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  • #196,521
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:43pm Feb 16, 2010 1:43pm
Quoting Rgali1
Dont mistake a retracement for a change in the trend.
Down it will go but when exactly is part I dont know lol.
usd may recover now..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #196,522
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:44pm Feb 16, 2010 1:44pm
Well I woke up to a couple of shorts stopped out at BE+5 ...... and an unexpected climb in this pair. I believe this rise is bullshit, and I'm not going to get interested in blatant market manipulation. Instead, I'll just build more shorts because I see this thing dropping like a rock sooner or later. Water runs downhill....you can build a dam to stem the flow for a while, but when that dam bursts.......

5c
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #196,523
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:46pm Feb 16, 2010 1:46pm
Quoting Rgali1
Dont mistake a retracement for a change in the trend.
They all start like that. First you think it's retrace, then you short more

at 1.40 and next thing you know, it's already over 1.45, - game over.

That's why I'm trading of 5min now and will take anything short or long,

whatever comes first
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #196,524
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:47pm Feb 16, 2010 1:47pm
Worth mentioning.....

This run up on EU on 4hr chart is right at the .786 fib which tends to be a good area for reversals.

And again we have higher highs and lower lows on VOLUME....

Maybe this was a way to suck in more LONGS.....as I am sure there will be STOPS hit along the way that could take us to GATOR's number by tomorrow of 348x.........

This is all speculation as anything can happen...just thought it interesting that we are on a .786 fib on 4HR....
  • #196,525
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:48pm Feb 16, 2010 1:48pm
Quoting gatorinla
usd may recover now..
Sweeet Jeeees.. Nice dump..

I'm already short EU though. base off 5M TF.. Let's see.
Viewer Discretion Advised: Shall we shag now or should we shag later? :-)
  • #196,526
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:49pm Feb 16, 2010 1:49pm
i agree peter serbia and furthur down
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  • #196,527
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:53pm Feb 16, 2010 1:53pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
They all start like that. First you think it's retrace, then you short more

at 1.40 and next thing you know, it's already over 1.45, - game over.

That's why I'm trading of 5min now and will take anything short or long,

whatever comes first
can you stop bashing the dollar, please

End the hatred.
  • #196,528
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:54pm Feb 16, 2010 1:54pm
Quoting SkyzerFX
They all start like that. First you think it's retrace, then you short more

at 1.40 and next thing you know, it's already over 1.45, - game over.

That's why I'm trading of 5min now and will take anything short or long,

whatever comes first
You know I will give that to you as I was sure the US stock market was just having a bear market rally after march and it kept going up and I kept shorting and buying inverse etf's...untill GAME OVER.

With that said.I dont know how high the euro will climb but I can almost garantee we will see 1.22 or less by summer!
Former Trader Of the Year of the 95% losing club! Retired
  • #196,529
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:55pm Feb 16, 2010 1:55pm
Quoting andreypu
Tell me more about it
Here http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=27286
  • #196,530
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:56pm Feb 16, 2010 1:56pm
Quoting TheLastCoke
I will now look for the price to retrace more than 61.8% (.3750/.3740 and above) to try to test .3838 but not aiming higher than that at this time. I am long at .3600, adding at 3580.
Right on target.
  • #196,531
  • Feb 16, 2010 1:57pm Feb 16, 2010 1:57pm
my ass is spanked today by gold... :@:@:@@
Let us be green
  • #196,532
  • Feb 16, 2010 2:03pm Feb 16, 2010 2:03pm
Quoting Rgali1
You know I will give that to you as I was sure the US stock market was just having a bear market rally after march and it kept going up and I kept shorting and buying inverse etf's...untill GAME OVER.

