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  • #201,441
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:10pm Feb 23, 2010 6:10pm
Quoting egkid
Agree with you bro, It also not feeling of experience trader but Depends on My EW count and DX indicator say the same
what does your ew say if you dont mind . is there more correction to the upside .
  • #201,442
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:15pm Feb 23, 2010 6:15pm
Quoting PipMaxzz
I was short from 1.3680, TP1 at 1.3610 and rest still holding. With the next drop, I will go long for a small position. No reason for Euro to drop more than 200pips a day.
Where will we bottom out today? 1.3490 seems to be tough to break through.
Lucky I followed my analysis. I went long from 1.3499 and closed with 20 pips TP when I woke up.

Now I am short for a small position. I think today Asian time we will trade in a range mostly bearish. But no big moves. Agree guys?
  • #201,443
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:18pm Feb 23, 2010 6:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
i was hoping for 3718...oh well.. i was gonna post a chart but it wont post.. maybe later
OK.. I remember that now.. there was someone else calling the .3690 also.. kudos to them.. Looks like .3460 should be the next target.. (.38 Fib of th 1.24-1.51 ish move) on the way to 1.32..
  • #201,444
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:21pm Feb 23, 2010 6:21pm
Just my presumptions ... unless 1.3400 breaks decisively to the down side which is another story.
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Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #201,445
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:23pm Feb 23, 2010 6:23pm
Quoting arezab
Just my presumptions ...
Hope your account is big enough for your stop loss.
  • #201,446
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:26pm Feb 23, 2010 6:26pm
Quoting realjumper
I'm not sure where you're coming from with this, but I fully expect to see the Kiwi at in the 65's before too long.....there isn't much in the way of good economic news coming for us here in NZ, and I think the budget is going to kick this thing one way or the other
all other pairs have reached this point. i learned last summer to trust my crap. aud was the lagger on the way up. euro was in a channel last summer mostly. it moved up slowly after and hit extended chart levels and stoped at 3 levels. once aud caught up to 100% mark eu dropped. gu droped at its 100% level last summer. its time almost.. kiwi just has to catch up. all this came off a march chart.

granted i have played with this on many smaller tf.. this would be second time on bigger tf. so we will c. but levels seem to work........ kiwi included...
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #201,447
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:27pm Feb 23, 2010 6:27pm
Looks like Tokyo is having a crack at pushing this thing down. I'm all flat at the moment but I may be interested in a short at 3485, depending on the way it gets there......
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #201,448
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:27pm Feb 23, 2010 6:27pm
Quoting mikegonzalez
Hope your account is big enough for your stop loss.
If you mean 1.2000 ... my stop won't pass 1.3400
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #201,449
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:28pm Feb 23, 2010 6:28pm
Quoting arezab
If you mean 1.2000 ... my stop won't pass 1.3400
Watch and see If you're long, then you must like losing money. Don't fight the trend.
  • #201,450
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:31pm Feb 23, 2010 6:31pm
Quoting mikegonzalez
Hope your account is big enough for your stop loss.
short term, unless 1.3450 breaks this is a HIGHER LOW for me.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #201,451
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:32pm Feb 23, 2010 6:32pm
Quoting malcolmb14
why do I get the feeling that euro is going to rip any day now to upside >

once agian a 200 pip drop for what ...Kings comments ? Greece went bankrupt and sold all shares to the feds like CIt did ?

right now in my mind 2 + 2 do not equal 4

just do not get married to the short side .. something is cooking and I do not yet know what it is .

I am trading session to session only ...
EURUSD is heavily offered, along with other high beta currency pairs. It's as simple as that, Malcolm - not everything is part of some big boy conspiracy theory or market manipulation.

