who...they only see money...

You could watch The Zeitgeist, very nice explained...
  • #214,484
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:30pm Mar 22, 2010 4:30pm
Quoting kuroro001
Yeh just read it...and it still might go above 1.3700 before tanking towards 1.25...but they are really pessimistic to see 1.25 soon

But it looks like that everyone is saying that euro will fall no matter what eurozone & imf will do....weird...i can't understand why
may be because of this?
Attached Image
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #214,485
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:33pm Mar 22, 2010 4:33pm
Quoting Clouds
What if..... in 3 months

Attachment
wacky backy or wine clouds.....

hope it happens
  • #214,486
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:35pm Mar 22, 2010 4:35pm
Quoting realjumper
Apples and oranges dude......the Fed deals with one country....EU is many countries
I can see what you're saying, my focus was on transparency. No apples no oranges, just dollars and euros in this pair and to be frank, less transparency in that 1 country (which to be correct is a republic of 50 independent states). I like my weekly chart triangle so far. Daily looks almost like a cup and handle, you just have to zoom in on it real good to not see the bazillion pip bear flag pole
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  • #214,487
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:37pm Mar 22, 2010 4:37pm
http://www.dailyfx.com/technical_analysis/elliott_wave/

The 4th wave correction in the EURUSD is likely complete. The top is close to parallel channel resistance as well as the 38.2% retracement of the decline from 14583 (common end points for 4th waves). The decline from 13822 ha extended below 13530 and is sharp. Expectations are for a small 2nd wave to bring price back to resistance at 13550-13585. A rally presents an opportunity to short against the larger 4th wave high in anticipation of a break to a 2010 low and an extended decline into the low 12000s.


Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #214,488
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:44pm Mar 22, 2010 4:44pm
Quoting intery
may be because of this?
Where did you get this chart from?
Euro was only introduced in 2002?

Cheers
  • #214,489
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:45pm Mar 22, 2010 4:45pm
Quoting Clouds
What if..... in 3 months

Attachment
Whoah! only 3 months for that much pippage? I don't know If I have it in me to wait for 1.36 on a trade I took off my weekly
  • #214,490
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:50pm Mar 22, 2010 4:50pm
Quoting intery
may be because of this?
this is a channel I saw a while ago , for now though we are stuck in this channel 1.3500 to 1.3750 , have been for weeks.

Todays down move at start of US session was just another shake out

Maybe we may see weakness on this leg up , maybe we stop at 61.8% and fall again , giving us a lower high in the channel

The health bill was recieved well by markets adn we almost tested 2010 highs in US indexes

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  • #214,491
  • Edited 5:06pm Mar 22, 2010 4:50pm | Edited 5:06pm
Quoting Clouds
What if..... in 3 months

Attachment

the only i think i know US will not let dollar to appreciate against other currency in near term, so 0.9 in 3 years is more likely than 3 month if it is even allowed but i don't think so. Hmm very interesting to see daily candle is bullish, if today's candle again bullish, short must be covered. Gator is correct, greater force is playing at least they don't allow 1.34 to be taken now not yet.
  • #214,492
  • Mar 22, 2010 4:52pm Mar 22, 2010 4:52pm
Quoting SerpentDove
I can see what you're saying, my focus was on transparency. No apples no oranges, just dollars and euros in this pair and to be frank, less transparency in that 1 country (which to be correct is a republic of 50 independent states).
I can see what you're saying too.....if the Fed cannot achieve transparency, then the EZ has no chance whatsoever!!!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #214,493
  • Mar 22, 2010 5:01pm Mar 22, 2010 5:01pm
Quoting essenza
the only i think i know US will not let dollar to appreciate against other currency in near term, so 0.9 in 3 years is more likely than 3 month if it is even allowed but i don't think so.
aud/usd lost 1/2 it's value in 3 months. gbp/jpy lost 1/2 it's value in a few months. did the us 'allow' the stock market to crash to 650? i dont think they can control bear power.
  • #214,494
  • Mar 22, 2010 5:08pm Mar 22, 2010 5:08pm
For the past few months they have demonstrated control over "bull power", but only by paying for the party. "Bear power" is part of the public domain and they have little control over it. You can make people go to the "party", you cannot "make them" have fun...

Quoting Clouds
aud/usd lost 1/2 it's value in 3 months. gbp/jpy lost 1/2 it's value in a few months. did the us 'allow' the stock market to crash to 650? i dont think they can control bear power.
Ah Luv the smell of a good prediction in the mornin!
  • #214,495
  • Mar 22, 2010 5:11pm Mar 22, 2010 5:11pm
Quoting Clouds
aud/usd lost 1/2 it's value in 3 months. gbp/jpy lost 1/2 it's value in a few months. did the us 'allow' the stock market to crash to 650? i dont think they can control bear power.
come on Clouds get real.

