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  • #211,361
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:02pm Mar 15, 2010 3:02pm
Quoting malcolmb14
go back to sleep for about 8hrs then come back and repost this. You will be close on timing for German ZEW. lol

good job on the sell

LOL....shit, you're right...thanks for the correction....I saw the calendar saying 11 (NZ time), and I assumed it was 11am....of course it's 11pm NZ time.....see what happens when I post prior to morning coffee!!!!!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #211,362
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:06pm Mar 15, 2010 3:06pm
if the bull dont come out tonight and we manage to get to 36325. with a little respect 3563 (probably 56 r 59 then bounce)would be a target. we would still have to get past 3622...ect..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #211,363
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:13pm Mar 15, 2010 3:13pm
Shorts are well alive....pending short order at 1.3690...little target for the asian session...1.3630
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #211,364
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:16pm Mar 15, 2010 3:16pm
actually im clueless to price movement right now. However, short biased. I think we will se a test of 30. However, im wildly guessing.
  • #211,365
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:17pm Mar 15, 2010 3:17pm
Quoting woo
actually im clueless to price movement right now. However, short biased. I think we will se a test of 30. However, im wildly guessing.
Up to 90 then down to 30...anyway it"ll go to 30...
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #211,366
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:20pm Mar 15, 2010 3:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
if the bull dont come out tonight and we manage to get to 36325. with a little respect 3563 (probably 56 r 59 then bounce)would be a target. we would still have to get past 3622...ect..
I was hoping for 3580 or lower over the next day or two, but I'm aware that there are still quite a lot of shorts sitting around so perhaps without some major outside influence, a 100 pip move south may a bit of a struggle in the short term.

I see the kiwi is still messing about too but I expect a sympathy move south as the eu/usd goes south. It's interesting that all the 'economist analysts' here are talking about the kiwi reaching / staying at 71 this week due to better kiwi exports blah, blah, blah, but the reality is that the kiwi isn't moving much....and when it does it's not due to any earth shattering news here, it's due to the USD, not the kiwi!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #211,367
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:24pm Mar 15, 2010 3:24pm
90 could be. 80 as well. kinda hard to tell how much it will ge up,before going down. This is tp taking.
  • #211,368
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:28pm Mar 15, 2010 3:28pm
First short taken at 1.3676...1.3630 as tp
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #211,369
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:30pm Mar 15, 2010 3:30pm
i think that tonight we r not going under 1.3640 ...
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  • #211,370
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:31pm Mar 15, 2010 3:31pm
Market sentiment is down.
People are eying 14,30 level.

Sellers, are TP taking, at current level.

Lot of sell order at 80 and 90 i think, looking for entry. As well well as buyers who entereed at 60, who have tp at 80 and 90, and thus will sell to close order.

Major sell stop losses above 1.37, i guess big ones are accumulated at 1.3750, so unless 1.3750 is broken, sentiment is down, and the olnly thing that can get us above that level is fundamental news tomorrow. So until the news, the price will go down most likely, where it will most likely test recent low at 40. It wont however break this level without fundamental news, or more volatility, momentum, which only news can bring or outside influence.


projection:

40 to 90 for the night.

strategy: sell around 80. Tp at 51
  • #211,371
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:33pm Mar 15, 2010 3:33pm
Quoting pqt
Nope.
Last week, GS sent out recommendation to go long EU with a SL below 1.35. Couple months ago, they did the same thing, as soon as word came out, price dropped like a rock and cleaned out their positions the same day !


(http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php...72#post3313433)
I am pretty sure they were short. There's a big difference in being one of their clients vs hearing their recommendations via the grape vine.
  • #211,372
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:37pm Mar 15, 2010 3:37pm
Boring...nothing will move until london...i'll keep my short and my short order is waiting

Cya tomorrow for london opening at 1.3630 ...then up up up
Good luck everyone
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #211,373
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:54pm Mar 15, 2010 3:54pm
Based on Fib retractment, this market should go up to around 1.3720. That would be a nice 30 - 40 PIPS or so.

Also the MACD and Para indicators are all kind of supporting this movement up North.

What reason should anyone enter into the market now and Short ?
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  • #211,374
  • Mar 15, 2010 3:56pm Mar 15, 2010 3:56pm
Quoting realjumper
I was hoping for 3580 or lower over the next day or two, but I'm aware that there are still quite a lot of shorts sitting around so perhaps without some major outside influence, a 100 pip move south may a bit of a struggle in the short term.

I see the kiwi is still messing about too but I expect a sympathy move south as the eu/usd goes south. It's interesting that all the 'economist analysts' here are talking about the kiwi reaching / staying at 71 this week due to better kiwi exports blah, blah, blah, but the reality is that the kiwi isn't moving...
i got some pending entries. . starting at 90 all the way to dp... but im not gonna chase the move.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #211,375
  • Mar 15, 2010 4:00pm Mar 15, 2010 4:00pm
Quoting DrLobo
Based on Fib retractment, this market should go up to around 1.3720. That would be a nice 30 - 40 PIPS or so.

Also the MACD and Para indicators are all kind of supporting this movement up North.

What reason should anyone enter into the market now and Short ?

there have been strong usd fundamental news. and we are still at where we were before, couple of days ago. More correction downwars are needed. More sellers in the market now, because of the super high prices, despite no fundamental news supporting it.

Dont blindly follow your indicators.
  • #211,376
  • Mar 15, 2010 4:07pm Mar 15, 2010 4:07pm
Quoting DrLobo
Based on Fib retractment, this market should go up to around 1.3720. That would be a nice 30 - 40 PIPS or so.

Also the MACD and Para indicators are all kind of supporting this movement up North.

What reason should anyone enter into the market now and Short ?
No reason to enter right at this moment, but perhaps in the not-too-distant future there will be a short opportunity
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Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #211,377
  • Mar 15, 2010 4:07pm Mar 15, 2010 4:07pm
when we were at 37 handle, i told u guys, the price would go down to at least, 60, and then because of tp taking, go up to 80. This is exaclty what i told, and it happened. We were rejected at 80.

now we are going to 51 baby. Im short.
  • #211,378
  • Mar 15, 2010 4:10pm Mar 15, 2010 4:10pm
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSL...anCurrencyNews

We are probably shooting for the same area realjumper
  • #211,379
  • Mar 15, 2010 4:16pm Mar 15, 2010 4:16pm
Quoting uraceulose
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSL...anCurrencyNews

We are probably shooting for the same area realjumper
Looks like it. I wonder how many more meetings these clowns will have before they actually achieve something......
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #211,380
  • Mar 15, 2010 4:21pm Mar 15, 2010 4:21pm
Quoting realjumper
Looks like it. I wonder how many more meetings these clowns will have before they actually achieve something......

I know, I'm really hoping they come up with something really good. So we can get back up to 1.40+ and all get in on some GOOD shorts again. Who knows how high it will go but when it comes back down, we will see 1.25 next time imo.

By the way, the swissy is what is holding this thing up I think atm.
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