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  • #213,841
  • Mar 20, 2010 5:26am Mar 20, 2010 5:26am
Quoting petertrader
What do you think, where the market will go after weekend? :-) up or down
Yes!
The market reveals who we really are...
  • #213,842
  • Mar 20, 2010 6:10am Mar 20, 2010 6:10am
IMM dollar bets go short for first time since Jan

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN...anCurrencyNews
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #213,843
  • Mar 20, 2010 6:10am Mar 20, 2010 6:10am
Well I think, looking at the H4 that we're going to go up to around 1.360 on Monday and or Tuesday and then we'll spend the rest of the week heading south. I think We're in the third downward wave of the elliot wave we've been seeing on that chart since early December.

But I'm not a market expert I'm just posting here so I can look back and see if I'm right in a week or two.
I operate with clear definite rules, if I break them I lose BIG!
  • #213,844
  • Mar 20, 2010 6:39am Mar 20, 2010 6:39am
Quoting kuroro001
IMM dollar bets go short for first time since Jan

http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN...anCurrencyNews

I used the reports once for a silver trade. I thought it was overbought and wanted to short, looked at the commitment and saw that it was short. Was short for weeks, but still the price went up and up and up and I lost a lot of money, because I thought I couldn't be wrong. Lesson learned
  • #213,845
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:10am Mar 20, 2010 7:10am
"Open interest is taken as a sign of the strength in a given price movement, though not an indication of direction"
Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #213,846
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:14am Mar 20, 2010 7:14am
Quoting personalme
Looks more a middle finger to me. We may call it fcuk formation.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #213,847
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:18am Mar 20, 2010 7:18am
Quoting Rubén
I think it is possible.

http://img401.imageshack.us/img401/3275/dibujorr.png
If 1.3450 breaks convincingly, I'll be with you.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #213,848
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:24am Mar 20, 2010 7:24am
Quoting capitalx
I totaly hate weekends.
Everyone needs a break at some point. Use this time for family or socials. Everything starts again sunday night (UK time)
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #213,849
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:28am Mar 20, 2010 7:28am
In that matter I'll tell you very simple idea. When 99% of the traders so

sure it's going to go to 1.32, EU will move in appositive direction, cause

otherwise 99% would always win and reality exactly appositive. Fair enough?

Now, "European Union Summit Next Week (25 March)"

"Speaking in Brussels on Friday, EU Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso emphasized the need for EU member states to agree on a financing mechanism for Greece, after Athens said it might turn to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for help."

http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,5374078,00.html

So I'm actually expecting rise prior to that (on bailout speculation) and if there is Bailout package finally

issued for Greece, then whatever your Candle is showing now not going to be

important. Why would big chunk excessive EUR short positions covered this Friday???

Let's wait and see.. So, I'm misleading people and 98% are

shorts here telling the truth and what if pair goes up? What you going to say

then? So take it easy and don't be SO sure...
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #213,850
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:29am Mar 20, 2010 7:29am
I think this will initially hold if there is no negative euro news about Greece etc
but hang in there 'it's gonna blow...' sooner or later. Trade one day at a time though
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #213,851
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:32am Mar 20, 2010 7:32am
Re long/short options ratio

Nobody knows the real reason behind people as an entity going short Euro via put buying, for all we know it could be banks hedging against Euro decline, a drop in contracts again doesn't mean that is it for down side, could be other factors involved, stop thinking about 1 thing that suits your bias.

Inserted Video


Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #213,852
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:36am Mar 20, 2010 7:36am
Because they probably expired (options & futures)

Quoting SkyzerFX
In that matter I'll tell you very simple idea. When 99% of the traders so

sure it's going to go to 1.32, EU will move in appositive direction, cause

otherwise 99% would always win and reality exactly appositive. Fair enough?

Now, "European Union Summit Next Week (25 March)"

"Speaking in Brussels on Friday, EU Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso emphasized the need for EU member states to agree on a financing mechanism for Greece, after Athens said it might turn to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for help."

http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,5374078,00.html

So...
Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #213,853
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:39am Mar 20, 2010 7:39am
Quoting jsspmk
Re long/short options ratio

Nobody knows the real reason behind people as an entity going short Euro via put buying, for all we know it could be banks hedging against Euro decline, a drop in contracts again doesn't mean that is it for down side, could be other factors involved, stop thinking about 1 thing that suits your bias.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oFhmQ...=youtube_gdata


lol wtf...this guy seems to be on crack...i hope he's resting on week end man cause he badly needs it
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #213,854
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:41am Mar 20, 2010 7:41am
Quoting SkyzerFX
In that matter I'll tell you very simple idea. When 99% of the traders so

sure it's going to go to 1.32, EU will move in appositive direction, cause

otherwise 99% would always win and reality exactly appositive. Fair enough?

