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  • #213,941
  • Mar 21, 2010 2:15pm Mar 21, 2010 2:15pm
Quoting TheLastCoke
Does anybody know how could I measure the slope of a TL?
hm
trying really hard to remember this, not sure if i remember which variable means what, but i think

m= slope
x = time
y = price
b = y-intercept

y = mx + b

0 = mx + b - y

mx = b - y

/x /x /x


m = b/x - y/x

m = [b-y]/x
  • #213,942
  • Mar 21, 2010 2:24pm Mar 21, 2010 2:24pm
Quoting frankkn
hm
trying really hard to remember this, not sure if i remember which variable means what, but i think

m= slope
x = time
y = price
b = y-intercept

y = mx + b

0 = mx + b - y

mx = b - y

/x /x /x


m = b/x - y/x

m = [b-y]/x

That is the correct equation. Personally, i would like to differentiate the tangent to the curve. hahaha.
  • #213,943
  • Mar 21, 2010 2:29pm Mar 21, 2010 2:29pm
Quoting Entropy'
That is the correct equation. Personally, i would like to differentiate the tangent to the curve. hahaha.
no way i cant even remember derivatives calc was at 8am two years ago haha
  • #213,944
  • Mar 21, 2010 2:32pm Mar 21, 2010 2:32pm
my analysis for eur/usd
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: analysis.GIF Size: 21 KB
  • #213,945
  • Mar 21, 2010 2:41pm Mar 21, 2010 2:41pm
Quoting Why Oh Why
Anybody who wants to see my trading platform live go here. It shows EURUSD trades currently held.
Back live again.
Do not focus on making money; focus on protecting what you have.
  • #213,946
  • Mar 21, 2010 3:03pm Mar 21, 2010 3:03pm
According to the CFTC weekly data for the week ended Tuesday, net shorts in the euro fell by 38% from last week’s record high and are now at a 6 week low. Net shorts in the pound moved up a touch to just shy of its record high. Net longs in the Australian$ rose to the most since May ‘08 and net longs in the Canadian$ rose to the highest since Nov ‘07. Gold new longs fell to a 4 week low. Net longs in crude rose 14% and are just 12k contracts from a record high dating back to 1983. Net shorts in natural gas reached a record high dating back to 1993. Coincident with the rise in 2 yr yields (and flattening of the yield curve), net longs in the 2 yr note fell to the lowest since July ‘09 and net shorts in the 10 yr fell to the lowest since Dec ‘09.
Andreyou
  • #213,947
  • Mar 21, 2010 3:06pm Mar 21, 2010 3:06pm
Quoting fontu
Just reading news .....
what a good allies the greek has got ! So called solidarity so many nations without a ground! when people not like why they made this ?

http://arabia.msn.com/News/economy/A...h/1301593.aspx

perhaps rightly analysed it to fall near zero in time not so far.
another reading : eurozones fundamental flaws

http://www.dailyfinance.com/story/th...flaw/19380629/
fontu
Hi guys,

I just wonder how you could think the euro would fall close to parity....do you ever look at the US? The dollar is basically not worth the papaer its printed on anymore....and why should Greece be a bigger issue to europe than California and other States that are bankrupt to the US ?
And on top of it: how is the US supposed to pay its own depths which are about 78.8 TRILLION ?? Especially, if the dollar would become "stronger"....

And since we have the "great" globalization, pretty much every country involved gets hurt...so it can´t be in anybodys interest to let this become true...

Sorry, you may be right in your technical analyzis....but I can´t see that playing out.

just my humble opinion...
  • #213,948
  • Mar 21, 2010 3:10pm Mar 21, 2010 3:10pm
Quoting trade price
my analysis for eur/usd
I think that meeting is on March 25 and 26 and if a solution is put in place will EUR/USD rally ?

This is my first Benjamin post. Hello All of you.


Benny
  • #213,949
  • Mar 21, 2010 3:18pm Mar 21, 2010 3:18pm
Would we have 1:10 Leverage for US FX Accounts, tomorrow is the key day..

Question remains..
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #213,950
  • Mar 21, 2010 3:19pm Mar 21, 2010 3:19pm
Quoting 4rexLady_de
Hi guys,

I just wonder how you could think the euro would fall close to parity....do you ever look at the US? The dollar is basically not worth the papaer its printed on anymore....and why should Greece be a bigger issue to europe than California and other States that are bankrupt to the US ?
And on top of it: how is the US supposed to pay its own depths which are about 78.8 TRILLION ?? Especially, if the dollar would become "stronger"....

And since we have the "great" globalization, pretty much every country involved gets hurt...so it can´t...
One major difference between Greece and California......Greece is a sovereign country which has membership to an economic club called the EEC. California is part of the *United* States. EZ is far, far from united, don't you think?

Also, Greece is (with respect) a very small, verging on insignificant player on the world economy......USA is not.

Whether parity will occur on not, who knows....
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #213,951
  • Mar 21, 2010 3:30pm Mar 21, 2010 3:30pm
Quoting 4rexLady_de
Hi guys,

I just wonder how you could think the euro would fall



just my humble opinion...
its stratagy traders use ,that tells us what to do long or short.we wont be right 100% thats where money management comes into play.


Quoting 4rexLady_de
Hi guys,



..but I can´t see that playing out.