The current sentiment in the market is not conducive to risk-taking and whilst this remains the case it is best to sell any bounces. Don't try to quantify what you think the effect of the news should be on asset prices. Instead, just go with the flow, "session to session", as you say.
  • #201,452
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:32pm Feb 23, 2010 6:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
all other pairs have reached this point. i learned last summer to trust my crap. aud was the lagger on the way up. euro was in a channel last summer mostly. it moved up slowly after and hit extended chart levels and stoped at 3 levels. once aud caught up to 100% mark eu dropped. gu droped at its 100% level last summer. its time almost.. kiwi just has to catch up. all this came off a march chart.

granted i have played with this on many smaller tf.. this would be second time on bigger tf. so we will c. but levels seem to work........ kiwi included...
Well that's a very interesting observation on your part. Thank you for sharing it. I will certainly be watching to see how this pans out.

As I said, I can see the kiwi in the 65's sooner rather than later, and perhaps lower still. The kiwi is a bit over valued at present and it hurts our exports. In fact I think the kiwi has been too high for too long and it's well past it's 'use by date!!'
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #201,453
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:32pm Feb 23, 2010 6:32pm
Quoting Kramerica
OK.. I remember that now.. there was someone else calling the .3690 also.. kudos to them.. Looks like .3460 should be the next target.. (.38 Fib of th 1.24-1.51 ish move) on the way to 1.32..
dont worry i sold small on the way up and big on the way down.. bigger chart bear said this... i was listening to the little bull for 3618.. its all good.. it tells whos really in controll.. this one is the lst from october.. but i may build a bigger one..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #201,454
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:32pm Feb 23, 2010 6:32pm
Quoting mikegonzalez
Watch and see If you're long, then you must like losing money. Don't fight the trend.
That chart doesn't mean I'm going long. Just my forecast. In order to go long I need a clear confirmation ... don't see any right now.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #201,455
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:38pm Feb 23, 2010 6:38pm
Quoting realjumper
Well that's a very interesting observation on your part. Thank you for sharing it. I will certainly be watching to see how this pans out.

As I said, I can see the kiwi in the 65's sooner rather than later, and perhaps lower still. The kiwi is a bit over valued at present and it hurts our exports. In fact I think the kiwi has been too high for too long and it's well past it's 'use by date!!'
kiwi has a more pips pent up then the rest.. 500 more... but its all speculation.. i studied 2008 move and recreated it to 1.6.. i got closer then 30 pips predicting where top would be.. but it was after the fact.. i use same method in this st crap..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #201,456
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:38pm Feb 23, 2010 6:38pm
So guys... you enter this thread just to make assumptions on what would happen 2 months to 1 year later?!?!?!
Come on!!!!
We are here for day trading!!!
My assumptions are for the day at most!!!
These kind of things reminds me some person here that always scream BUY BUY BUY....
Come ON!!!!!
Let's play serious...
  • #201,457
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:40pm Feb 23, 2010 6:40pm
Quoting Kramerica
OK.. I remember that now.. there was someone else calling the .3690 also.. kudos to them.. Looks like .3460 should be the next target.. (.38 Fib of th 1.24-1.51 ish move) on the way to 1.32..
I had a very nice one today, sell limit at 3690. 1 pip drawdown
  • #201,458
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:50pm Feb 23, 2010 6:50pm
Quoting cacus
So guys... you enter this thread just to make assumptions on what would happen 2 months to 1 year later?!?!?!
Come on!!!!
We are here for day trading!!!
My assumptions are for the day at most!!!
These kind of things reminds me some person here that always scream BUY BUY BUY....
Come ON!!!!!
Let's play serious...
Not everyone is a day trader.....we are not all here for day trading.....to each their own
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #201,459
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:54pm Feb 23, 2010 6:54pm
Quoting realjumper
Not everyone is a day trader.....we are not all here for day trading.....to each their own
It would be interesting to see the breakdown.

I'm willing to bet 80% are day or swing traders.

After the last few years who really wants to dollar loss average.

Mike
  • #201,460
  • Feb 23, 2010 6:55pm Feb 23, 2010 6:55pm
building shorts gu math says 5471 pp says 5464
....................eu 3564 3555 pp 3565
still holding lts.

still lookining for this..
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