DislikedThat isnt really how probability works. I cant remember exactly, but I think it was Elder pushing this line (maybe Van Tharp though - my brain is jumping around today like Tom Cruise on a couch), and it's erroneous at best.
Basically, assuming you have an 'edge' (ie, a positive expectancy), then in the long term your results will approach that value. The usual examples are flipping a coin or rolling a die - for every roll, we have a 1/6 chance of rolling a 6, about 16.7%. Roll it a million times and you will end up pretty close to...Ignored
We have a winner!!!! For me I know if I change it up if it is good or not in a few weeks because I have a few 100 trades, the 4hr / daily guys may get a nice 6 month run then 2 years of crap before they even know if they can trade or not Feet to the fire!
Keep taking CT trades, I need more money