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  • #196,801
  • Feb 16, 2010 11:43pm Feb 16, 2010 11:43pm
Quoting TheLastCoke
In theory:

AB=CD 40% of the time

When CD is longer than AB then CD equals 127.2 or 161.8 fibo Ret. (From D to C.)
ok but yet to equal perhaps at 1.3783 & perhaps ab=cd pattern or a bear crab if at 1.3835.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #196,802
  • Feb 16, 2010 11:48pm Feb 16, 2010 11:48pm
We have been here for the last 12 hours or so.....why won't it just give up and try 3535 area to see if a lower low can be made......

When will it decide that 3784 is not budging?.....At least i hope it contains the PA.
  • #196,803
  • Feb 16, 2010 11:52pm Feb 16, 2010 11:52pm
Quoting IMARICH1
We have been here for the last 12 hours or so.....why won't it just give up and try 3535 area to see if a lower low can be made......

When will it decide that 3784 is not budging?.....At least i hope it contains the PA.
Is another long out of the question for you?
Biggest joker
  • #196,804
  • Feb 16, 2010 11:54pm Feb 16, 2010 11:54pm
Its not out of the question but I'd rather prefer a lower LOW to 3400 before another attempt to go higher.....

I have some Shorts down there......
  • #196,805
  • Feb 16, 2010 11:56pm Feb 16, 2010 11:56pm
Quoting IMARICH1
We have been here for the last 12 hours or so.....why won't it just give up and try 3535 area to see if a lower low can be made......

When will it decide that 3784 is not budging?.....At least i hope it contains the PA.
very possible if price break below 1.3761 & hold.
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #196,806
  • Feb 16, 2010 11:59pm Feb 16, 2010 11:59pm
fontu,

yea...I am looking at 3753 area for the confirmation.....you would think that the Bulls would give up after 12 hours of no new high....or at least a retracement...this must be accumulation.....hope for a SHORT and and not LONG....

I guess we will see....

It does not help Eu out all with a higher EU.......I am thinking as close to par for them is going to be healthier....
  • #196,807
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:06am Feb 17, 2010 12:06am
I am very careful considering shorts until the news are out. When euro-session comes into play, I can easily image a new high. Until NY opens that is.
  • #196,808
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:06am Feb 17, 2010 12:06am
Quoting IMARICH1
fontu,

yea...I am looking at 3753 area for the confirmation.....you would think that the Bulls would give up after 12 hours of no new high....or at least a retracement...this must be accumulation.....hope for a SHORT and and not LONG....

I guess we will see....

It does not help Eu out all with a higher EU.......I am thinking as close to par for them is going to be healthier....

I agree. I like it below 3750 for a short...
  • #196,809
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:08am Feb 17, 2010 12:08am
long 71 here, with caution..
Biggest joker
  • #196,810
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:08am Feb 17, 2010 12:08am
Some speculation...

Possible test of upper trendline as high as .3830 or lower.

1. Price could go straight there

2. or come down to fib 38.2 where a trendline meets it and then bounce. 89 sma could also move up there on m15 and add some support

3. Also possibility of meeting daily pivot first then touching trendline lower down along the line (outside chart).

But if we hit upper trendline before dp then we may see it go down to meet dp

I don't know, but this is what I guess/speculate.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #196,811
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:14am Feb 17, 2010 12:14am
Quoting Scrmnegl
I agree. I like it below 3750 for a short...
watch for a shake out ... I bet everyone and their granny likes 1.3750 for a sell ...

if it drops then you see ultra high volume coming in at this area reverse trade right away ... it is a fake out and bears will be killed
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #196,812
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:14am Feb 17, 2010 12:14am
Quoting fontu
very possible if price break below 1.3761 & hold.
fontu
As i can always say,same chart we can watch on both ways,both make sense...


This is one for clealry UP
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"Buy on fear, sell on greed !!!
  • #196,813
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:17am Feb 17, 2010 12:17am
Hi all,

my sugestion is 3790 - 8200, then fall to 3710 due to gold 1100 retacement.
  • #196,814
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:18am Feb 17, 2010 12:18am
This is my outlook... might retest the HIgh at 3770

Attached Image
FUBAR...
  • #196,815
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:19am Feb 17, 2010 12:19am
For all of you Gartley traders out there...

Attached are two charts pointing to further selling down to 1.3409 level (as shown on the weekly chart attached)

As far as the rally is concerned, should the price respect the convergence on the hourly chart attached, there will be a reversal at ~1.3800

Take a look
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD W1 FEB16.jpg Size: 147 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD M60 FEB16.jpg Size: 147 KB
  • #196,816
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:20am Feb 17, 2010 12:20am
Quoting IMARICH1
fontu,

yea...I am looking at 3753 area for the confirmation.....you would think that the Bulls would give up after 12 hours of no new high....or at least a retracement...this must be accumulation.....hope for a SHORT and and not LONG....

I guess we will see....

It does not help Eu out all with a higher EU.......I am thinking as close to par for them is going to be healthier....
Anything can happen , just seeing weekly chart , price at the very bottom & by this time it got a good support area around 1.36 . Perhaps no trend change but can go for higher area to make a zigzag complex before bear continuation if and now at least it should test the support or nearer it wants to go higher , next 1.3617 expected.all these up may be due to threat from euro leaders to speculators & their banks done this to show the muscles , in that case it should continue bear only.
I have loaded shorts in eu & gold , gold has already bear confirmation from td counts in H1.
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #196,817
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:21am Feb 17, 2010 12:21am
Quoting ak4x
This is my outlook... might retest the HIgh at 3770

Attachment
I don't know, a 1 pip gap might take ultra high volume to close
  • #196,818
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:25am Feb 17, 2010 12:25am
Quoting malcolmb14
eu there is a lot of uncertainty still and we could have 100 pip up and down movements

keep the mm in check and use those stops is all i can advise.

still sellers top of range 1.3780

if pros want price higher price will not stall at 1,3830 .... in stead there will be a fast movement up locking in traders that otherwise would have sold ... thus meaning pros will not have to buy into a wave of sellers

If this happens it will happen in london / US session tomorrow
im using slopedirectionalert 15 3 its a nice freakin indicator.
ill be pissed if i dont make pips now im quoting a similar coment you made :] lol.
  • #196,819
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:25am Feb 17, 2010 12:25am
Quoting ak4x
This is my outlook... might retest the HIgh at 3770

Attachment
  • #196,820
  • Feb 17, 2010 12:27am Feb 17, 2010 12:27am
Quoting Petar_Serbia
As i can always say,same chart we can watch on both ways,both make sense...


This is one for clealry UP
......and this one?
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