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AUD/USD

  • #15,061
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:43pm Feb 1, 2010 9:43pm
Quoting puks
Hi Caroline,

how are you doing? I read this on FXCM over the weekend.

I am of the opinion that RBA wont raise rates this time but will keep doors open for a further rate rise next month.

So after an initial sell off, we will see a decent rally in this pair.

I am short from .8850 with TP at .8735 and S/L at .8990.
you made it
  • #15,062
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:46pm Feb 1, 2010 9:46pm
Did you guys see that drop?
  • #15,063
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:46pm Feb 1, 2010 9:46pm
was .8925 the high for the week already
  • #15,064
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:48pm Feb 1, 2010 9:48pm
Yummy..... .. full house for today...
  • #15,065
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:50pm Feb 1, 2010 9:50pm
Quoting Clouds
yes, by not minute-by-minute. over time, usd pairs move similar, but not every hour - especially when a news event affects just 1 pair
gold is much more volatile than AUD, if it was a true LT move, gold would follow quickly and sharply IMO... obviously IMO. i think all of these pairs were due for a correction anyway, if it takes out lows, obviously DT continues...
  • #15,066
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:51pm Feb 1, 2010 9:51pm
Quoting Saxon
Did you guys see that drop?

yeah~ LOngers shld be having a heart attack back den
trade safe
  • #15,067
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:52pm Feb 1, 2010 9:52pm
Quoting puks
mate,

if I can give you any friendly advise, I would say close your long and start building short positions.

Market has priced in a rate rise and IMHO, they're in for a surprise tomorrow.

even if they rise the rates, AUD is bearish and will target .8680-8560 before the end of this week.

Just my 2 cents.
Well said Puks..... Hats off...
Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #15,068
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:55pm Feb 1, 2010 9:55pm
Quoting jdutch
gold is much more volatile than AUD, if it was a true LT move, gold would follow quickly and sharply IMO... obviously IMO. i think all of these pairs were due for a correction anyway, if it takes out lows, obviously DT continues...
gold is going up/being bought against all currencies at the moment. anyway, the usd has been going up, and looks like the RBA wants AUD lower as well
  • #15,069
  • Feb 1, 2010 9:59pm Feb 1, 2010 9:59pm
caught the train from half way (8850). I think we should easily be aiming at 8690. I had done the chart before, will post later.
Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #15,070
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:02pm Feb 1, 2010 10:02pm
Quoting Clouds
gold is going up/being bought against all currencies at the moment. anyway, the usd has been going up, and looks like the RBA wants AUD lower as well
Hardly. It's more like the RBA doesn't want to keep jacking up people's mortgage payments (which affects consumer spending).
  • #15,071
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:02pm Feb 1, 2010 10:02pm
Quoting WallStBully
What the F,....why does Forex Factory say 1130 and the number comes out at 1030,....Not cool,....closed my short at 7083,......just to wait for right before the number.
Check your timezone. Mine was in sync with FF's time so it should be ok...
  • #15,072
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:04pm Feb 1, 2010 10:04pm
Quoting shahab8b
you made it
Thanks mate

It was about time I made some decent pips. The thing is, this rate pause will not be taken too well by EU and US markets and this will confirm global financial jitters... RBA mentioned global credit issue as one of the reasons for not hiking rates.

Its more to do with Internaitonal conditions than local conditions.

AUD will make new lows tonight around 8750, if not 8735.

and I still believe we will see .85xx post NFP (may be next week)
  • #15,073
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:04pm Feb 1, 2010 10:04pm
Quoting Michael112
Hardly. It's more like the RBA doesn't want to keep jacking up people's mortgage payments (which affects consumer spending).
well that's true, too. But if i remember correctly the RBA said AUD was overvalued about 2 months back.
  • #15,074
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:05pm Feb 1, 2010 10:05pm
8732 will provide minor support and 8589 will be the major support.
  • #15,075
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:08pm Feb 1, 2010 10:08pm
RBA states that "Lenders have generally raised rates a little more than the cash rate over recent months and most loans have risen by close to a percentage point. Since information about the impatch of those changes is still limited, they holding steady".
  • #15,076
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:10pm Feb 1, 2010 10:10pm
Quoting puks
Thanks mate

It was about time I made some decent pips. The thing is, this rate pause will not be taken too well by EU and US markets and this will confirm global financial jitters... RBA mentioned global credit issue as one of the reasons for not hiking rates.

Its more to do with Internaitonal conditions than local conditions.

AUD will make new lows tonight around 8750, if not 8735.

and I still believe we will see .85xx post NFP (may be next week)
did you close the shorts or you are still riding them down?
I took them at .8915 and close them at .8845 , what a mistake. well I promised myself not to be greedy,
  • #15,077
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:12pm Feb 1, 2010 10:12pm
Would there be any appropriate entries here? short on a pull back to 8810?
  • #15,078
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:16pm Feb 1, 2010 10:16pm
The biggest down week, that i can see, for AUD was 1,300 pips, will this week break that record?
  • #15,079
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:22pm Feb 1, 2010 10:22pm
Quoting Clouds
The biggest down week, that i can see, for AUD was 1,300 pips, will this week break that record?
I'll have my buy orders at .86 ready
  • #15,080
  • Feb 1, 2010 10:27pm Feb 1, 2010 10:27pm
guys, i dont wanna monitor this all ngiht - yet my entries are 8835

technically + fundamentally, is it safe to leave this thing open? or should i set a tp?

I dont trade this pair (outside of tonite), so i dont know what the outlook is
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