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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #15,021
  • Feb 26, 2010 2:33am Feb 26, 2010 2:33am
I'm starting to feel lonely in this thread.

  • #15,022
  • Feb 26, 2010 2:38am Feb 26, 2010 2:38am
Quoting yorygog
I'm starting to feel lonely in this thread.

Long since 91 ??
Or long for a 91 tp ?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #15,023
  • Feb 26, 2010 2:41am Feb 26, 2010 2:41am
Quoting TheArcher
http://i49.tinypic.com/2iurdz8.jpg

demo sell
loss -36pips
  • #15,024
  • Feb 26, 2010 2:47am Feb 26, 2010 2:47am
Quoting kuroro001
Long since 91 ??
Or long for a 91 tp ?
Sorry, but what is the difference?

I went long @91.15, what else is there to say?

I only sent half my troops in on my entry to this trade, the reserves are healthy and willing. I am more than wiling to see it drop to 87 anything below that...then I will stress.
  • #15,025
  • Feb 26, 2010 2:55am Feb 26, 2010 2:55am
http://i45.tinypic.com/3wksl.jpg
  • #15,026
  • Feb 26, 2010 3:04am Feb 26, 2010 3:04am
http://i49.tinypic.com/wv4cy1.jpg
  • #15,027
  • Feb 26, 2010 3:09am Feb 26, 2010 3:09am
Quoting yorygog
Sorry, but what is the difference?

I went long @91.15, what else is there to say?

I only sent half my troops in on my entry to this trade, the reserves are healthy and willing. I am more than wiling to see it drop to 87 anything below that...then I will stress.

the difference ??
"Long now for a 91.15 target" is different than a "long from 91.15" don't you think ???

And good luck with your long...waiting for more drop
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #15,028
  • Feb 26, 2010 9:16am Feb 26, 2010 9:16am
Quoting yorygog
I'm starting to feel lonely in this thread.

I´m long since 88.931
  • #15,029
  • Edited 10:13am Feb 26, 2010 9:58am | Edited 10:13am
Quoting TheArcher

demo sell
so what has it decided this time ... ?

i have only 15mins before i hit the sack ..

to short or not to short ...?

macd and histogram says down ... so will see how it reacts at the previous low at 88.79
  • #15,030
  • Feb 26, 2010 10:06am Feb 26, 2010 10:06am
http://i47.tinypic.com/whebnq.jpg

macd and histogram says down ... so will see how it reacts at the previous low at 88.79
  • #15,031
  • Feb 26, 2010 10:15am Feb 26, 2010 10:15am
Quoting TheArcher

i have only 15mins before i hit the sack ..

to short or not to short ...?
ok, closing the book for this week
  • #15,032
  • Feb 26, 2010 4:04pm Feb 26, 2010 4:04pm
Quoting Kas1
Locked into profit...took another short, 8908, 8851 target
...closed both my shorts in profit, not as much as I was looking for though, good weekend to all
  • #15,033
  • Feb 27, 2010 1:38am Feb 27, 2010 1:38am
Im long on JPY vs USD and GBP...just a few in profit most of them loss still... TP 91.16 on USd and 138.07 on GBP

i expect a bounce next week...
  • #15,034
  • Feb 27, 2010 12:17pm Feb 27, 2010 12:17pm
Well, we have been near this level before... and it has proven tough to penetrate. FXCM's SSI indicator shows retail longs outnumber shorts almost 4:1--- so from a contraian view we should see more downside. However, just how strong can the yen get before it becomes too strong for risk aversion? By any recent historical perspective, yen it very strong already. Also, strong yen is hurting their export driven economy. I am still holding small shorts for 88.10...but my stops are near just above 89.50. Good trades to all
  • #15,035
  • Feb 28, 2010 3:14am Feb 28, 2010 3:14am
USDJPY – Market Analysis and Trading Plan (28 Feb 2010)
  • #15,036
  • Feb 28, 2010 4:00pm Feb 28, 2010 4:00pm
I am personally Long USDJPY... BUT:

#1. USDJPY is seasonally SHORT during the months of FEB/MAR; Japanese oversea companies repatriate their money back home in time for their Fiscal Year End accounting.

#2. Not so good Equities Market = Bearish USDJPY

#3. FXCM's SSI. This is a contrarian indicator devised by FXCM based on their client's positions. Of all their USDJPY positions, 74% are Long and just 26% are short. And based on their SSI contrarian study, the more traders on one side, the more it will go the other way. And yes, they have statistics to back up their SSI study with high accuracy of probability. (If I only had seen their SSI data a few days back, I would not have gone LONG USDJPY..)
  • #15,037
  • Feb 28, 2010 4:04pm Feb 28, 2010 4:04pm
Quoting FX-Petra
Well, we have been near this level before... and it has proven tough to penetrate. FXCM's SSI indicator shows retail longs outnumber shorts almost 4:1--- so from a contraian view we should see more downside. However, just how strong can the yen get before it becomes too strong for risk aversion? By any recent historical perspective, yen it very strong already. Also, strong yen is hurting their export driven economy. I am still holding small shorts for 88.10...but my stops are near just above 89.50. Good trades to all
What do u mean by we have been near this level before? Didn't the U/J reach 82 in the 90's ??
  • #15,038
  • Feb 28, 2010 6:03pm Feb 28, 2010 6:03pm
you are right. I wanted to be long this pair but look at the weekly. I will add a few longs if it goes down to 86-87 area. otherwise just staying out right now.


uote=BurgerKing;3506126]I am personally Long USDJPY... BUT:

#1. USDJPY is seasonally SHORT during the months of FEB/MAR; Japanese oversea companies repatriate their money back home in time for their Fiscal Year End accounting.

#2. Not so good Equities Market = Bearish USDJPY

#3. FXCM's SSI. This is a contrarian indicator devised by FXCM based on their client's positions. Of all their USDJPY positions, 74% are Long and just 26% are short. And based on their SSI contrarian study, the more traders on one side, the more it will go the other way. And yes, they have statistics to back up their SSI study with high accuracy of probability. (If I only had seen their SSI data a few days back, I would not have gone LONG USDJPY..)[/quote]
Its all in the mind.
  • #15,039
  • Mar 1, 2010 8:04am Mar 1, 2010 8:04am
JPY vs USD and GBP reaching new lows...

vs GBP hit 131.99 i bought but my order didnt get filled till was at 132.70 ...crap!!
  • #15,040
  • Mar 1, 2010 9:33am Mar 1, 2010 9:33am
dont u guys know about the windows' dressing held on early march?
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