Now, "European Union Summit Next Week (25 March)"

"Speaking in Brussels on Friday, EU Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso emphasized the need for EU member states to agree on a financing mechanism for Greece, after Athens said it might turn to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for help."

http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,5374078,00.html

So...
I agree with you 100% SkyzerFX. No technical pattern or indicator can stand in the way of strong fundamental news. We traders must be careful to know when not to trade and when to. The market is not out to agree with anybody and infact it seems that when there is a consensus about market direction it does the opossite. That is why contrarian trading has merits. I have it at the back of my mind that the market is going down but I will not blindly jump in because ot that. The other thing is that I think the market may test 3450 go below by 50 pips and put in a massive hammer stopping out weak shorts and then head south. In this market anything is possible
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #213,855
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:43am Mar 20, 2010 7:43am
Quoting kuroro001
lol wtf...this guy seems to be on crack...i hope he's resting on week end man cause he badly needs it
He is quite popular

His crystal ball also pointed him to a bear flag in Euro
Prices oscillate, trends persist. Trend is your friend.
  • #213,856
  • Mar 20, 2010 7:46am Mar 20, 2010 7:46am
Quoting SkyzerFX
In that matter I'll tell you very simple idea. When 99% of the traders so sure it's going to go to 1.32, EU will move in appositive direction, cause otherwise 99% would always win and reality exactly appositive. Fair enough?

Now, "European Union Summit Next Week (25 March)"
"Speaking in Brussels on Friday, EU Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso emphasized the need for EU member states to agree on a financing mechanism for Greece, after Athens said it might turn to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for...
First post i read from you and i like

BUT there is a Trick here u have to find by yourself

I could be wrong but i trade what i see on my chart
GL ALL
  • #213,857
  • Edited 8:06am Mar 20, 2010 7:52am | Edited 8:06am
Quoting jsspmk
He is quite popular

His crystal ball also pointed him to a bear flag in Euro

Ok here is how his analysis work (he's right on some and wrong on some as well): Oscar talks on Thursday about

Dow Transportation index and showing Bull Bar for further upside

and Friday? Boom, sorry, DOW tanked.. So that's all it is, just a Guess

probability and nothing more.

Believe it or not, some people are trading based on Moon fazes and why they do that if everything

so clear and easy just using candlesticks, bars or whatever?
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #213,858
  • Edited Mar 21, 2010 4:03am Mar 20, 2010 8:10am | Edited Mar 21, 2010 4:03am
Quoting egkid
First post i read from you and i like

BUT there is a Trick here u have to find by yourself

I could be wrong but i trade what i see on my chart
GL ALL
Just seeing chart with mm & channels.in H4, before ultimate resistant may it not test 3/8 bottom trading zone from the very bottom of the channel? if break & if sucess why not 4/8mm pivot?

in weekly , a bounce may be likely even bear so strong but before, test the bottom trading zome .
Things may not so straight forward, A head fake you suspect perhaps ?
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #213,859
  • Mar 20, 2010 8:22am Mar 20, 2010 8:22am
Quoting fontu
Jjust seeing chart with mm & channels,in H4 before ultimate resistant may it not test 3/8 bottom trading zone from the very bottom of the channel if break & if sucess why not 4/8mm pivot?

in weekly , a bounce may be likely even bear so strong but before test the bottom trading zome .
Things may not so straight forward, A head fake you suspect perhaps ?
fontu
  • #213,860
  • Mar 20, 2010 8:28am Mar 20, 2010 8:28am
Quoting SkyzerFX
Ok here is how his analysis work (he's right on some and wrong on some as well): Oscar talks on Thursday about

Dow Transportation index and showing Bull Bar for further upside

and Friday? Boom, sorry, DOW tanked.. So that's all it is, just a Guess

probability and nothing more.

Believe it or not, some people are trading based on Moon fazes and why they do that if everything

so clear and easy just using candlesticks, bars or whatever?
BTW, Are you still Buying
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...id#post3314232
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