.
that was your opinion every one is diffrent.thats why winner and losers .otherwise everyone will be a winner or a loser.

sorry for bit hard words, thats how i think
  • #213,952
  • Mar 21, 2010 3:31pm Mar 21, 2010 3:31pm
Hi all,

Good to see you here. Markets will open with a small gap (upward) in the EUR/USD. What do you expect the reaction of the pair to the passing of the controversial health care reform bill currently debated in the US congress?
I think that economists don't like the HCR and its potential effects on the economy of the US. Could that result in a drop of the USD across the board?
  • #213,953
  • Mar 21, 2010 3:34pm Mar 21, 2010 3:34pm
Quoting andreypu
According to the CFTC weekly data for the week ended Tuesday, net shorts in the euro fell by 38% from last week’s record high and are now at a 6 week low. Net shorts in the pound moved up a touch to just shy of its record high. Net longs...
Please humor a noob, how is it possible for there to be net shorts or net longs if every currency trade has a counter-party? My understanding is that it works similar to futures that way. Or are you comparing some form of market maker to the general trader population?
  • #213,954
  • Mar 21, 2010 3:51pm Mar 21, 2010 3:51pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
Little bit over 1.36 will good enough for me to close it with profit..

Next time I'm going to be more patient and not jumping in too early..

Sorry man, aint gonna happen. At least not on this side of the Summer.
  • #213,955
  • Mar 21, 2010 3:52pm Mar 21, 2010 3:52pm
Quoting norman_shey
Please humor a noob, how is it possible for there to be net shorts or net longs if every currency trade has a counter-party? My understanding is that it works similar to futures that way. Or are you comparing some form of market maker to the general trader population?
Well it puzzles me too. the way i see it is that these reportings are of large traders, commercials and there is (of course) always a counter part)
This is where this type of stuff comes from
Commitment of Trader (COT) Report: Every Friday the CFTC releases data about futures/options trading activity by market segment in various markets including currencies. Positions for each currency are classified into 3 groups: large speculators, small speculators, and commercial traders. If interpreted correctly this data can be useful in forecasting price trends in the spot forex market. The table below contains a condensed version of currency trader?s collective market votes. Interpretation of this data is definitely an art rather than a science. With that caveat, you may view the latest COT analysis for each currency in the analysis fields of the table below. *See below for definitions and additional information about the COT Report and analysis. The CFTC breaks open futures contracts into reportable positions and non reportable positions. Reportable positions are further broken down into commercial and non-commercial positions. Though commercial reportable positions may be a very large portion of the open interest, the commercials activity in the futures market is an adjunct to other business activity. There may indeed be speculating in some cases, but they may also be responding to many factors such as manufacturing, purchase and sales of products, or investment overseas, or repatriation of capital or profits from abroad. Or they may be banks hedging their overseas loans or currency positions. As hedgers they may be more concerned with futures as an insurance policy than a profit center.

While price movement is not the major concern of the commercial user, it is the lifeblood of the large and small trader. It is for that reason that we analyze the activities of the speculators in detail and ignore the commercials positions.

Reportable positions are usually held by the wealthy experienced successful traders and or a combine of participants. That does not mean that their every trade is a winner. However to hold a reportable currency position is not for the faint of heart and requires a well funded account and probably a friendly banker. Non reportable positions are those of the smaller trader. Conventional wisdom says the little guy is generally on the losing side of the market. Naturally there are exceptions to all rules, but both groups are responsive to price action.
Andreyou
  • #213,956
  • Edited Mar 22, 2010 2:02am Mar 21, 2010 3:56pm | Edited Mar 22, 2010 2:02am
I just sold an hour ago a quarter Mil pos. EUR/USD with limit order at 1.3545.


Further 1.1 Mil pos. is waiting at 1.3559 to be activated at the moment.


First target is friday low at 1.3505/ 03 - at this level I will take partial profits at first I think. Other parts may travel for an attempt towards 1.3488 - 1.3480 or 1.3474. I will decide that later then. As I expect some rejection then towards the upside again. Possible upside projection is pivotal resistance zone around 1.3553 - 1.3571 at first then.

Later there might be some more in the cards - if that zone can be crossed above.

Possibly we can see a rally towards 1.3592 - 1.3598 or 1.3604 later then - if not crossed below 1.3480 - 1.3446 - then I will go long with much more massive amounts - more than 3 - 5 Mil. pos. size.

That is my plan at the moment. Nothing more to say. Not much time for such things.
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #213,957
  • Mar 21, 2010 4:20pm Mar 21, 2010 4:20pm
Quoting stallionez
Just gone long at 1.3553. Small stakes and only 10 point stop. will move to B/E if we break 1.3555
i will buy one lot after few hours and will keep adding for journey to 1.39 and above.
  • #213,958
  • Mar 21, 2010 4:26pm Mar 21, 2010 4:26pm
Quoting TheLastCoke
By the time I do that for every single TL I have E/U will be either 1.60 or 1.2

Attachment

Is there a short cut? An Indi perhaps?
Just draw your trend line then mouse over it for the angle.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Angle.JPG Size: 149 KB
  • #213,959
  • Edited 4:57pm Mar 21, 2010 4:42pm | Edited 4:57pm
good evening, guys.
i was cut off from the internet for a week due to vacation and what do my sore eyes see? we're completely back inside the channel. lovely.
  • #213,960
  • Mar 21, 2010 4:50pm Mar 21, 2010 4:50pm
good evening every one
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