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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #15,121
  • Mar 7, 2010 3:31am Mar 7, 2010 3:31am
Hola. Creo que es posible.

http://img442.imageshack.us/img442/596/dibujofvp.jpg
  • #15,122
  • Mar 7, 2010 8:54am Mar 7, 2010 8:54am
Quoting Rubén
Hola. Creo que es posible.
sure looks like a hell of a drop all the way from June 2007 ....

just speculating : will the rise be after june 2010 ,that's around where the apex of the so formed triangle is, after a full 3 years ?

meanwhile, will go with the market flow ....
  • #15,123
  • Mar 7, 2010 12:08pm Mar 7, 2010 12:08pm


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  • #15,124
  • Mar 7, 2010 6:44pm Mar 7, 2010 6:44pm
am looking to go long but not sure yet., I think it might still drop around 100 pips before going up.
  • #15,125
  • Mar 7, 2010 7:49pm Mar 7, 2010 7:49pm
Quoting tomasz
am looking to go long but not sure yet., I think it might still drop around 100 pips before going up.
yes i agree with you, hte USD/JPY bull trend that just happen is not yet a strong bull trend, it only because the US Unemployment rate stay the same like before, not like predicted by the analyst. and the market respond to this green number.

i think the real bullish trend will happen soon. but beside all of that up and down unstable trend can happen. so be careful every one.
  • #15,126
  • Mar 7, 2010 11:34pm Mar 7, 2010 11:34pm
so quite at this thread. hmm where is everybody? please share you thought for USD/JPY for a few week ahead.
  • #15,127
  • Mar 8, 2010 4:24am Mar 8, 2010 4:24am
Quoting yeri
so quite at this thread. hmm where is everybody? please share you thought for USD/JPY for a few week ahead.
I'm in bearish mode with possible target of 87 this week. My reason of course large future traders is long JPY index.
  • #15,128
  • Mar 8, 2010 5:07am Mar 8, 2010 5:07am
Currently Short on USD/JPY @ 90.34.

Price on USD/JPY is currently @ the Daily Downswing .618, as well as meeting a level of 4h Resistance @ 90.55. I would like to continue to see selling pressure atleast down to the 4h upswing .382 @ 89.69. Daily Market Sentiment is Bearish, while the 4h TF Market Sentiment is Bullish.
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  • #15,129
  • Mar 8, 2010 10:07am Mar 8, 2010 10:07am
Entered short @ 90.36 based on my SAR and on the daily fibo.
  • #15,130
  • Mar 8, 2010 10:25am Mar 8, 2010 10:25am
Quoting 9000rpm
Entered short @ 90.36 based on my SAR and on the daily fibo.
... still ranging ... always prudent to wait for definite breakout .. SAR poses whipsaw dangers if stop loss is too close ... my 2 cents worth ...
  • #15,131
  • Mar 8, 2010 10:41am Mar 8, 2010 10:41am
Quoting TheArcher
ichimoku is new to me too.
In my unprofessional opinion; I would not waste my time trying to understand something that is totaly subjective, much like the Elliot Wave theory.

Too subjective.
  • #15,132
  • Mar 8, 2010 10:44am Mar 8, 2010 10:44am
Quoting linkitone
What will happened after this night news from JPY? I`m on long with TP 91.20...
Nothing.

The USD/JPY pair....news have to seem no effect on this pair.
  • #15,133
  • Mar 8, 2010 10:57am Mar 8, 2010 10:57am
Quoting yeri
so quite at this thread. hmm where is everybody? please share you thought for USD/JPY for a few week ahead.
IMHO, in the Forex markets 8 times out of 10 it is useless to think in the long term ( too much shit can happen in a moments notice that changes everything.

The USD has made a very nice gain very quickly so I am inclined to think that there will be some kind of a correction on the way. I will use that as an oppurtunity to add to my long position.

I see 92 happening before 87.
  • #15,134
  • Mar 8, 2010 1:02pm Mar 8, 2010 1:02pm
Quoting yorygog
In my unprofessional opinion; I would not waste my time trying to understand something that is totaly subjective, much like the Elliot Wave theory.

Too subjective.

Quoting TheArcher
ichimoku is new to me too.

in the 4hr chart ....the price is in the cloud .. hence in the trendless mode
tenkan(red) and kijun(blue) crossed below the cloud ... hence a weak crossing
hence don't think it will be uptrend yet as per current 4hr chart ...
the price needs to clear out of the cloud upwards with the crossing of the red and blue outside the cloud upwards ...
take note of also the daily chart where there is a huge cloud offering resistance ...
at best ... if it decides to play trendless within the cloud .. the cloud might act like the...
looks like its 'beginners luck' .... i suppose there is no harm in attempting to know alternatives ... " you wouldn't know unless u try it " ... assimilate if useful .. if no, spit it it out ...
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  • #15,135
  • Mar 8, 2010 3:58pm Mar 8, 2010 3:58pm
Quoting TheArcher
looks like its 'beginners luck' .... i suppose there is no harm in attempting to know alternatives ... " you wouldn't know unless u try it " ... assimilate if useful .. if no, spit it it out ...
Subjectivity is just that...I say my so called... whatever will go Long at 95, no questions asked. it drops to 84, then these Elliot Wave so called theorist totaly ignore there last prediction and then make another one.


it is like a fart in a whirlwind.
  • #15,136
  • Mar 8, 2010 6:50pm Mar 8, 2010 6:50pm
Quoting yorygog
Subjectivity is just that...I say my so called... whatever will go Long at 95, no questions asked. it drops to 84, then these Elliot Wave so called theorist totaly ignore there last prediction and then make another one.


it is like a fart in a whirlwind.
Yorigog dont slate elliott. I use elliott in my trading as I trade long termish. I apply rudimentary elliott principles ie when I can label a clear 5 wave advance or an ABC decline. I am not into double or triple zigzags etc. However correctly label the end of wave 2 and you are off to the races with the strongest trend

just a word in support of elliott wave
If you think you can or cannot do it you are correct
  • #15,137
  • Mar 8, 2010 9:37pm Mar 8, 2010 9:37pm
Predicticing this pair's movements has proven very difficult for me. Looking at the daily charts and fundamental developments, I think we will have at least on more good push down to the 85 area. I have taken a short @ 90.50, and have an order for another pending @ 89. TP is @ 85.50 for both.... stops above at 94.25. This will probably take a long time to play out in either case, so I will be checking in twice a week to see how things are going. Good trades to all!!!

Regards,
  • #15,138
  • Mar 9, 2010 12:27am Mar 9, 2010 12:27am
Quoting FX-Petra
This will probably take a long time to play out

Regards,
that is the way I am looking at it as well.
  • #15,139
  • Mar 9, 2010 2:53am Mar 9, 2010 2:53am
Quoting Olu
Yorigog dont slate elliott. I use elliott in my trading as I trade long termish. I apply rudimentary elliott principles ie when I can label a clear 5 wave advance or an ABC decline. I am not into double or triple zigzags etc. However correctly label the end of wave 2 and you are off to the races with the strongest trend

just a word in support of elliott wave
If it works for you then go for it. But as far as advising a newbee...stay away from it.

Backtest it for a couple of year, at least; most importantly, stick with your original numbers.
  • #15,140
  • Mar 9, 2010 3:19am Mar 9, 2010 3:19am
this pair is really are for a patient people, i will absolutely wait for the trend move either up or down.
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