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  • #197,481
  • Feb 17, 2010 1:50pm Feb 17, 2010 1:50pm
well missed the entire move today ...

it was to easy to make pips today .

I think i will wait until we go in a nice 20 pip range again for hours and trade for 8 hours , make about 30 pip after 300 trades ....I hate trading when things are to easy

Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #197,482
  • Feb 17, 2010 1:53pm Feb 17, 2010 1:53pm
Seems like the dust is still not settled. I find it hard to believe..
Dean
  • #197,483
  • Feb 17, 2010 1:54pm Feb 17, 2010 1:54pm
I'm foreseeing something bigger all the way up to 1.4195 around that range...
In Charts We Trust!
  • #197,484
  • Feb 17, 2010 1:57pm Feb 17, 2010 1:57pm
Quoting X.Oden
I'm foreseeing something bigger all the way up to 1.4195 around that range...
why?
  • #197,485
  • Feb 17, 2010 1:58pm Feb 17, 2010 1:58pm
Quoting FX-Petra
Not sure how bribing German banking officals is brave...but to each his own!

Regards,
how do u know that?
  • #197,486
  • Feb 17, 2010 1:58pm Feb 17, 2010 1:58pm
Because that's what my charts are whispering to me


Quoting jp09
why?
In Charts We Trust!
  • #197,487
  • Feb 17, 2010 1:59pm Feb 17, 2010 1:59pm
Quoting X.Oden
I'm foreseeing something bigger all the way up to 1.4195 around that range...
Dunno - from a daily I could see 1.3850ish. Weekly, I think I see your concern around 1.4119. But we'd have to invalidate the daily trendline first.
  • #197,488
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:05pm Feb 17, 2010 2:05pm
Quoting X.Oden
I'm foreseeing something bigger all the way up to 1.4195 around that range...
why dont you just foresee the lottery numbers?
  • #197,489
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:05pm Feb 17, 2010 2:05pm
You're correct, 1.3850 would have to be knocked out first, but I don't think that will be a problem where price is at now...


Quoting PriceVolume
Dunno - from a daily I could see 1.3850ish. Weekly, I think I see your concern around 1.4119. But we'd have to invalidate the daily trendline first.
In Charts We Trust!
  • #197,490
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:06pm Feb 17, 2010 2:06pm
I tried....but I got stopped out.


Quoting cunha
why dont you just foresee the lottery numbers?
In Charts We Trust!
  • #197,491
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:07pm Feb 17, 2010 2:07pm
Long EU, short USDCHF, I want CABLE!

Waiting for Cable below 1.5650..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #197,492
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:13pm Feb 17, 2010 2:13pm
On the 1H does anyone see a bullish pinocchio pin bar? Does that count as one? Sorry - cant post chart as on wrong pc. you'll see the one i mean if you look.
  • #197,493
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:14pm Feb 17, 2010 2:14pm
Spinning tops after long black candles in the H1 chart send out a good signal that bears are probably unable to maintain the momentum of the downside drive, supported by a hammer candlestick which means that we could witness a market turn soon.
Attached Image
"The Side that Knows When to Fight and When Not to, Will Take the Victory"
  • #197,494
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:18pm Feb 17, 2010 2:18pm
Quoting AMuharram
Spinning tops after long black candles in the H1 chart send out a good signal that bears are probably unable to maintain the momentum of the downside drive, supported by a hammer candlestick. I believe we could see a market turn soon.

a retrace to 3650-60 is possible before downtrend resume ( i hope! lol)
  • #197,495
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:21pm Feb 17, 2010 2:21pm
im think of a test of the low, or even a break south. if it's a genuine break, im still expecting 1.31 or 1.32. hard to determine exact price till the time comes. to go north, i want to at least see a break of 1.368-1.37 then 1.38 then it might go to at least around 1.4. still holding my last short at 3760
  • #197,496
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:25pm Feb 17, 2010 2:25pm
Quoting cunha
before downtrend resume ( i hope! lol)
My view is: Market need to tank big to support further USD pump..

EJ already at 124.17 compare to 121.25 lows..

Conclusion? Risk appetite increased lately, YEN need to rise substantially

to support further Dollar appreciation. As I said month ago under this

Market condition EU bottom between 1.34-1.36, to push it lower, need

Market collapse and complete panic.. If Market gains sustain from here,

you can kiss dollar bull good bye.. IMHO.
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  • #197,497
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:26pm Feb 17, 2010 2:26pm
We'll see the retrace begin this evening...
In Charts We Trust!
  • #197,498
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:28pm Feb 17, 2010 2:28pm
right before the gfc....

1. consolidation then last push up to DT
2. double top then large selloff
3. small retracement which happens to be the only mentionable retracement
4. consolidation, shorts exiting and turning long

the exact thing is happening now , with a mini crisis, hence the smaller patterns----EC crisis This is how the pair trades

can you guys see this?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #197,499
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:47pm Feb 17, 2010 2:47pm
Quoting mfoste1
right before the gfc....

1. consolidation then last push up to DT
2. double top then large selloff
3. small retracement which happens to be the only mentionable retracement
4. consolidation, shorts exiting and turning long

the exact thing is happening now , with a mini crisis, hence the smaller patterns----EC crisis This is how the pair trades

can you guys see this?
Yea from a solely pattern/technical viewpoint it looks plausible. But it can't be that simple ??? Especially under different world circumstances.

Sure the economies will still be weak overall during the timeframe this plays out, but Europe appears to have greater amount of uncertainties now as opposed to the US. It also appears that pressure on China is being turned up which should make other nations exports become more competitve (finally). This should strengthen dollar along with signs of US economy growth which will conjur the idea of rate increase.

EDIT: Looking at the chart again sure does seem like a big pennant could form. Time will tell.
  • #197,500
  • Feb 17, 2010 2:55pm Feb 17, 2010 2:55pm
(IMHO) I have this two possible scenarios.

1. When AB=CD (Worked yesterday)

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=196799

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2. When history repeat itself.

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