With that said.I dont know how high the euro will climb but I can almost garantee we will see 1.22 or less by summer!
how can you garentee eu 1.22
  • #196,533
  • Feb 16, 2010 2:08pm Feb 16, 2010 2:08pm
next thing we will hear from skyzerfx that chinese are diversifying from us government bonds into greek bonds,

china has already stated a large proportion of their reserves will go into CAD, where they don't print money that includes unlimited credit in Eurozone and where they have a current account surplus unlike the Eurozone and plenty of resources, the EUR is not the new reserve currency.
  • #196,534
  • Feb 16, 2010 2:14pm Feb 16, 2010 2:14pm
Quoting lloydblankfe
next thing we will hear from chinese that they are diversifying from us government bonds into greek bonds,

china has already stated a large proportion of their reserves will go into CAD, where they don't print money that includes unlimited credit in Eurozone and where they have a current account surplus unlike the Eurozone and plenty of resources, the EUR is not the new reserve currency.
skulls will be the new world currency. the one who takes the most will be worth the most.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #196,535
  • Feb 16, 2010 2:14pm Feb 16, 2010 2:14pm
Quoting IMARICH1
Worth mentioning.....

This run up on EU on 4hr chart is right at the .786 fib which tends to be a good area for reversals.

And again we have higher highs and lower lows on VOLUME....

Maybe this was a way to suck in more LONGS.....as I am sure there will be STOPS hit along the way that could take us to GATOR's number by tomorrow of 348x.........

This is all speculation as anything can happen...just thought it interesting that we are on a .786 fib on 4HR....
agree this move was pushed up with lower volume from 3650-3775
this looks like time to look short soon but markets in general have been flat for several hours
  • #196,536
  • Feb 16, 2010 2:17pm Feb 16, 2010 2:17pm
Quoting paulw6182
how can you garentee eu 1.22
I like trend trading added with funadmentals, midterm or even longer term (although I admit usually dont have the patients for this and end up trading short term, which has actually hurt me) but the idea is it gives me a gerneral idea of where we are going. Based on what I see we will retest and go below the oct. 08 lows as we did not make it to the 08 highs. Fundamentaly we have all the bad news factored in the USD (housing, unemplyment, even a commerical RE meltdown is already in the cards). The EU problems are just starting and will get much worse, so is china's actually! But in the end just my opinion good luck to all!
Former Trader Of the Year of the 95% losing club! Retired
  • #196,537
  • Feb 16, 2010 2:19pm Feb 16, 2010 2:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
skulls will be the new world currency. the one who takes the most will be worth the most.
I have several shrunken heads from my travels....would they work
  • #196,538
  • Feb 16, 2010 2:27pm Feb 16, 2010 2:27pm
Originally Posted by Rgali1 http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
You know I will give that to you as I was sure the US stock market was just having a bear market rally after march and it kept going up and I kept shorting and buying inverse etf's...untill GAME OVER.

With that said.I dont know how high the euro will climb but I can almost garantee we will see 1.22 or less by summer!



Then why not take the long term out of the money option route.
  • #196,539
  • Feb 16, 2010 2:27pm Feb 16, 2010 2:27pm
Quoting Rgali1
I like trend trading added with funadmentals, midterm or even longer term (although I admit usually dont have the patients for this and end up trading short term, which has actually hurt me) but the idea is it gives me a gerneral idea of where we are going. Based on what I see we will retest and go below the oct. 08 lows as we did not make it to the 08 highs. Fundamentaly we have all the bad news factored in the USD (housing, unemplyment, even a commerical RE meltdown is already in the cards). The EU problems are just starting and will get much...

finally someone believes me that everything is a house of cards, what i have been saying for long time.
The liabilities in Europe that are unfunded are gigantic too add an aging population to that. China has same problem and will soon face a gigantic water shortage. People are very short sighted once someone told me a very good thing
there are two types of investors first those with short memory and second those with no memory.
  • #196,540
  • Feb 16, 2010 2:27pm Feb 16, 2010 2:27pm
Quoting Rgali1
I like trend trading added with funadmentals, midterm or even longer term (although I admit usually dont have the patients for this and end up trading short term, which has actually hurt me) but the idea is it gives me a gerneral idea of where we are going. Based on what I see we will retest and go below the oct. 08 lows as we did not make it to the 08 highs. Fundamentaly we have all the bad news factored in the USD (housing, unemplyment, even a commerical RE meltdown is already in the cards). The EU problems are just starting and will get much...
thanks good enalysis
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