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EURUSD

  • #190,361
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:08pm Feb 4, 2010 9:08pm
Quoting maurofx
Spike up in EURUSD and USDCHF both!! We're loosing our beloved correlations in this madness!
yup. Is this a sign of near parity coming?
  • #190,362
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:13pm Feb 4, 2010 9:13pm
Quoting realjumper
Thought you were going to sleep?!
No my dear soldier, I think I've never been more awake in my life!!!
I got stopped with my trailing on the last spike, so I'm looking for a short entry, but I won't do it until this is more calm.
Truly did not understand the spike in USDCHF, when I saw it I said we're going down big time in EURO... so naiv... LOL!!!
  • #190,363
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:14pm Feb 4, 2010 9:14pm
Madness I've been watching EUR/USD USD /CHF all day - they've been moving pip for pip in the opposite directions! Was watching USD/CHF when the spike came - thought happy days! gonna hit TP on EUR/USD flicked chart over just as SL got hit! Maaaaaaaaaadddnnnnneeeeeeeessssssssssss
  • #190,364
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:14pm Feb 4, 2010 9:14pm
Yes however we get some pretty bad news on the nfp it will drive everythin up north quick like.




Quoting karimfx
Seems we're going with full speed to 1.3480 before any retrace

1.3480 it is the 61.8 fib retrace of the up move 1.2456-1.5156

the 50.00 fib was very fast beaten

now we are extremely oversold also

all those things could give a slow motion downmove in the next hours and after that another down leg to 1.3480

after eu reach 1.3480, eu could retrace to the 50.00 fib of the downmove 1.5156 - 1.3480, which is 1.4320

more retrace could be to 61.8 fib of downmove 1.5156-1.3480, which is 1.4460

let's see..
One good turn gets most of the blankets.
  • #190,365
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:16pm Feb 4, 2010 9:16pm
Quoting maurofx
No my dear soldier, I think I've never been more awake in my life!!!
I got stopped with my trailing on the last spike, so I'm looking for a short entry, but I won't do it until this is more calm.
Truly did not understand the spike in USDCHF, when I saw it I said we're going down big time in EURO... so naiv... LOL!!!
Doesn't matter if we lose a battle here and there......so long as we win the war
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #190,366
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:17pm Feb 4, 2010 9:17pm
[quote=gatorinla;3433620]duce ... if we do retrace this still should be valid.. ill post if not.. 3605 exact (within a pip or .5) sos.. if it works.. the green crap.... you people would not believe what s/p and dow says...[/quote]

Please do entertain us!
  • #190,367
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:18pm Feb 4, 2010 9:18pm
Quoting randy1953
Yes however we get some pretty bad news on the nfp it will drive everythin up north quick like.

dont you mean south....
  • #190,368
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:18pm Feb 4, 2010 9:18pm
Quoting Protogenos
Anyone here use ARIMA? Or model in R?
In here? Seriously?
  • #190,369
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:19pm Feb 4, 2010 9:19pm
i shorted eur/usd at 1.369, i hope it'll get there.......
  • #190,370
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:21pm Feb 4, 2010 9:21pm
Just sell/buy both USD/CHF & EUR/USD and wait for the correlation to tighten back up then take profit... It's a very low risk play.

Edit: sell both.
  • #190,371
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:21pm Feb 4, 2010 9:21pm
Quoting maurofx
Spike up in EURUSD and USDCHF both!! We're loosing our beloved correlations in this madness!
I think it has something to do with eur/chf which is taking € with it.
  • #190,372
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:22pm Feb 4, 2010 9:22pm
Do I ..I need to get some sleep..
so tired thanks
see u later
Randy


quote=mfoste1;3433734]dont you mean south....[/quote]
One good turn gets most of the blankets.
  • #190,373
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:25pm Feb 4, 2010 9:25pm
Quoting randy1953
Yes however we get some pretty bad news on the nfp it will drive everythin up north quick like.
if you look only at eur / usd pair you could say that it's going up cause nfp bad news ( bad for dollar ) and south if nfp is a good news..

but now we are in a global crisis ( we're not out of it ), also we're in greece, portugal crisis

if look the problem from the second point of view, i think bad nfp data means a down leg fo eur/usd ( also up move for jpy, not only for usd ); i mean for safe currencies

also, good nfp could mean up move for e/u ( i mean down move for safe currencies )...

my opinion...
LOL
  • #190,374
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:30pm Feb 4, 2010 9:30pm
lets flip a coin on this one I call heads...



Quoting karimfx
if you look only at eur / usd pair you could say that it's going up cause nfp bad news ( bad for dollar ) and south if nfp is a good news..

but now we are in a global crisis ( we're not out of it ), also we're in greece, portugal crisis

if look the problem from the second point of view, i think bad nfp data means a down leg fo eur/usd ( also up move for jpy, not only for usd ); i mean for safe currencies

also, good nfp could mean up move for e/u ( i mean down move for safe currencies )...

my opinion...
One good turn gets most of the blankets.
  • #190,375
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:35pm Feb 4, 2010 9:35pm
[quote=nms4716;3433732]
Quoting gatorinla
duce ... if we do retrace this still should be valid.. ill post if not.. 3605 exact (within a pip or .5) sos.. if it works.. the green crap.... you people would not believe what s/p and dow says...[/quote]

Please do entertain us!
i cant.. i dont want to crash the free world markets.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #190,376
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:37pm Feb 4, 2010 9:37pm
Quoting mmccormac
Just sell/buy both USD/CHF & EUR/USD and wait for the correlation to tighten back up then take profit... It's a very low risk play.

Edit: sell both.
what happened to the USD / CHF, no news, no wind, no storm increased 100 + + pips, why ..
  • #190,377
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:39pm Feb 4, 2010 9:39pm
Quoting randy1953
lets flip a coin on this one I call heads...
in this moment, i think the problem it is global crisis and how europe, usa, asia etc will get out of it.. also, how fast will get out of it...

from this point of view, the safe currencies opinion it is the correct one...
LOL
  • #190,378
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:40pm Feb 4, 2010 9:40pm
Such conditions may also occur in the EU
  • #190,379
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:43pm Feb 4, 2010 9:43pm
so whats next on the long range forcast??? I have a long at 1.3776 tp 1.3840...

whats next for short??? 1.35XX????
I'll pick up the crumbs don't need the whole pie
  • #190,380
  • Feb 4, 2010 9:43pm Feb 4, 2010 9:43pm
[quote=gatorinla;3433793]
Quoting nms4716
i cant.. i dont want to crash the free world markets.
LOL
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