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EURUSD

  • #192,241
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:33am Feb 9, 2010 12:33am
what means overpriced?
and market can remain irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

All the analysis i have from huge players ( mainly banks i know they are not always right) say the same : usd will weaken in 2010. So far they are wrong.
personnaly i dont care i am a trader not a buy and hold
  • #192,242
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:34am Feb 9, 2010 12:34am
Quoting spieler
reasons for usd to weaken are multiples and everybody agried on that till 2 weeks ago but memories are short.
-Huge debt ( huge is an euphemism)
-chinese worried about they reserves mainly in usd
-some countries trying to pass the idea to quote oil in a basket currencies instaed of usd.
-some arabics countries want to have a local currencie not pegged to the usd and believe me they are working on that .
American authorities happy with a weak usd even if saying the opposit
i have plenty of like that and i forget the strongest one which is because..............................
I...
Quoting gatorinla
im not everybody.. and euro was overpriced above 4646..
I'm not everybody either. Did definition of everybody change?
  • #192,243
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:34am Feb 9, 2010 12:34am
Quoting dil
i agree with u dollar is shit paper
ok 4 bucks now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #192,244
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:38am Feb 9, 2010 12:38am
Quoting gatorinla
ok 4 bucks now.
http://www.cringel.com/files/images/...ringel.com.jpg
  • #192,245
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:39am Feb 9, 2010 12:39am
Quoting ak4x
Challenge Accepted and Presented... Loser to abide by the Ruling and bear the Title of Faker.

Now Show me yours...

Who do You propose to Judge this contest??

Attachment Attachment


((FWIW... I do agree with your last statement wholeheartedly...))
There are many reason for this situation.
Dubai debt crisis lead the 1st step for falling down.
US AAA, Greece debt and so many issues.

On the other side US 4th quarter GDP jumped from 2.2 => 5.7 and signaling strong economic growth.

And blah blah blah...

But i don't see any strong issue for pull back.
Show me if any...
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #192,246
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:39am Feb 9, 2010 12:39am
Quoting dil
http://www.cringel.com/files/images/...ringel.com.jpg
2 bucks for the bike
  • #192,247
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:40am Feb 9, 2010 12:40am
Funny gold , the baby did but can the mother for long ?( still not so tired !
fontu
Attached Image
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #192,248
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:41am Feb 9, 2010 12:41am
dil it's you! Is that your ferrari bike behind you?!
  • #192,249
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:41am Feb 9, 2010 12:41am
Quoting Clouds
The Fair Value for the Decade for Eur/Usd, seems around 1.20, and would be a good buy at .80 and a good sell at 1.60, that's if I was just an alien looking at chart knowing nothing about what's going on in all countries.....
i dont know what fair value would be.. maybe 1-1 if it was truly fair. any in free market terms fair value always changes unless your china. but i tract it from low of march with all levels working too 4646... its the way numbers flow without manipulation.. when things were overextended. the pattern still repeated. so the flow was manipulated. i found out later about the deals in the middle of the night.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #192,250
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:45am Feb 9, 2010 12:45am
Quoting dil
http://www.cringel.com/files/images/...ringel.com.jpg
thanks.. i knew i would be overpaying.. nice little fake franklins. i like the white paper there are printed on. i hope it keeps you warm.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #192,251
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:46am Feb 9, 2010 12:46am
Quoting 2+2=4ex
dil it's you! Is that your ferrari bike behind you?!
Nah its from google i never been y vietnam :/ gatorinla seems to be angry me thinks he got few S/l
  • #192,252
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:47am Feb 9, 2010 12:47am
[EUR/USD] opened in Asia at 1.3650 after selling off late in New York on a sharp
fall on Wall Street. It edged down to 1.3643 early before talk of large bids
ahead of 1.3600 discouraged attempts lower. Bouts of EUR/JPY buying on moves
higher in some Asian bourses provided more lift as did the report that ECB Pres
Trichet was leaving a BIS gathering in Sydney one day early to attend an EU
Council meeting.
The speculation is that EU authorities might be about to take
concrete action in the sovereign debt crisis, forcing record EUR shorts to pare
back.
A high of 1.3710 has been seen so far.
  • #192,253
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:47am Feb 9, 2010 12:47am
Quoting gatorinla
i dont know what fair value would be.. maybe 1-1 if it was truly fair. any in free market terms fair value always changes unless your china. but a tracted if from low of march with all levels working too 4646... its the way numbers flow without manipulation.. when thing were overextended. the pattern still repeated. so the flow was manipulated. i found out later about the deals in the midle of the night.
Hmm
1.20 is just the middle of the lows in 2001 to highs of 2008
Perhaps fair value was in 2000.
  • #192,254
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:48am Feb 9, 2010 12:48am
Quoting Clouds
The Fair Value for the Decade for Eur/Usd, seems around 1.20, and would be a good buy at .80 and a good sell at 1.60, that's if I was just an alien looking at chart knowing nothing about what's going on in all countries.....

Hey clouds, I know this is a hard question to determine but do you think those two extremes will be the lifetime range(considering that EU doesnt dissolve in the next 10 yrs)? Personally, its hard for me to imagine a catastrophe that would push it beyond those values....
  • #192,255
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:48am Feb 9, 2010 12:48am
Quoting gatorinla
thanks.. i knew i would be overpaying.. nice little fake franklins. i like the white paper there are printed on. i hope it keeps you warm.
Damn i remember times when 1 dollar was 5 Litai in Lithuania now its 1 dollar 2.50 Litai
  • #192,256
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:49am Feb 9, 2010 12:49am
Quoting Clouds
The Fair Value for the Decade for Eur/Usd, seems around 1.20, and would be a good buy at .80 and a good sell at 1.60, that's if I was just an alien looking at chart knowing nothing about what's going on in all countries.....
Believe or not!
Still i have a running sell order from 1.5013 in my 3rd micro acc.
It's 1 micro lot = $0.1
My tp = 1.3013

I had open it for fun and now
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #192,257
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:50am Feb 9, 2010 12:50am
Quoting mfoste1
Hey clouds, I know this is a hard question to determine but do you think those two extremes will be the lifetime range(considering that EU doesnt dissolve in the next 10 yrs)? Personally, its hard for me to imagine a catastrophe that would push it beyond those values....
USA gonna attack another poor country and called them terrorists and pump oil from them?
  • #192,258
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:51am Feb 9, 2010 12:51am
Quoting Clouds
Hmm
1.20 is just the middle of the lows in 2001 to highs of 2008
Perhaps fair value was in 2000.
about the time the printing started.. thats why 14k dow was bullshit.. along with 1.6 euro.. 147 oil.. housing ect..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #192,259
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:51am Feb 9, 2010 12:51am
Quoting mfoste1
Hey clouds, I know this is a hard question to determine but do you think those two extremes will be the lifetime range(considering that EU doesnt dissolve in the next 10 yrs)? Personally, its hard for me to imagine a catastrophe that would push it beyond those values....
I don't know if I could say that, but it would probably be contained between .50 and 2.0 for the next 50 years. Hard question.
  • #192,260
  • Feb 9, 2010 12:54am Feb 9, 2010 12:54am
e/u trying again with difficulties to break this zone but maybe as it is pushed by e/y ( +72 pips so far on that one )
target 138 and 124 stop be 136,80 on e/u
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