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  • #189,961
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:19am Feb 4, 2010 10:19am
Quoting dil
Hi guys,

Bears entered where i marked
you said you were long most of the time.. changed mind? or post?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #189,962
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:19am Feb 4, 2010 10:19am
Quoting gatorinla
maybe.. time will tell.. if ez calapse 0... unless you think someone is gonna bail out the weaker countries. the german people may hang the politicians if that happens... then china is about to put a stake in germanys heart if not.. give it a 10 years or much less.. trade wars soon..
Yup, I've been thinking that also... I would say by June/July but I hope I am not correct on this one.
  • #189,963
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:22am Feb 4, 2010 10:22am
Quoting gatorinla
you said you were long most of the time.. changed mind? or post?
Yeah , changed mind im trading with 15 min ~ charts
  • #189,964
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:22am Feb 4, 2010 10:22am
Anyone knows what they said on the ECB conference?

Reminds me of a hypothetical story... two russian army generals meet in Paris with their troops. One asks the other: "Who won the air war by the way?"
  • #189,965
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:30am Feb 4, 2010 10:30am
Quoting gatorinla
maybe.. time will tell.. if ez calapse 0... unless you think someone is gonna bail out the weaker countries. the german people may hang the politicians if that happens... then china is about to put a stake in germanys heart if not.. give it a 10 years or much less.. trade wars soon..
No ,no one will bail out greece unless they have 300bln in pocketcahange. I don't know the debt of the other P.I.G.S. countries ,but I was shocked at greece's debt ,very big for such a small country. At least the EU accepted their plan to get economy on track and did not exclude them. (If that is good or bad I don't know)
  • #189,966
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:30am Feb 4, 2010 10:30am
Quoting TrooperCoope
Anyone knows what they said on the ECB conference?

Reminds me of a hypothetical story... two russian army generals meet in Paris with their troops. One asks the other: "Who won the air war by the way?"
Ladies and gentlemen, the Vice-President and I are very pleased to welcome you to our press conference today. We will now report on the outcome of today’s meeting of the Governing Council.................

http://www.ecb.int/press/pressconf/2...100204.en.html
  • #189,967
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:30am Feb 4, 2010 10:30am
Quoting BudFox
I've learned more about economics and markets from trading then I ever did while I was in college. The practical experience of actually trading and understading why price moves is something most professors have no clue and which few textbooks even go indepth. At one point a prof. had me convinced trading for a living was impossible, he was a random walker. Glad I didn't listen to him.
Ask him if he ever heard of a guy named Warren.Warren Buffet
  • #189,968
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:32am Feb 4, 2010 10:32am
Quoting mmccormac
Yup, I've been thinking that also... I would say by June/July but I hope I am not correct on this one.
i hope we do.. as soon as china unpegs currency our unemployment goes down 10%... you dont remain strong building a economy for someone else. it makes you weaker. it gives you competition.. and drives up commodity prices. in turn the 3 tennis shoes you bought 20 years earlier has now cost you your jobs and your childrens future. and now with more competition for commodities. those 3$ tennis shoes cost 50$.. add in unemployment price of oil ect. and the price may be hundreds. the elites brain washed the masses with shinny beads. free trade is not free if your not on a level playing field. it dont matter how many flags you wrap yourself in. when the sheep finally look up they will see another ass. as long as china cheapens its products you pay many more times what you think you save.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #189,969
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:33am Feb 4, 2010 10:33am
Pretending not to be random walking is far worse than admitting you are
  • #189,970
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:33am Feb 4, 2010 10:33am
Quoting gatorinla
maybe.. time will tell.. if ez calapse 0... unless you think someone is gonna bail out the weaker countries. the german people may hang the politicians if that happens... then china is about to put a stake in germanys heart if not.. give it a 10 years or much less.. trade wars soon..
I hope they will.
  • #189,971
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:34am Feb 4, 2010 10:34am
Quoting TheLastCoke
Ladies and gentlemen, the Vice-President and I are very pleased to welcome you to our press conference today. We will now report on the outcome of today’s meeting of the Governing Council.................

http://www.ecb.int/press/pressconf/2...100204.en.html

Thank you!
  • #189,972
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:34am Feb 4, 2010 10:34am
Quoting onewish
IMHO

I believe we are due for a reversal from around here, I'm Long from here 1.3967

This is due to Bull divergence on 1 Hr chart and that we're close to the end of a falling wedge on the Daily ans finally USD/CHF is set for a reversal.

I would wait for the news but can't , If it drops I will buy again. My SL 1.3800 TP is open for now.

Sorry no charts at the moment.
Things must be bad, Stopped out - 167 pips...ouch
  • #189,973
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:39am Feb 4, 2010 10:39am
gatorinla, have you ever stepped out of the usa to have a right to say anything about EU? Your country will suffer far more than we in EU from the china. We dont import as much comodities as you do.

Maybe one fine day you will wake up in country which almost 60% now belongs to the china in treasure bonds.
  • #189,974
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:39am Feb 4, 2010 10:39am
Nice drop!

As i am not keeping my positions open while i am not home, i missed this move, instead was seeing a woman and she came pretty expensive when it comes to profit

All those, who are kicking themselves about chasing the move and failed, do it like this, its "a safety measure".

When you find a nice setup and entry, dont trade, see it go right way and your profit goes down the drain being not in trade. Repeat it several times.

You do not lose, you just missed the profit....and i am sure, next time you do not feel chasing anymore

(You have controlled profit loss, you were right and its better than bad trading....you understand)
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #189,975
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:42am Feb 4, 2010 10:42am
Quoting Ulterior
Pretending not to be random walking is far worse than admitting you are
Its true, there is no certain system that will cause B after A happened. But you dont need that. All you need is a probability higher than 50% that B will follow on A (pretending the R/R is 1:1). Just apply law of big numbers with good MM and you can exploit the statistical edge.

However, hardwiring the human brain to accepting and seeing this edge is the difficult part...
  • #189,976
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:43am Feb 4, 2010 10:43am
I think we're about to have another wave down lower.
  • #189,977
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:44am Feb 4, 2010 10:44am
Quoting SkyzerFX
Yeah, right it's route to 0$, use common sense at least.
i said 9, previous low, not 0 , lol.
  • #189,978
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:44am Feb 4, 2010 10:44am
So far scalping is good in a near dead market , 4% earn of my capital.using other pairs with gold & eu compicated but mnageable.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #189,979
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:46am Feb 4, 2010 10:46am
Quoting fontu
So far scalping is good in a near dead market , 4% earn of my capital.using other pairs with gold & eu compicated but mnageable.
fontu
Evening fontu!
Hope all is well!
  • #189,980
  • Feb 4, 2010 10:46am Feb 4, 2010 10:46am
dow 10040
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