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  • #203,281
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:29am Feb 26, 2010 4:29am
Quoting Clouds
how do u figure? banks can't sell EURO's. Suddenly a mass over buyers will be there, because of what???? The only reason it stopped dropping at 1.26, was because of the bail out. Nothing is happening now, except all investment banks are short EURO's, and the major banks can't sell EURo's to anyone. So explain please.
I'm just saying, look at the stockmarket yesterday, big short squeeze, why? because of the bad numbers? Fed is pumping more liq. into the markets, big players are playing the low interest rates -- inflationary markets, I could have its effect on the eurusd. Don't forget that usd is not much better than the eur, both got big problems.
  • #203,282
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:31am Feb 26, 2010 4:31am
what you think? eur/usd goes down today?
  • #203,283
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:32am Feb 26, 2010 4:32am
Quoting spieler
Many possible reasons
can be a buy to cover a short position
can be a buy to cover an import/export deal from one of their customer
can be a swap of currencies on a bond program
etc etc ...
I guess.....seems a dangerous game to me though
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #203,284
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:32am Feb 26, 2010 4:32am
Quoting TudorJonesJR
I'm just saying, look at the stockmarket yesterday, big short squeeze, why? because of the bad numbers? Fed is pumping more liq. into the markets, big players are playing the low interest rates -- inflationary markets, I could have its effect on the eurusd. Don't forget that usd is not much better than the eur, both got big problems.
It's not your decision to decide the USD is not much better than the EUR. Also, being 'better' has nothing to do with it. Maybe the banks think the EUR has been overbought for 10 years. Not your decision. It's the banks.
  • #203,285
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:34am Feb 26, 2010 4:34am
Quoting spieler
Many possible reasons
can be a buy to cover a short position
can be a buy to cover an import/export deal from one of their customer
can be a swap of currencies on a bond program
etc etc ...
wut if a take profit as we r end of the month
  • #203,286
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:35am Feb 26, 2010 4:35am
Not an optimal time to short now, goog idea to wait 4 hr candle to close, its painful and and some patience is needed but better safe than sorry

Most of timeframes wants it go up some ~30 pips.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #203,287
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:36am Feb 26, 2010 4:36am
if euro 1h closes above 1.3625 we re shooting for 1.3685...
my humble opinion
  • #203,288
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:39am Feb 26, 2010 4:39am
EURO-DOLLAR: Probing higher again and looking set to challenge the
reported offers placed from above $1.3610 and said to extend to $1.3620
(earlier high $1.3613/downtrend line off Jan 26 high comes in at
$1.3615). Small stops noted on a break of $1.3630 with talk emerging of
US investment house offers at $1.3650.

Provided by: Market News International
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #203,289
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:47am Feb 26, 2010 4:47am
Quoting Clouds
It's not your decision to decide the USD is not much better than the EUR. Also, being 'better' has nothing to do with it. Maybe the banks think the EUR has been overbought for 10 years. Not your decision. It's the banks.
Ofcourse its not my decision, I'm also bearish on the euro. But markets never make sense, and because everyone is short eur the move will get ungly because of covering. Always expect the unexpected......, not everyone is thinking the same way, remember that.
  • #203,290
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:58am Feb 26, 2010 4:58am
My take: Looking at the H4 chart EURUSD has been contained by the MA55 and the MA100 all throughout the downward channel started at 1.44. If it breaks the MA100 decisively, and given the pin bar on the daily charts yesterday, I think it goes up to 1.38. It may even signify the end of the downward channel, but I wouldn't dare to go that far.
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  • #203,291
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:59am Feb 26, 2010 4:59am
Quoting TudorJonesJR
Ofcourse its not my decision, I'm also bearish on the euro. But markets never make sense, and because everyone is short eur the move will get ungly because of covering. Always expect the unexpected......, not everyone is thinking the same way, remember that.
Yes they are.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...s_Most_Popular
  • #203,292
  • Feb 26, 2010 5:05am Feb 26, 2010 5:05am
Short @ 625/ letting it ride tight sl shooting for 480 first/then maybe 400/then maybe 300 we'll see
  • #203,293
  • Feb 26, 2010 5:07am Feb 26, 2010 5:07am
Quoting Clouds
Yes they are.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...s_Most_Popular
And? Does that give any certainty? Please don't be so offended, i'm just giving an opinion.
  • #203,294
  • Feb 26, 2010 5:09am Feb 26, 2010 5:09am
Quoting TudorJonesJR
And? Does that give any certainty? Please don't be so offended, i'm just giving an opinion.
not offended. but when the charts clearly point down, and even soros is selling euros, i think it's a good idea. soros isn't stupid. the charts are pretty clear. soros makes billions. so it's better listen. i think ill buy dollars.
  • #203,295
  • Feb 26, 2010 5:12am Feb 26, 2010 5:12am
Quoting TudorJonesJR
And? Does that give any certainty? Please don't be so offended, i'm just giving an opinion.
On its own, that article gives no certainty whatsoever. In fact, one could even say that when the mainstream press start talking openly about parity and a downtrend continuation being a "sure thing", it's time for shorts to think cautiously in the near-term, as the a trade may be getting too crowded in one direction.
  • #203,296
  • Feb 26, 2010 5:13am Feb 26, 2010 5:13am
Quoting cacus
Ok...
seems like it's gonna take some more time...
USD has some more room down... that could take EURUSD a bit higher (not that much... 1.3635 at most i think).. That in case EUR keep overbought...
If EUR start to fall then EURUSD would keep in those prices ranging a bit...
Ones USD get to the oversold area i'll start to short EURUSD again. My last entry finished with +20 pips...
may I know what indicators are those Blue and Orange waves?
  • #203,297
  • Feb 26, 2010 5:13am Feb 26, 2010 5:13am
Quoting gammase1
On its own, that article gives no certainty whatsoever. In fact, one could even say that when the mainstream press start talking openly about parity and a downtrend continuation being a "sure thing", it's time for shorts to think cautiously.
good that you bring this up, it was creeping up my mind too.
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #203,298
  • Feb 26, 2010 5:16am Feb 26, 2010 5:16am
I Good Morning....A long a time that i not post here, i'm working in create of my new corporation of FOrex and this is the reason.

EURUSD, in my oppinion we are in a strong resistance ZONE:
- EMA 62 in 4H
- Trend Line of Bearish Channel

Some Indicators are in Overbougth zone, i think that this is a zone to get sell orders, i just wait for a $h Cancle Close, but this is my probabily way.

In Other Scenario i Believe that 1,3700 could be a STOP to this UP correction.

By to all of you my Friends!
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"Por mais fundo que seja o buraco, pelo menos esse não tem terra em cima"
  • #203,299
  • Feb 26, 2010 5:16am Feb 26, 2010 5:16am
i think its time to go to new lows. not today but the retracement stops here. could be terrible wrong im short-
because: round number 1.3600. old high wed yesterday. trendline h4. h1 candle.
  • #203,300
  • Feb 26, 2010 5:17am Feb 26, 2010 5:17am
first target 1,3620 succeeded.....and go for 1,34500

second target 1,3680...let's see

i love it
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