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EURUSD

  • #193,801
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:29pm Feb 10, 2010 7:29pm
From the http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs%40.nsf/mf/6202.0

This looks different when you drill down into those numbers... estimated +15k and got +53k??

Otherwise how do you figure those "estimators" keep their jobs with failures like missing some 35k jobs in the midst of Global Crisis... Methinks this thing will deflate once the euphoria of that big green number wears off, or the Revision comes out...

6:30pm AUD Employment Change http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/m...etail_star.gif 52.7K -- 15.1K -- 37.5K


"SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES (MONTHLY CHANGE)

Employment increased 52,700 (0.5%) to 10,966,300.

Full-time employment increased 15,900 to 7,652,200 and part-time employment increased 36,900 to 3,314,200."
http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs%40.nsf/mf/6202.0


"Oh it was 37k part time jobs..."

I thought they were talking about "EMPLOYMENT"... like feeding families, funding school tuition, building Futures and so on...

but whudda I know?
FUBAR...
  • #193,802
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:31pm Feb 10, 2010 7:31pm
Quoting kilalik
Hello USD is not weak. AUD just got monstrous good data thats why the spike...which pushed gold up and thats why u see E/U go up, if you look at other charts E/A and G/A they both had lot bigger spikes than A/U.
well that`s what I said If Aud goes up, gold goes up, usd goes down...!
  • #193,803
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:36pm Feb 10, 2010 7:36pm
Quoting ak4x
From the http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs%40.nsf/mf/6202.0

This looks different when you drill down into those numbers... estimated +15k and got +53k??
I must admit that I wondered about that. These highly paid (I assume) analysts get it so wrong and keep their jobs.....unless......it's a conspiracy by some well informed traders!!!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #193,804
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:40pm Feb 10, 2010 7:40pm
my theory it's a set up they saw what happened yesterday with Greece and said hey we can do that too!


Quoting realjumper
I must admit that I wondered about that. These highly paid (I assume) analysts get it so wrong and keep their jobs.....unless......it's a conspiracy by some well informed traders!!!
One good turn gets most of the blankets.
  • #193,805
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:42pm Feb 10, 2010 7:42pm
Here's my trade... 1 Lot now at 3774. Add another if goes up to 3790.

TP = 3755
SL = 3805
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: m15 02-10-10 (3).gif Size: 22 KB
  • #193,806
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:43pm Feb 10, 2010 7:43pm
Quoting randy1953
my theory it's a set up they saw what happened yesterday with Greece and said hey we can do that too!
Perhaps there's an innocent explanation for it.......too much Fosters last night!!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #193,807
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:45pm Feb 10, 2010 7:45pm
Quoting randy1953
my theory it's a set up they saw what happened yesterday with Greece and said hey we can do that too!
I don't think they want to copy Greece!
  • #193,808
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:46pm Feb 10, 2010 7:46pm
ja ja ja

you see how aud follows the gold or the other way around?
1070 to 1075 at the same time of thespike


Quoting realjumper
Perhaps there's an innocent explanation for it.......too much Fosters last night!!
One good turn gets most of the blankets.
  • #193,809
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:48pm Feb 10, 2010 7:48pm
Quoting randy1953
ja ja ja

you see how aud follows the gold or the other way around?
1070 to 1075 at the same time of thespike
yea, but what good is knowing that if you can't predict gold.
  • #193,810
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:48pm Feb 10, 2010 7:48pm
just the spike but yeah your right I am glad I do not live in Greece


Quoting 2+2=4ex
I don't think they want to copy Greece!
One good turn gets most of the blankets.
  • #193,811
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:51pm Feb 10, 2010 7:51pm
Quoting randy1953
ja ja ja

you see how aud follows the gold or the other way around?
1070 to 1075 at the same time of thespike
I don't pay too much mind gold......gold does what gold wants to do.....don't get sucked in by any perceived correlation because one day you'll get burnt!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #193,812
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:52pm Feb 10, 2010 7:52pm
wait for gold to get a jump on the aussies?



Quoting 2+2=4ex
yea, but what good is knowing that if you can't predict gold.
One good turn gets most of the blankets.
  • #193,813
  • Feb 10, 2010 7:59pm Feb 10, 2010 7:59pm
Again the market has big ears..
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=193741
One good turn gets most of the blankets.
  • #193,814
  • Feb 10, 2010 8:03pm Feb 10, 2010 8:03pm
1076.5 and going up

5.80 in less than 2 hrs.
Why? who is buying gold now?
One good turn gets most of the blankets.
  • #193,815
  • Feb 10, 2010 8:05pm Feb 10, 2010 8:05pm
Quoting smokemachine
well that`s what I said If Aud goes up, gold goes up, usd goes down...!
prob gone to 8944
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #193,816
  • Feb 10, 2010 8:07pm Feb 10, 2010 8:07pm
Ok, closed my short at -12 pips...
fuck, this shit really want to go up, RIGHT NOW when im in on a OB area, shit...
  • #193,817
  • Feb 10, 2010 8:10pm Feb 10, 2010 8:10pm
Quoting cacus
Ok, closed my short at -12 pips...
fuck, this shit really want to go up, RIGHT NOW when im in on a OB area, shit...
Let's see what the TL has to say about that.
  • #193,818
  • Feb 10, 2010 8:11pm Feb 10, 2010 8:11pm
Quoting TheLastCoke
Let's see what the TL has to say about that.
Yeah, it got really close to a third touch there...edit, I'm still gonna hang on. Hit a couple trailing stops on swissy, cable and here. Also, hit a couple of stops so down for the day but up overall.
  • #193,819
  • Feb 10, 2010 8:12pm Feb 10, 2010 8:12pm
you see any correction on this?

Quoting gatorinla
prob gone to 8944
One good turn gets most of the blankets.
  • #193,820
  • Feb 10, 2010 8:12pm Feb 10, 2010 8:12pm
Täglicher Kommentar (EUR-USD Setup) - Donnerstag 11 Februar 2010

Ausgabe : 10 Feb 2010, 23:15


EUR-USD


Stop UP : 1.3933

Stop DN : 1.3646 und 1.3601

Elliott : zigzag correction up 1.3807

Eingang : 1.3585 (05-02-2010)

Ausgang : zigzag correction up 1.3807

Vorgabe : Projection 1.3858

Trend-1 : 1.3712

Trend-2 : 1.3685

Planung : Scenario für Heute

Solange der Kurs sich oberhalb des Bereichs von 1.3707 - 1.3692 und 1.3671 (Sup 1) behaupten kann, könnte eine Haussekorrektur die Notierungen 1.3779 / 83 (Nos 2) oder sogar wieder 1.3807 / 12 (Res 1) testen. Danach dürfte der Kurs erneut Abgaben sehen...

Lediglich ein erneuter schneller Kursanstieg über 1.3846 und 1.3878 (Res 2) könnte erneut ein kleines Kaufsignal auslösen. Bestätigung erfolgt nur bei Tagesschluss über 1.3826. Ansonsten ist die Situation kurzfristig neutral zu werten...

Nach wie vor besteht weiterhin das Risiko des intakten Abwärtstrends. Ein nachhaltiger Rückgang unter 1.3662 (Nos -3) dürfte eine weitere Verkaufswelle einleiten. Abgaben bis unter 1.3606 / 01 (Sup 2) oder unter 1.3585 (Elliott Eingang) bis 1.3535 (Sup 3) könnten folgen...


Viel Erfolg !


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