What happened in the ' financial crisis of the century' that seemingly disappeared in under 6months

Easy Goldman Scahs got rid of ALL their competition , I remember days when i saw Bear Sterns and Lehman as market makers on level II screens , not any more . Now Goldman control the market.

Think I am lying ?... do some research also remeber when one of their ex employees stole their software .. they set the Feds on him due to the national security of the US was at risk . WOT and they do not use this to make them and all their buddies millions every day ? Why would any one be worried about the feds and US debt when the US have Goldman and JP Morgan on their side. Americans should be concerned that the likes of China do not make one of these 2 a better offer.

There has been days when ES has been ramped down at open yet the $vold is ticking up then at about 40 min into market wham in come the heavy volumes taking it up

Think that the gap down of 10 points in Asia yesterday was by accident or random ? Not at all. Goldman likely made 30 million in that move alone.

Also go look at who half the fed used to work for.... Paulsons BONUS when he left sachs to become part of fed was in the millions. .... think he is going to shaft the hand that feeds him?

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aNO2huIxoEYY

plus many others

Think Russia and those South American countries that are thought to be so corrupt really are any worse than the US .. think again . The US just do it differently.
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #214,496
  • Edited 5:28pm Mar 22, 2010 5:14pm | Edited 5:28pm
Quoting Clouds
aud/usd lost 1/2 it's value in 3 months. gbp/jpy lost 1/2 it's value in a few months. did the us 'allow' the stock market to crash to 650? i dont think they can control bear power.
i will agree if eu monthly candle is bearish, and if 1.342 is taken, we will see massive sell off.
  • #214,497
  • Mar 22, 2010 5:22pm Mar 22, 2010 5:22pm
Quoting realjumper
I can see what you're saying too.....if the Fed cannot achieve transparency, then the EZ has no chance whatsoever!!!
I'll have to sleep on that one. It does kinda seem ludicrous to think about transparency when M3 hasn't been published in years.

Good trading to all...
  • #214,498
  • Mar 22, 2010 5:23pm Mar 22, 2010 5:23pm
In my eyes, it is not a free market. Specially in the equities. They have been priming the pump to make it suck, but they really don't have it working yet. If they stop the finance, it will all drain back down. The sad thing is that Obama could have solved the problem better and more completely by a large public hanging on Wall Street. This would have rebuilt some trust in the system. Instead, almost every day you can see where they come in several times to give the price a boost???

Quoting malcolmb14
come on Clouds get real.

What happened in the ' financial crisis of the century' that seemingly disappeared in under 6months

Easy Goldman Scahs got rid of ALL their competition , I remember days when i saw Bear Sterns and Lehman as market makers on level II screens , not any more . Now Goldman control the market.

Think I am lying ?... do some research also remeber when one of their ex employees stole their software .. they set the Feds on him due to the national security of the US was at stack . WOT and they do not use this to make them...
Ah Luv the smell of a good prediction in the mornin!
  • #214,499
  • Mar 22, 2010 5:37pm Mar 22, 2010 5:37pm
Quoting Artcritique
In my eyes, it is not a free market. Specially in the equities. They have been priming the pump to make it suck, but they really don't have it working yet. If they stop the finance, it will all drain back down. The sad thing is that Obama could have solved the problem better and more completely by a large public hanging on Wall Street. This would have rebuilt some trust in the system. Instead, almost every day you can see where they come in several times to give the price a boost???
What would make you think he would do that ? That is where his bread is buttered. You think he named Geithner as TS because he knew Turbo Tax Timmy would be tough on GS and JPM ??
If you were any of the big Wall Street players who would be your hand picked guy to run Treasury ? (hint: the same guy that was supposed to be watching over you as head of NY Fed)
  • #214,500
  • Mar 22, 2010 5:39pm Mar 22, 2010 5:39pm
Quoting mfoste1
euro holding ok? Trade what the market presents- bearish trend, cause its not gonna turn around on a dime no matter how bad you want it to.
Would you eat your shirt, if we going to still close this week in 1.35-1.37 range?

Up to H4 is a still buy now.. Daily-weekly maybe a (flat-sell) and Monthly?

STRONG BUY! So we have to make it clear who is trading against

the trend? USDx is in Long Term Bear Market, still is and always be

until ZERO. SO? Which TF you are talking about???
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